59-31-3 on tennis up 18.19 units

Klizan/Millman/Dzumhur parlay for 2 units to win 6.12 units. Klizan has won the last two meetings against Andreas Seppi in straight sets. Also, Seppi has lost 7 of his last 10 matches, while Klizan has won 7 of his last 10 matches. Millman beat Popyrin in straight sets the only other time they have met on hardcourt. Millman hasn’t won a set since the US Open (only played in one tournament since then), but he will win this match. Damir Dzumhur is defending his title here. Damir has been in awful form, but he is much more talented than Egor Gerasimov. The Bosnian #1 won the only H2H meeting in straight sets.

Simon/Kukushkin parlay for 2 units to win 2.14 units. Gilles Simon has won all 3 H2H meetings against Sergiy Stakhovsky. Simon struggles against strong servers, Sergiy is more of a return player and that is why Simon has such a positive history against him. Mikhail Kukushkin has a 7-2 lead in the H2H against Evgeny Donskoy. Mikhail has made it to the semi-final or further here 3 times. Donskoy has lost 7 matches in a row.

Taylor Fritz at +113 for 3 units. Fritz is not as talented as Hyeon Chung, but he is in better form. Chung also lacks the fitness needed to go far in a tournament. Chung has been losing to players with way less talent than Fritz. Chung should be the heavy favorite, but he is a soft favorite, which makes me bet against him and this “fishy at first” line.

Denis Istomin at +113 for 3 units. Istomin won the only other meeting on the hardcourt in straight sets. Istomin is in better form as of late. Berankis is only here as a lucky loser. Uzbek #1 Denis Istomin won his last opening round meeting here. Istomin has won 5 of his last 7 opening round matchups here in Moscow. Istomin has a better history at this tournament, is in better form, and has the H2H history on this surface.

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