30-30-4 in Hockey up 5.53 units
Bruins ML at -167 for 2 units. Bruins can’t lose to the Leafs 3 games in a row right? The only thing that is stopping me from making this a stronger play is the tragic Toronto van attack. The Leafs could rally behind this tragedy, kinda like the Bruins did in 2013 after their marathon tragedy. The Bruins front line will play a lot better than they have the last few games. The better team usually wins in a 7 game series, I think the Bruins are the better team.
14-16-1 on NBA Playoffs up 7.37 units
Won my big unit play again but neither over hit. Life is too short to bet the under. Thank you Meek Mill for making that 76ers bet the easiest bet since Mayweather.
Gilbert Arenas hates this Bucks Celtics series. Bucks role players just can’t make 3s away from home. Giannis was quiet in Game 5 and will need to takeover in Game 6 if the Bucks want to survive. 76ers won the game and the series behind a big 3rd quarter. The Heat just did not have the rebounding or 3-point shooting to compete with the 76ers. Warriors didn’t look good, but they won the series against the Spurs. Draymond had 17 points and 19 rebounds in the deciding Game 5.
Raptors ML at -320 for 3 units. Raptors were up by 14 in the 3rd quarter of their last loss. I do not think they will let a win slip away at home. Dwayne Casey please let somebody besides Lowry guard John Wall. Ibaka and Delon Wright will have more confidence and play better at home. DeRozan knows he made some mistakes at the end of the last game and should be able to correct them.
Pacers +6 for 1 unit. Pacers have not lost by more than 4 all series. Oladipo has to play better than he did last game. Cavs are 1-3 against the spread this series. I just like this Pacers team. The Pacers have 4 players I would want on my playoff team (Oladipo, Bojan, Myles Turner, and Darren Collison). The Cavs only have 3 players I would want on my playoff team (Lebron, Kevin Love, and Korver). Kevin Love is banged up too. Lebron is still Lebron, but these games have been close and I expect that to continue.
Rockets -12 for 2 units. Rockets won the last game by 19. Timberwolves can’t guard the Rockets and their 3-point shooting. Chris Paul and James Harden seemed to have turned it around after a poor end to the regular season. Poor compared to what they did all season. I could see the Timberwolves getting down big in this one and “giving up”. Rockets missed shots for the first 3 games of this series, but they have turned it around now. Look for the Rockets to end the series in Houston tonight.
Jazz +4 for 2 units. I have been betting the Thunder and the overs in this series. I am going to quit doing that now, so the Thunder will most likely blow out the Jazz out tonight. Thunder have not been playing defense and the iso ball hasn’t worked except for Game 1. Westbrook and Melo have been bad this series. I expect the Jazz defense and their better coaching to prevail tonight.
16-17 on MLB down 7.09 units
Going back to what got me up units early in the season. Fading bad pitchers. I am chasing losses a little bit today so tail at your own risk.
Braves ML at -105 for 5 units. Braves can’t lose 3 in a row to the Reds can they? Brandon Finnegan is supposed to be a great pitcher, but I just have not seen it this year. Finnegan leaves too many balls up in the strike zone and gets behind batters. Finnegan has given up 19 baserunners in 7 innings. Matt Wisler has given up 2 baserunners in 7 innings for the Braves.
Rays ML at +101 for 5 units. Alex Cobb has made me money betting against him this season. I am not going to stop fading him now. Cobb will throw against his old team today, which provides an interesting wrinkle. Cobb has given up 22 baserunners in 7 innings. Orioles have lost 3 in a row while the Rays have won 4 in a row. Rays have scored 26 runs in their last 3 games.
Athletics ML at -105 for 5 units. Graveman has been bad this season, but he looked better in his last start vs the Red Sox retiring 11 in a row at one point. Doug Fister has been bad vs the A’s in his career. The A’s have hit right handers better this season. Adrian Beltre is now out for the Rangers. Jed Lowrie has been smacking the ball for the Athletics. Going with the better team here.
8-3 in snooker up 6.82 units
Ronnie O’Sullivan at -766 for 3 units. Ronnie has not lost to Ali Carter since 2010. Ronnie is on a health kick and recently said, “the biggest thing for me this year is how I have eaten and am amazed how good I feel and how healthy I am.” He continued, “I have changed the way I eat and have a massive amount of energy. Compared to the average Briton, I will always look fit because we are not the most healthy society.” A healthy Ronnie is a scary sight for the rest of his snooker competitors. The juice does not scare me because Ronnie is motivated. O’Sullivan sometimes does not care about winning a tournament for a myriad of reasons like the prize money not being high enough or him wanting to be back home. Well, this tournament has the prize money and the proximity to home, so I will back O’Sullivan here.
4-1 on tennis up 1.98 units
Kei Nishikori at -472 for 3 units. High juice for a player coming off his first long tournament after an injury, but Kei likes Barcelona. Kei won this event in 2014 and 2015. Winning this event may be tough this time around because Nadal is in his quarter (Nadal beat Kei in the finals in Monte Carlo last week after an 11 hour match). Nevertheless, Nishikori should be able to handle Garcia-Lopez as he is 3-0 against the spaniard in his career.
Benoit Paire +3 at -108 for 1 unit. Betting on a Paire spread is always tough because if he gets down in a set, he could give up like he did in Morocco. I just think there is too much value here. Paire won the last meeting 2 sets to none and that match was also in Spain on clay. Carreno-Busta is the more consistent player, but Paire seems to have the higher ceiling. Paire made it to the semifinal of this tournament in 2016. Also, Paire holds the 3-2 advantage against Carreno-Busta on clay.