46-21-2 on tennis up 18.09 units
Got juiced last time out on tennis. Listening to Tha Carter V as I write this so all of these are going to win.
Fabio Fognini at -235 for 4 units. Matthew Ebden has an advantage in the sense that he has played more matches in Asia on the tour than Fognini.. that is where his advantages end. Fognini has seemed to turn a corner this season and is weirdly consistent. Fabio has made it this far twice in Asia and both times he lost to Nadal. He will want to beat his personal best performance. The only person that can motivate Fognini is – well his wife, but besides her – him. Ebden doesn’t have the talent if Fognini is 75% of himself.
Bernard Tomic at +102 for 2 units. Tomic meets the youngster Felix Auger-Aliassime in China today. This is Felix’s maiden quarterfinal appearance. Felix is a lucky loser in this tournament, while Tomic has fought well in 4 close matches. This match could honestly go either way, but I am siding with the experience in this one. Felix has an even brighter future regardless now that he has beat world number 23 Hyeon Chung in this tournament.