NCAAB January 13th

15-10-1 on NCAAB in 2017 up 5.25 units

10-7 on NCAAB in 2018 up 10.07 units

Florida State -6 for 3 units. Syracuse have lost their last 3, while Florida State have lost their last 2. Florida State has the far better offense than Syracuse and they are at home. FSU had won 28 at home in a row before their most recent loss. I expect another win streak to start up here. Terance “one R” Mann is a beast and I expect FSU to shoot a lot better than they did against Louisville. Syracuse has not lost by more than 5 to FSU in their last two trips to Tallahassee. This line seems a little weird so I am going to take the favorite.

WVU +5 for 3 units. Texas Tech and West Virginia are fairly evenly matched teams, so I am taking the points here. Jevon Carter has been great for WVU this year and they have won 15 games in a row. Texas Tech shot awfully in their last game against an Oklahoma team that WVU beat. The Red Raiders will most likely shoot better now that they are back at home, but I still do not trust them.

Kentucky -3 for 3 units. Kentucky leads Vanderbilt in literally every major statistical category. Vanderbilt will have to make a good amount of 3s to cover this line. I would not bet on that to happen. Vandy has lost their last two games by a combined 19 points and Kentucky just beat a good Texas A&M team. Kentucky’s flight got delayed, but Vandy was nice enough to let Kentucky practice in their quirky former opera house of an arena. This will help Kentucky with their young team. Did you know John Calipari has a young team? Home court and travel inconvenience are against Kentucky, but I still like them here.

Gonzaga -12 for 3 units. If you have read my Gonzaga takes in the past, you know what I am going to say here. They just have a far better offense than these other teams in the conference. Gonzaga is 9-5-1 against the spread this season, and I may just bet them till they lose me money.

Advertisements

Soccer January 13th

17-6-1 in Soccer up 9.07 units

Hertha Berlin +0.5 at -125 for 4 units. I think this line is inflated for Stuttgart because they just signed a player that helped win the league a decade ago in Mario Gomez. Any striker needs build up play to be dominate though, and Stuttgart has not been doing that well. Stuttgart have the second worst goal scoring record in the Bundesliga. Hertha won this matchup 2-0 earlier in the season and seem to tie a lot of their away games this season. Stuttgart could start finding the net in the new year, but I doubt it happens here.

Brighton & Hove Albion +0.5 at -124 for 3 units. West Brom has not won a game in the league since August! If they win one here it will because I am betting it.. nothing else. All jokes aside, West Brom could still be without Chadli, Dawson, Johny Evans, Kieran Gibbs, and James Morrison. Yes Brighton only has 3 goals in their last 5 league games, but West Brom only has 4 and has given up twice as many goals in that same span. Glenn Murray has been in decent goal scoring form this season in the league and if he can get a goal this bet will win. He came on the 81st minute for Brighton in their league cup game against Crystal Palace and scored to win the game. West Brom fade.

Girona ML at -130 for 2 units.

Girona -1 +134 for 2 units. Las Palmas gives up over 2 goals a game. They have had about 4 coaches this year (not an exaggeration). Girona has been over-performing by my estimation this year but I like this favorable draw to start this new year. Las Palmas has not scored in their last 3 away games and they have lost over 75% of their away games this year. Christian Stuani has 9 goals on the year for Girona, which is 5 more than anybody on Real Madrid. Las Palmas fade, they will not be able to figure out their backline in time to secure points in this game. Girona likes to cross the ball, which I normally don’t like, but against a poor defense like this it should work. 2-0 win for Girona is my prediction.

Eibar +0.5 at -115 for 1 units. No Diego Costa, Gabi, or Savic for Madrid. Atletico have struggled against crosses this year and that is one of Eibar’s strengths. Eibar has been dominate at home recently. Eibar actually has the same amount of points in their last 5 games as Barcelona at 13 points. Atletico is only a point behind however. If this game was in Madrid I would stay away, but I like Eibar to keep their momentum going at home.