Football is back

69-58-5 on the NFL season (2018/19) up 26.36 units

46-49 on the NFL 2019/20 season up 27.97 units

9-6 on the NFL in 2020/21 up 9.14 units

0-0 on the NFL in 2021/22 up 00.00 units

1-2 on the NFL in 2022/23 down 3.14 units

8-5 on NFL in 23/24 up 6.21 units.

7-10 on NFL in 24/25 up 7.80 units

Survivor Week 1 Entries: Jaguars, Cardinals, and Broncos.

Saquon Barkley anytime TD for 3 units DK Boost from -185 to +100.

Travis Kelce to have 1 reception in 1st Quarter Draftkings Boost from -200 to +100 for 3 units

Draftkings Ghost Leg Parlay – Jerome Ford +150 TD, Ravens over 17.5 -375, Malik Nabers over 50 receiving yards -314 parlay for 3 units

Brock Bowers to have over 1417 receiving yards +1625 for 1 unit.

Baseball, Hockey, Soccer – Lets get it

Mike Trout has 4 homers in his career against Sonny Gray. I think he gets his 5th today. Rooker and Swanson have started hot.

Trout/Dansby Swanson/Rooker Home Run Parlay risking .5 units to win 9137.5 units. or +18275 no sweat parlay on DK. Feeling Lucky!

Basketball no sweat bet on Draftkings today – Miles Bridges 30 points rebounds assists with no LaMelo. Fred VanVleet over 2 3s. Nuggets ML and over 114.5 team total. +225 parlay them all

Have a 100% boost that I am using on Crystal Palace over 1.5 goals, Hurricanes in hockey over 2.5 goals, Man City to win first half and man city to score 3 or more. Leciester and Southampton two of worst teams in league. Capitals are doing their Ovechkin thing and giving up goals in the process. Seems like they love giving up two goal leads lately. Hurricanes can apply the pressure and win, but feel safer with the 3 goals.

New Year – Same Me

Dolphins in Madrid? Whose going with me?

Galatasaray ML, over 5.5 corners and to score twice. Starting the weekend with a heavy favorite over in Turkey. Osimhen, Mertens, and Yilmaz will be too much offense for Hatayspor to handle.

NBA: Bulls have been bad. Brandon Miller questionable, but even if he plays I like LaMelo tonight. LaMelo won’t go 2-9 from 3 again. The Play: Ball 30 points, Hornets over 111.5 and LaMelo Ball over 44.5 Points Rebounds Assists +130

UFC: Sopaj ML – De Ridder ML – HIll/Prochazka under. +486 boosted to +729 with DK boost Kevin Holland is past it. Sopaj is a beast and that HIll Prochazka fight is gonna be entertaining as hell.

Kelce 50 yards – Chiefs 20 points – Texans 13 points and Kelce to score. DK Boost from +405 to +539. Kelce will show up in the playoffs. Texans looked pretty good, so scared of the line. Hope the Texans win, but betting on Kelce.

King of the endzone promo Saturday – Mixon – Dameon Pierce – Xavier Worthy

King of the endzone promo Sunday – Nacua, Demarcus Robinson, and Ronnie Rivers

No Sweat Bet: Rams over 12.5, Ravens over 26.5 and Worthy 50 receiving yards +339

All My Parlays Lost – Discouraged, but not giving up!

That is the parlay life. Got to be able to stomach the losses in between big wins.

Fenerbache/Virtus Bologna over 168 +170 for 1 unit. Taking my talents to Europe on this one. My Euro league betting record depends on this game.

100% boost on Draftkings risking 1.5 units to win 7.38 units – Sengun over 25 points/assists – Rockets over 114.5 – Ohio +8 and over 17.5 team total. Toledo is favored in this game. I do not think they should be. Ohio’s offense has looked great since their loss to rival Miami. Toledo are not bad, but I think Ohio will simply score more. Pacers cannot play interior defense well enough to stop Sengun. Should bang easy, especially if Jalen Green is out. He is questionable as of writing.

No sweat bet risking 2.5 units to win 18.79 units. Lillard 3 threes and 25 points. Fred VanVleet 18 points and 2 threes. Wagner 38PRA and Magic ML. Bulls and Pacers are not great at defense. Magic are better without Banchero. Wagner should takeover against Clippers. No Norman Powell for Clips, so I expect their bench to suffer. Watch Nic Batum go off now…

Giannis as my draftkings star of the night over 30 points -185 for 1 unit.

Charleston -10.5/Columbia -425 parlay risking 1 unit to win 1.35 units. LIU and Citadel suck at basketball. Favorites should roll in these spots.

First NFL Game in Brazil Predictions

3-3 on NFL in 24/25 down 0.08 units.

Why did nobody tell me Isiah Likely would be better than Mark Andrews? That would have been nice to know. Lamar TD will hit this year as much as they ran him, but missed last night. Anyway, onto Friday Night’s matchup. Have the Eagles found a WR3 or fixed their secondary? IDK, but they will need to if they want to win the Super Bowl.

Parlay for 1 unit to win 6.8 units with DK boost: Packers +0.5 first Q, Packers over 19.5 points, Jaire Alexander Assist, Darius Slay assist. These athletic dudes can be flying around assisting like Neymar pre french league farmers fucking his legs up.

Jordan Love over 10.5 rushing yards +125 boosted to +188 for 3 units. Hit the first 3 games of last season. Run it back baby..

Josh Jacobs Anytime TD Scorer +110 for 3 units.

Also have my no sweat from Mark Andrews not getting a TD that I lived bet on Lamar Jackson’s rushing yards after his fumble last night. It hit almost before halftime, but hit nonetheless. Won’t count for my record cause not on the website, but I am up on NFL I swear! Haha good luck this weekend. Going to a 49 Winchester Country Concert tonight, so hopefully won’t be too hungover to write about NFL WEEK 1 SUNDAY REDZONE OCTOBOX AHHHHHHH EVERY TOUCHDOWN HOPEFULLY THE PANTHERS GET SOME OF THOSE TOUCHDOWNS JETAVION SANDERS IS STARTING TE AND GONNA BE A BEAST

Brandon Miller will be better than Anthony Edwards

NAMESEASONTMGPMPGPPGRPGAPGSPGBPGTPGFGMFGAFG%3PM3PA3P%FTMFTAFT%MINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-
Anthony Edwards2020-21MIN7232.119.34.72.91.10.52.27.016.841.72.47.232.92.93.877.62,3141,3923362118236160129-228
NAMESEASONTMGPMPGPPGRPGAPGSPGBPGTPGFGMFGAFG%3PM3PA3P%FTMFTAFT%MINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-
Brandon Miller2023-24CHA7432.217.34.32.40.90.61.86.414.644.02.56.737.31.92.382.72,3831,2793151756642132184-510

I realize saying Brandon Miller will be better than Anthony Edwards is a hot take since Ant just dominated the defending champs, but B Miller is nice. Brandon Miller plays for the Hornets, who sucked because of injuries yet again. These injuries gave him a chance to be the focal piece of the offense at times. Brandon Miller shot better than Ant did his rookie year (numbers above), and he has a higher shooting ceiling (form and height).

My Hornets could keep sucking forever, but if LaMelo can ever be healthy and they can ever find a 5 that can play defense. They have something with Brandon Miller. Miller doesn’t have the “pop” athleticism that Ant has, but he does have the ability to hang in the air like Ant. I mean look at this dunk.

The Hornets rarely hit on lottery picks. Hell I wanted them to draft Scoot – maybe it’s just cause of the Miller-Alabama gun stuff – but boy was I wrong. Miller can play. I doubt the Hornets will hit on this year’s 6th pick. I think they should go with Salaun (6 foot 9 hardworking frenchmen), Topic (Tall guard if LaMelo doesn’t pan out), or Cody Williams (nba starter at least). If the Hornets can hit on this pick this year, they are actually setting up nicely. Davis Bertans, who won’t be resigned, is the second biggest cap hit right now after LaMelo. The Batum signing was terrbile. The Rozier/Hayward signings were not viewed as bad, but they kinda were. Rozier and Hayward got paid about 50 million a year combined on the Hornets and didn’t ever make the playoffs. Rozier and Hayward complained and said snide things about how shitty they Hornets culture was after they left – yeah yall were brought to make it better as veterans.

Brandon Miller may never be great because of the team that drafted him, but I think he can be a top 10 nba player and in MVP conversations on the Hornets. If that happens, Hornets fans (me) would love him forever.

MARCH. IS. HERE. BEST TIME OF YEAR AHHHHHHHHHH

70-62-2 on NCAAB in 2018/19 up 8.95 units

46-38-1 last season 19/20 up 13.96 units

15-11-2 20/21 up 8.91 units

1-7 this season down 7.48 units

Scottie Scheffler winning the Players back 2 back washed away a lot of college basketball sins. An Auburn over didn’t hit, even though they scored 86 (South Carolina had 55). UNC let up 35 to Pittsburgh in 1H, but Pittsburgh couldn’t break 67 points. I ain’t worried about losing some close ones. A lot of basketball left. Congrats to all the conference winners – especially NC State and Duquesne for winning their conferences for the first time in a long time (’87 and 77′). Sadly those two teams beat my teams. VCU made the NIT. UNC got a 1 seed. Last year VCU made the tourney and UNC didn’t – be cool if they could both make it. Real Cool.

Kentucky -13.5 for 4 units. Using my DK 64% boost here. Hit this one when it opened, and the line hasn’t moved. Oakland allows a high percentage of shots in transition (5th most out of any team in tournament). That scares me against Kentucky’s guards. Over/under is 163 – There will be points in this game and Kentucky will get too many easy ones. Kentucky has almost become a lovable loser in this tournament – They have a chance to go on a run this year.

NC State +5.5/Creighton -13.5/BYU Duquesne over 140.5 Risking 1 unit to win 3.9 units. I watched NC State beat UVA and UNC in person. Burns and Burns are problems. OConnel can shoot. Texas Tech allows 60% of opponents shots at the rim. That’s a lot (6th worst our of tourney teams). The human escalade is gonna get his..

Creighton beat UConn by 19. Once I saw that happen – I was betting their line in NCAA tournament until they lose. They can outshoot anyone

Duquesne have been scoring since they beat VCU in Richmond – Honestly he milked the injury a bit. Just almost lost a tooth. Happens to children all the time. Dae Dae is a problem for the Dukes. BYU have a smooth offense, but I do not think their defense is crazy good. BYU are actually one of the few teams that the tournament seeded correctly. BYU love getting out in transition.

South Carolina/Creighton/Auburn -12.5 risking 1 unit to win 2.89 units. Jay Bilas said Oregon would win, so going with the Cocks. Creighton ain’t losing to Akron – RIGHT? Yale are not great at offense or defense. They just beat Brown by 1 to make the tournament on an unathletic looking last second shot. The opposite of Kyrie’s game winning shot against the Nuggets.

Creighton +2500 for 1 unit. Dook +2500 for 1 unit. North Carolina +1200 for 1 unit. Auburn +1400 for 1 unit. Picking a team from each Region and letting it ride.

Also placed some more golf bets – Wyndham Clark top 10 all 4 Majors on DK +8000 for 1 unit. Lowry top 10 all 4 +8000 for 1 unit. Scheffler top 4 all 4 +650 for 1 unit.

Maverick McNealy top 10 Valspar Championship +650. Brian Harman in my One and Done.

Some NBA Bets for tonight if you are a degenerate and can’t wait for NCAAT like me.

Kyrie Irving 4.5 assists/Kyrie 3 3s made/Mavs over 114.5 tonight against the Spurs. Riskin 1 unit to win 1.89 units. Doncic is Prolly playing, but I like Kyrie to get a little more usage with Luka’s hamstring issue. Kyrie seems to be locking in. He has played in 18 games straight for the first time since 2016 I think it was. Spurs defense will be great one day with Wemby, but that day is not this season.

Jordan Poole first 3 +390. Bet & Get on DK for 0.5 units. No Jones for the Wizards. Was going to go with Kispert or Poole, but Poole’s odds are better. Dk has nuked their odds on this promo, but I hit on Kyrie with Luka out, Kuzma with Jones out, and D Mitchell with Strus out.

61-53-2 on NBA in 2017/18 up 9.28 units

30-28-2 on NBA in 2018/19 up 4.16 units 

7-7-1 on NBA in 2019/20 down 3.91 units

2-1 on NBA in 21/22 up 8.67 units

No Plays in 22/23

3-4 on NBA this year up 2.08 units.

March Madness is here

70-62-2 on NCAAB in 2018/19 up 8.95 units

46-38-1 last season 19/20 up 13.96 units

15-11-2 20/21 up 8.91 units

0-0 this season

BYU ML/1H ML and over 142 against UCF today for 1 unit at +152. Using draftkings SGP insurance boost.

Just gotta get a little action in before my VCU Rams play at 2.

St Mary’s looked good against Gonzaga to win the WCC last night. Zags just don’t have the offensive fire power this year. Scoring is important in basketball.

UNC gonna beat dook 3 times to win the ACC Tourney Title? Idk but stay tuned!

Free basketball goal closeup photo

NBA Post ALL Star Break – March Madness Coming Up – Mexico Open

61-53-2 on NBA in 2017/18 up 9.28 units

30-28-2 on NBA in 2018/19 up 4.16 units 

7-7-1 on NBA in 2019/20 down 3.91 units

2-1 on NBA in 21/22 up 8.67 units

No Plays in 22/23

1-1 on NBA this year up 1.80 units.

Hornets +8.5 even money against Jazz for 4 units or $200.00. Reverse Line Movement here – 80% of bets are on Jazz, but line has moved from -10 to -9. Hornets have covered every game since Tre Mann was added to the team. Hayward, PJ Washington, Terry Rozier, Frank Ntilikina, Ish Smith, James Bouknight, and Kai Jones are all gone and the Hornets should be better off because of it. LaMelo is still out, but he does not move the needle enough compared to public perception.

Tatum/Shai Gilgeous-Alexander/Donavon Mitchell/Curry/Fox/Doncic/Booker all to score 25 points tonight risking 0.1 unit to win 1.05 units.

Josh Giddey over 3.5 assists and over 0.5 3 pointers made and Thunder race to 20 1Q Parlay risking 2 units to win 8.25 units. Thunder are better than the old Clippers. The Twolves called the Clippers old not me. Twolves should be calling anybody anything till they win something, but I am a Hornets fan….

College Basketball is heating up. VCU was rolling until they lost by 22 to UMass. Penn State kicked their leading scorer off the team and then beat Illinois. UConn was looking dominant untill they got smacked on the road. UNC has a point guard, 3-point shooter, and big man so they can always make a run. Houston’s defense is suffocating. Auburn looked great until a home loss to Kentucky. I’m locked in so some plays will be coming..

I also bet on Tony Finau, David Lipsky, Emiliano Grillo, and/or Alejandro Tosti to win this Mexico Open. It is a course for horses and Cameron Champ is already off to a hot start. Hojgaard, Shelton, and Ghim are the guys I wished I would have bet after watching 15 minutes of golf this morning..

Weekend Plays – Lotta Sports

61-53-2 on NBA in 2017/18 up 9.28 units

30-28-2 on NBA in 2018/19 up 4.16 units 

7-7-1 on NBA in 2019/20 down 3.91 units

92-83 on MLB in 2018 up 34.31 units

59-47 on MLB in 2019 up 6.40 units

2-1 on MLB in 2020 up 0.84 units

4-3 in 2021 up 1.26 units

92-78-9 on Soccer in 2018 up 8.17 units

66-62-12 on Soccer in 2019 down 28.41 units

1-3 in 2020 down 9.39 units 

71-52 on College Football in 2018 up 53.33 units

42-36-2 on College Football in 2019 up 22.84 units

8-3 on College Football in 2020 Up 25.72 units

69-58-5 on the NFL season (2018/19) up 26.36 units

46-49 on the NFL 2019/20 season up 27.97 units

9-6 on the NFL in 2020/21 up 9.14 units

3-2 on eSports in 2019 up 3.53 units

14-8 in 2020 up 3.30 units

Posting all my records here. Yeah I could be better on soccer betting so what?!? My buddy Hunter recently got into soccer gambling. He just bets Man City and Bayern Munich and he does better than me. Sometimes you gotta keep it simple in this world of sports gambling. MLB Playoffs, NBA Season, NHL Season, CSGO Major (First one since before COVID), Tennis, Soccer, and UFC are all going down this weekend. Should be fun…

Hornets ML -130 for 10 units. LaMelo is a stud. Hayward is a professional. Washington/Bridges are fun. Plumlee sucks. All in all I am happy with where my Hornets are going. Cavs are mids. Hornets are going to be good this year if they stay healthy. Gotta take advantage of these early season lines…

Utah Jazz -6 at -110 for 3 units. Jazz will blow the Kings out. If they don’t, will adjust my view of the Kings. I think the Jazz will be a great regular season team again this year. They covered like 19 some odd games in a row last year. They are 1-0 ATS so far..

Utah Jazz 1Q at -165 for 3 units.

Tottenham +0.5 at -155 for 6 units. West Ham looked good with their backups midweek, Tottenham did not. Makes these odds better for us. Son or Kane can always go off. I do not think West Ham are as good as their record says they are. The best team they have beat this league season in Leicester. I like Tottenham to hold serve.

Everton at -150 for 1 unit.

Dortmund -210 for 2 units.

Bayern win and over 3.5 at -200 for 2 units.

Sassuolo at -190 for 2 units.

Sevilla at -220 for 1 unit. Not writing about soccer because need to post for NBA start times. Good luck this weekend. Let’s get hot and make some money.