College Football September 28th/29th

12-10 on college football up 2.39 units

Colorado at -320 for 4 units. UCLA has not won a game all season and now they travel to Boulder. Colorado has not lost a game all season. Chip Kelly’s “great” offensive schemes have his UCLA team averaging only 17 points a game and allowing 30 something. I would bet Colorado -10, but UCLA has to play desperate. A hungry dog runs faster and what not. Colorado’s Laviska Shenault Jr. has a touchdown in every game and has earned his way onto the list for best wide out in the country. This game is worth watching just for him.

Central Michigan +30 for 2 units. Michigan State has not blown anybody out all season. Central Michigan is 1-3, but they are only allowing 140 passing yards per game on the season. Also, they have 5 interceptions in 4 games. Michigan State has been fairly one dimensional this season with the air attack. MSU only has 3 runs over 10 yards. They will get some 10 yard runs in this one, but 30 points is just too much for this in-state game.

Clemson -25 for 2 units. Syracuse beat Clemson last year. Clemson just named Trevor Lawrence their starter and Bryant has decided to transfer. Sunshine, as Trevor is known, places the ball where it needs to be like he is Jared Goff playing the Vikings on a Thursday. Syracuse has a great QB in Eric Dungey, but he will not be able to do enough against this hungry Clemson defense.

Alabama -49 for 3 units. UL Lafayette lost to Mississippi St. by 46. They scored 10 points in that game, Saban will want his Bama team to pitch a shutout. UL has one of the worst run defenses in college football. Not going to overthink this one.

Texas Tech +3.5 for 2 units. Texas Tech leads college football in plays per game. Tech is historically known for their offense – See Pat Mahomes. Tech’s defense is solid this year though in the games I have watched. Grier has thrown a few too many interceptions already in this young season. Going to Texas Tech is not easy, this might be WVU’s toughest game on the schedule.

NC State -6 for 3 units. UVA is not as good as NC State. It is that simple. The Hoos strength on offense is running, while NCSU has one of the best rush defenses in the country. It gets a little tougher here for State, but I like their consistent QB and their 3-0 record.

ECU -7 for 4 units. East Carolina won’t take ODU for granted. Let down game for The Monarchs. ODU gives up over 500 yards a game; whereas, ECU only gives up 320 YPG. Old Dominion gives up over 225 yards a game on the ground and ECU will take advantage of this. ECU won the only other meeting by 14 and I expect more of the same here. This is a must win for ECU, while ODU has already had one of the best seasons in school history (no exaggeration).

VT +4.5 for 5 units. This is make or break for VT. 2-2 does not look good for them. Duke is good on defense, but so is VT besides last week. Ryan Willis takes over for VT here. Duke has not been tested yet and I think this will be a close one. I am taking the points.

Ohio State -3 for 2 units. OSU is just better than Penn State. I thought this line would be OSU -7 so I will bite.

LSU -10 for 5 units. I love this LSU team. Ed O is the man. I need a translator sometimes to understand him, but it is still awesome. He sounds a lot like my uncle when he has a lot of chewing tobacco in his mouth. LSU’s offense does not make mistakes and the Ole Miss defensive front is not as strong as past years. LSU’s defense can shut down Ole Miss to cover here. LSU’s scoring defense is 15th. Ole Miss’s scoring defense is 112th.

Hockey September 28th

9-7-2 on Hockey this season up 5.36 units

45-46-6 on Hockey last season and went up 10.46 units

Waiting to bet on NHL till the regular season starts. Been watching a little pre-season and I have noticed defense does not seem as important this time of year. Finnish hockey’s regular season is important this time of year though!

HIFK/Pelicans over 5 at -129 for 5 units. HIFK Helsinki have the most goals in the league and they have played a game less than some teams. Erik Thorell has 8 points in 5 games for Helsinki. 3 other players have more than 6 points each in 5 games. This offense is clicking early in the season. Helsinki finished last season strong and they have seemed to pick up right where they left off. 6 of the last 7 domestic games between these two have gone over. Every Helsinki game has gone over this season.

KalPa pk -115 for 2 units. KalPa has lost two in a row, but against better competition than Tappara. KalPa get back on track here.

HIFK pk -120 for 2 units. See above.

TPS pk +116 for 2 units. TPS has 4 players in the top 10 of points in this league. JYP has Eric Perrin. Turku are the better team so this line confuses me a little, but I will bite.

Jukurit pk -121 for 2 units. HPK has lost their last two games by a combined score of 10-2. Jukurit will take advantage of this today.

Tennis September 28th

46-21-2 on tennis up 18.09 units

Got juiced last time out on tennis. Listening to Tha Carter V as I write this so all of these are going to win.

Fabio Fognini at -235 for 4 units. Matthew Ebden has an advantage in the sense that he has played more matches in Asia on the tour than Fognini.. that is where his advantages end. Fognini has seemed to turn a corner this season and is weirdly consistent. Fabio has made it this far twice in Asia and both times he lost to Nadal. He will want to beat his personal best performance. The only person that can motivate Fognini is – well his wife, but besides her – him. Ebden doesn’t have the talent if Fognini is 75% of himself.

Bernard Tomic at +102 for 2 units. Tomic meets the youngster Felix Auger-Aliassime in China today. This is Felix’s maiden quarterfinal appearance. Felix is a lucky loser in this tournament, while Tomic has fought well in 4 close matches. This match could honestly go either way, but I am siding with the experience in this one. Felix has an even brighter future regardless now that he has beat world number 23 Hyeon Chung in this tournament.