NFL Season Opener – Packers at Bears

69-58-5 on the NFL last season (2018/19) up 26.36 units

0-2 on the NFL this season down 3.00 units 

Rodgers over 2 Tds/David Montgomery over 48.5 yards at +127 for 2 units. Aaron Rodgers will throw for 2 touchdowns in this new offense. I am confident. A lot of people love David Montgomery, I am not that high on him, but I think he can get 50 yards in the Jordan Howard role at least.

Tarik Cohen over 3.5 receptions at +110 for 4 units. Screens. Check-downs. Cohen had 71 receptions last season. 71 divided by 16 is 4.4375 receptions a game. Jordan Howard is gone. Montgomery has been added. I still think Cohen will have a similar role. If the Bears are down, Cohen is going to catch some balls, but even if he is not I like this play.

Euro Qualifiers

92-78-9 on Soccer in 2018 up 8.17 units

36-32-9 on Soccer in 2019 down 12.41 units

Spain at -200 for 6 units. Romania has done well against lower-ranked teams, but this is a step-up in competition. Spain have scored at least 2 goals in every away game since the World Cup. Romania are actually undefeated at home against Spain in their last 6 matches. Impressive, but those games date back decades. Spain has the better national team now. Morata (or Alcacer), Ramos, Isco, Asensio, and others should get the job done. Keseru has been scoring for Romania, but Ramos and Alba should be able to contain him.

MLB September 5th

92-83 on MLB last season and went up 34.31 units

42-39 on MLB this season down 4.86 units

When the Mets were up 10-4 in the bottom of the 9th, I thought they had it won. I am no Mets fan, but I learned what it is like to be a Mets fan over the past few decades on September 3rd, 2019. It was a slow burn of the Nationals scoring 7 runs in the 9th that ended with a walk-off bomb. It pushed the Mets further out of the playoffs. I still won money on the day thanks to the Twins, but Jesus Mets.

Tigers first 5 at -130 for 3 units. Matthew Boyd. Royals can’t hit that well. Kansas City have won 4 in a row, but I think they lose the first 5 today. Merrifield is an impressive 17-36 against Boyd. If Boyd can handle the KC leadoff man, this should win easy.