4-1 on tennis up 1.98 units

Kei Nishikori at -472 for 3 units. High juice for a player coming off his first long tournament after an injury, but Kei likes Barcelona. Kei won this event in 2014 and 2015. Winning this event may be tough this time around because Nadal is in his quarter (Nadal beat Kei in the finals in Monte Carlo last week after an 11 hour match). Nevertheless, Nishikori should be able to handle Garcia-Lopez as he is 3-0 against the spaniard in his career.

Benoit Paire +3 at -108 for 1 unit. Betting on a Paire spread is always tough because if he gets down in a set, he could give up like he did in Morocco. I just think there is too much value here. Paire won the last meeting 2 sets to none and that match was also in Spain on clay. Carreno-Busta is the more consistent player, but Paire seems to have the higher ceiling. Paire made it to the semifinal of this tournament in 2016. Also, Paire holds the 3-2 advantage against Carreno-Busta on clay.


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