61-53-2 on NBA in 2018 up 9.28 units
12-12-2 on NBA this season down 1.04 units
Celtics at -166 for 6 units. Celtics are starting to put together some wins after their struggles at the start of the season. The Wizards are, well, still struggling. Otto Porter is a game-time decision. Celtics should be close to full strength after sitting 5 in their win against the Pelicans. Boston has a better coach, bench, defense, and are playing better. Only thing that keeps me from making this a max play is the fact that it is in Washington.
Hornets at -246 for 3 units. Charlotte has had Detroit’s number of late. Winner of this game secures the 6th seed in the East (for now). Hornets are 9-5 at home. Pistons have lost 5 in a row and are 4-6 on the road. Hornets will make enough 3s to win this game. Charlottes shoots about 5% better at home. Tony Parker went off with 24 points for the Hornets the first time these two met. Miles Bridges will give Blake’s dunking ability a run for his money. Hornets play better at home, are hotter than the Pistons, and have a better bench/less injury concerns.
Thunder at -127 for 2 units. Paul George is playing well. The Thunder should make Tim Frazier try and guard Westbrook if they want to win. Steven Adams is a good counter to Anthony Davis. The Pelicans just lost to the Celtics “B” team. The Pelicans give up 115 points a game, while the Thunder only give up 104 points a game. It is amazing the Thunder turned Carmelo into Schroder. Sam Presti is a wizard with that shit. The Thunder are 14-1 this season against teams with a losing record.
72-54-6 on Soccer since World Cup up 27.09 units
Ousmane Dembele is good. Tottenham got a late equalizer to move on to the round of 16. Inter could not do enough to beat PSV at home to move on. Inter had over 20 shots and 1 goal. They bottled it. Also, Salah is good.
Real Madrid/CSKA Moscow under 4 at -215 for 3 units. Moscow needs a point and a Viktoria Plzeň loss, or a win a Viktoria loss or draw. Viktoria is playing Roma. Real Madrid secures the group with a draw. 5 goals is a lot for a game that both teams could be happy with a draw. Moscow haven’t scored more than twice in their last 16 games. Moscow won 1-0 last time these two met, but Real is in much better form than they were in that game. Real have only allowed 1 goal in their past 3 games. Real’s improved defense and them only needing a draw pushes this one under.
Juventus -1 at -167 for 6 units. Juventus won against Young Boys 3-0 last time they met. Juve have kept 5 clean sheets in a row. Juve wins the group with a win. They win today. Don’t bet against Ronaldo in Champions League..
Bayern Munich +0 at -191 for 2 units. Bayern and Ajax play for the group today. Bayern wins the group with a win or draw. Niko Kovac is still coaching for his job for Bayern so he will want to put in a good result here (a good lineup will be out there today). De Boer and Seedorf were playing on Ajax last time they beat Bayern in 1995. Dusan Tadic is great for Ajax, but Bayern has a lot to play for and too much talent.
Hoffenheim +2 at +101 for 2 units. Man City is out of form. KDB and David Silva will be missed. Man City just need a draw to win the group. Hoffenheim need a win and a Shakhtar loss to Lyon today to move on. Not likely. Hoffenheim have scored more than 4 goals a game in away games this season. I like this spot.
Lyon +0.5 at -149 for 2 units. Lyon secure the next round with a win or draw. Nabil Fekir may be gone in January, but he has been great for Lyon for a few years now. They tied 2-2 last time they played Shakhtar Donetsk. Lyon have not lost in Champions League yet this season and I don’t think they lose today.
Juventus -1/Bayern Munich +0/Hoffenheim +2/Lyon +0.5 Parlay risking 2 units to win 11.25 units. Send it.