22-22-3 in Hockey up 4.53 units
Penguins ML at -124 for 1 unit. Philly went 2-3 on their power play in their win last game against Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh went 0-4. I think those numbers will move more towards the mean in this crucial 3rd game. The Flyers are still only 1-5 against the Penguins this season. I am betting they go to 1-6 here. Also, Malkin said he would be better than he was in Game 2. I am not going to bet against his words.
Jets ML at -110 for 1 unit. Ryan Suter is out for the Wild and I just really like this Jets team. Jets are better on offense and defense than the Wild. The Wild have struggled to score this series. If the Wild do sneak out a win in this one, I’ll double down on the Jets in the next game.
Capitals ML at -145 for 2 units. The Caps are a habit I cannot quit. They won me money in the regular season, so I’ll let that game 1 meltdown slide. They can’t lose two games in a row right? (The Capitals are 23-8-1 after a loss this season… so I guess they can). The Caps are healthy and hungry, I expect them to get up and stay up in this one. Trotz has scratched Vrana tonight, the Caps fanbase isn’t too pleased with that..
1-1-1 on NBA Playoffs down .18 units
Spurs had 17 first quarter points and then made 1 field goal in the last 6:30 of the second quarter. We missed the over by 1 point and the Warriors cruised. Steph Curry was on the bench for the Warriors, Kawhi Leonard was nowhere to be found. Serge Ibaka and the Raptors did enough to win the game, but they pushed against the Wizards. John Wall went off. The 76ers scored 77 second half points to pull away from the Heat. Dragic and Whiteside had quiet games. Anthony Davis and Playoff Rondo covered (like I predicted) and won the game outright in Portland. Now onto today’s slate.
Bucks +3.5 for 2 units. Giannis, Giannis, and Giannis. The Celtics have not won a game vs a playoff team since March. This is just a bad matchup for the Celtics. Boston is great at guarding the perimeter, but not so great in the paint. Guess where Giannis does his work? The paint. I think this will be a close game, but if either team pulls away, it will be the Bucks. Injuries to Irving, Hayward, and Marcus Smart will show themselves this series.
Cavs -7 for 2 units. Lebron vs Lance. Some people are predicting Lance will get in Lebron’s head.. yeah right. Lebron is one of the smartest players in basketball, too smart for Lance. The Cavs struggled at times this season, but they are still 29-12 at home. I am not going to be against Lebron in his first playoff game of the season. Oladipo and Sabonis have played well for the Pacers this season, but I do not think they will do enough to cover in this one.
Jazz Thunder over 205 for 4 units. Utah is averaging 113 points in April. The Thunder are averaging 115 points in April. If those numbers stay true, this game will soar over. The Jazz have been so hot on offense, I told myself i would bet this over if it was 212 or less. Vegas is giving us a gift with this 205.. I’ll bite..
No play on the Rockets Thunder game. The line is about where it should be and the over/under is tough to read. The Rockets could always get hot at home and cover, but I won’t be betting it. I like the T’Wolves, but they have weird problems like Teague’s awful entry passing and the lack of shooting from 3-point land (31.9% in April).
6-3 on MLB in 2018 up 3.58 units
Gotta love the Pirates win yesterday. 0-0 to start the 9th, Marte gets on with a bunt single. Then he gets to third on a single up the middle, then a pop up bunt in the infield gets him home for the 1-0 win. It was an ugly win, but I will take it. Red Sox cruised to give me a 2-0 day. Let’s keep it going.
Pirates ML at -152 for 3 units. Ivan Nova pitched well his last time out vs the Cubs. Pittsburgh’s bullpen has struggled so it is good to have Nova who can go 7+ innings. Also, Nova does not walk batters, which helps against a struggling Marlins team. I think the Pirates will win this game and the series. If they do, it’ll be a win or split in all 5 series to open up the season for Pittsburgh. Jose Urena has been giving up early runs in his starts for the Marlins. I do not think the Marlins have enough firepower to come back from a deficit in this one.
Phillies ML at +115 for 1 unit. Simply a value play. Rays have been terrible this season. Tampa Bay has the worst record to start a season in franchise history and they currently hold the worst record in the American League. Phillies have been hot, why not take them at plus money? Philly is 7-1 in their last 8 games. Rays are giving Ryan Yarbrough his first start, he has been good in relief this season, but the first start can always be a little tough.
Diamondbacks ML at +194 for 1 unit. Diamondbacks -1.5 at +333 for 1 unit. People see Kershaw and bet Dodgers. Let’s be a little sharper. Godley has been pitching lights out for the D’backs. The dodgers are batting .238 on the season and now face one of the best pitchers they have seen all year. Paul Goldschmidt has been on fire as well. Just taking the better team here.