Day: December 8, 2018

MMA

Holloway/Ortega

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0-0 on UFC/MMA

Thiago Santos at -191 for 3 units. Thiago Santos is Brazilian. Jimi Manuwa isn’t. What more do you need to know? Seriously though. Manuwa has the reach advantage, but Thiago’s ability to use body and leg kicks will wear Manuwa down. Santos received the fight of the night last time out in his TKO win over Eryk Anders. That momentum carries over.

Valentina Shevchenko at -303 for 3 units. Shevchenko has been close to winning a title, but hasn’t done it yet. She gets it tonight. Jedrzejczyk losses to Namajunas knocked her down a peg, but she is still a beast monster. Valentina has to make this fight ugly and not let Jedrzejczyk kickbox her to death. 125 is the ideal weight for Valentina and that will show tonight.

Brian Ortega at -105 for 4 units. Ortega has never lost. Max Holloway is no joke, but I am just going with my gut in this one. Holloway has won 12 fights in a row and that is the longest current active streak in the UFC. Holloway has had to pull out of 2 title fights this season due to health concerns. Ortega has never been knocked out, even though he has lost some rounds handily. The scrappiness of Ortega is hard to deny. Should be a good one.

Basketball

College Basketball December 8th

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70-62-2 on NCAAB last season and went up 8.95 units

3-6-1 this season down 9.91 units

VCU upsetting Texas ruined my parlay, but as a VCU fan.. I was happy. I honestly didn’t think VCU had enough size to compete with the Texas forwards. The Rams don’t have the best offensive team this season, but they are balances and solid on defense. Virginia will be a big test for them tomorrow.

Florida St/Pepperdine -17 Parlay risking 4 units to win 5.67 units. FSU’s big men, Christ Koumadje and Mfiondu Kabengele will be too much for UConn. Phil Cofer is out for FSU, but Mann and the big men should do enough. Uconn has improved this season with 6 wins over mid major and a win over then ranked #15 Syracuse, but I still like FSU. Pepperdine has lost two in a row, but now is favored by 17 against Jackson St. Pepperdine plays a lot better at home, where the 3 ball falls a littler more often for them. Colby Ross will ball out for the Waves.

Soccer

Saturday Soccer

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66-51-6 on Soccer since World Cup up 23.98 units

Tottenham +0 at -228 for 3 units. I don’t know if I like Tottenham this season more than I should, or if Vegas just hates them, but I usually like the Tottenham lines this season. Today is no different. Tottenham has won 8 of their last 10 league matches. Harry Kane, Son, Eriksen, and Lucas are all in form. Leicester have only scored 5 goals in their past 5 league games. Tottenham’s attacking talent will be too much for Leicester to keep pace with.

Barcelona -1 at -142 for 5 units. Messi has scored or assisted in every game since his injury. Espanyol have only scored 4 goals in their past 5 league games. Espanyol have lost 3 games in a row. Real Madrid and Barcelona have looked vulnerable at points this season, which is why Sevilla has been atop the table for some of this season. I think Barcelona knows they need to win these games if they want to win the league. It’ll be a fun Catalan Derby, but I think Barcelona wins.

Football

Navy @ Army

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43-31 on College Football up 28.43 units

Army at -332 for 3 units. Army is just better than Navy this season. Army is going for their first 11 win season in school history with a win here and in their bowl game. Navy is one of the best teams in the nation at rushing the ball, but Army knows this and will gameplan to stop their rushing attack. One of the best rivalries in all of sports, even the plebes care. This Army team barely lost to Oklahoma in September and haven’t lost since then. Navy gives up over 30 points a game and Army only gives up 18.7 points a game. Defense will be the difference in this one.