Darren Till/Masvidal UFC Fight Night 147 Preview

6-1 on UFC/MMA in 2018 up 9.90 units

14-6-1 in 2019 up 13.28 units

Nad Nariman/Mike Grundy under 2.5 at +220 for 1 unit. Neither of these guys have anything to lose in this one. This is Nariman’s 3rd UFC fight (2-0) and Grundy’s first. Grundy is the “bigger” guy for their weight class, but both are around 165-170 lbs. If Grundy can get this fight on the ground, he will win. I just think Nariman will come out swinging and Grundy will be aiming for takedowns. That combo will lead to the under hitting more than these odds imply. 

Dan Ige at -136 for 2 units. Ige has a black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu and brown belt in Judo. Ige’s nickname is dynamite. His opponent’s nickname is hatchet. Dynamite explodes hatchets, everyone knows that. Don’t let Ige get on top of you…

Image result for dan ige gif

Joseph Duffy/Marc Diakiese under 2.5 at -104 for 2 units. Marc Diakiese looks better at fighting than his results indicate. He has lost 3 in a row and had this to say when asked about his recent slide..

“I still feel the passion for it. Now I know it’s not just about being tough. It’s about being smart in the cage, as well, and having a team around you, which I’m doing.”

The man is a beast though. Duffy, on the other hand, has submitted or TKO’d his opponent in the first round in half of his UFC fights. Duffy is a black belt in taekwondo, purple belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, and a black belt in Ju-Jitsu. Diakiese has his back against the wall in this one because if he loses, it’ll be tough to book another UFC fight. Diakiese comes out swinging and either gets caught off-guard or gets the win.

Darren Till at -221 for 5 units. Darren Till is the much more consistent fighter when compared to Jorge Masvidal. Till impressed me in his win over Stephen Thompson. This is his first fight back in England since he beat Thompson. Masvidal has a kickboxing background and Till has a muay thai, luta livre background. Till has to win this one if he wants to stay in the welterweight title picture. Masvidal hasn’t won since he beat Cerrone in January of 2017. Till has the power and Masvidal has the pace when it comes to the stand-up game, which is where I think the majority of this fight will take place. Siding with the consistent power on this one.

Image result for darren till gif

Tournament Time – Bubble Watch

70-62-2 on NCAAB last season and went up 8.95 units

32-28-1 this season up 13.32 units

7-1 over the past three days.

Old Dominion at -183 for 7 units. UAB beat ODU by 14 at home, but loss by 11 on the road against the Monarchs. Now we get a neutral site rubber match. ODU did not come to play in that loss. They come ready to play tonight. UAB’s biggest starter is 6-foot-7. ODU’s is 7-foot-1. ODU got outrebounded in their loss to UAB, which highlights their lack of hustle in that game. They come ready to play today. Aaron Carver, Ahmad Caver, B.J. Stith, and Xavier Green get it done for ODU. Taking the team with better guard play.

Nebraska +8 for 2 units. Wisconsin struggles to score at time. Nebraska’s James Palmer Jr. does not struggle to score. James was on fire in Nebraska’s upset over Maryland. Nebraska lost by 11 to Wisconsin at home this season, but Wisconsin got them playing their worst basketball of the season. Nebraska are playing better now. 

Davidson at -257 for 3 units. This line should be closer to -400 than -200. It is that simple.

North Carolina +4 for 2 units. Zion is back, but beating Syracuse without Syracuse’s best player doesn’t impress me too much. North Carolina’s Coby White and Cam Johnson are silky from deep. Kenny Williams is one of the best defenders in the country, but somehow didn’t make the All-ACC defensive team. The voters had to be drunk. Luke Maye is nowhere near as athletic as Williamson or Barrett, but can still have a huge impact on the game. Marques Bolden being out hurts Duke. UNC can be taken advantage of inside, but his ankle injury makes that a little tougher to do. UNC makes 3s and hits the offensive glass for the cover.

West Virginia +11 for 2 units. WVU’s hustle and rebounding were amazing last night. Jarrett Culver settled for too many jumpers for Texas Tech, but credit to the Mountaineers for their great defense on him. This WVU team is playing too hard right now to lose by 11 or more.