College Football Saturday – Rivalry Week Continues – Wake Forest Prediction
71-52 on College Football in 2018 up 53.33 units
25-17-2 on College Football in 2019 up 17.88 units
Wake Forest -5 at -110 for 7 units. Syracuse’s defense on the edge and outside is not quick enough for Newman. Wake Forest has some injuries, but so does Syracuse. Jamie Newman and Wake Forest will be able to sustain drives. Tommy DeVito has been hit hard about 489204 times for Syracuse this year. Syracuse’s defense gave up over 600 yards last week against Louisville. Kendall Hinton went off last week for Wake Forest. Wake Forest is the more talented team and I had this line at -10.
Wake Forest/Florida Money Line Parlay risking 4 units to win 2.71 units.
Indiana/Florida Money Line Parlay risking 4 units to win 2.96 units. Florida ain’t losing to Florida State. Indiana is good at football this year, Purdue is not as good. I could give you numbers, but drank a lot last night..
College Football Friday – Rivalry Week Predictions
71-52 on College Football in 2018 up 53.33 units
22-16-2 on College Football in 2019 up 19.44 units
The number of plays always goes up at this point in the season. I have bet on every bowl game the past two years.. and I don’t plan on stopping. I was up around 25 units around this time last year, and then turnt it up. Let’s do it again!!
Buffalo -29 for 2 units. Buffalo has 6 wins, but may not get a bowl if they lose this game. They will want to smack Bowling Green to get a better bowl. Bowling Green got smacked by Ohio and Miami of Ohio over the past two weeks. Kyle Vantrease is a solid QB for Buffalo. Bowling Green is 0-5 on the road. Honestly haven’t watched Buffalo since they covered easily against Eastern and Western Michigan in back 2 back weeks. So in my head, they are really damn good at covering the spread.
Iowa at -210 for 3 units. Nebraska worked Maryland up and down the field last week. That just means we got this Moneyline at -210 and not -350. Thank you Maryland.
Boise State -14 for 6 units. Talked about this one on the the Locks and Thoughts Podcast that can be found on soundcloud, Apple Podcasts, Google Play, and Castbox. The Gist: Colorado State have played a soft schedule and still have given up over 31 points a game. Freshman RB George Halani had a lot of chunk plays last week. His fresh legs will wear the Rams down. I don’t trust the Colorado State offense to sustain drives against this Broncos defense. Boise State can go undefeated for the first time ever in this conference today.
UCF -23 for 1 unit. Little 8 Pm EST action. UCF has the advantage at QB and on defense. Freshman Dillon Gabriel has a top-15 passer rating. USF has struggled to move the ball lately. UCF has one of the best defenses in the conference with regards to yardage. The Golden Knight seniors could complete the 4 years of 10 win seasons. That is an awesome accomplishment for them.
College Basketball November 29th – Emerald Coast Classic – Purdue VCU Prediction
70-62-2 on NCAAB last season up 8.95 units
13-14-1 this season up 0.17 units
Purdue -2.5 at -110 for 3 units. #EmotinalHedgeAlert VCU doesn’t have the ability to guard a true 7-footer like Matt Haarms. I say this as a VCU grad that has been to 3 games this year. This VCU team is great and could make a deep tournament run, but I think they lose in their second stiff test of the season (beating LSU was the first one). Some of Marcus Evans, De’Riante Jenkins, Vann, Crowfield, and Hyland could get hot from deep. Haarms could get in foul trouble, but on a neutral floor I like going with the team that has the better post presence. Also, Purdue know they need a marquee win after losing to Texas and Marquette already. I like Santos-Silva a lot, VCU’s main big man, but I think he will struggle today. As a VCU fan, I hope he proves me wrong, but as a gambler..
Thanksgiving Day Sports Recap – Egg Bowl/Piss Game, NFL, Europa League, and More
Ole Miss had a 4th and 24 or more on their side of the field down a touchdown with 50 seconds left. A 57 yard pass to Braylon Sanders and Ole Miss is back in business. Ole Miss got a short TD later and then Elijah Moore pissed in the EndZone like a dog. Ole Miss then missed the long extra point. Pissed Away the game.
What a start to rivalry week. That Mississippi State game got me hype for the next few days. I love this time of year. I will be traveling a lot over the next two weeks, so sorry if my posts are not as frequent. Thanks you to my readers. To the the trolls and haters, sorry I went 6-0 yesterday 🙂
Cole Beasley went off and hit all 3 of my prop bets. Revenge games are a thing. I try to stay away from player prop over because it has been proven that they are a little high on average. I liked that spot though. The Bills got down early against the Cowboys, but then shit-pumped them 26-15. Jason Garrrrrrreally bad coach still has a job somehow. Hey Jerry Jones, if you need a new puppet to coach your team, I am here for you.
The Bears beat the Lions in what was an incredibly average game. Mitch looked average. I bet the Bears and never felt good about it till it was over. Blough was actually pretty good. I though Matt Patricia was a defensive specialist? Oh no? That was Belichick. Word. The Saints beat the Julio Jones-less Falcons. Onside kicks galore in that game. Have to admit, I watched more of the Ole Miss Piss game than the Saints game… because as a Panthers fan, I hate both those teams.. but the Stiff arm on Matt Ryan was mad sexy. The North Carolina native Shy Tuttle is a grown man.
Manchester United and Arsenal lost their Europa League matches today. United have already qualified though.
Oh, and this goal was scored. Pink balls are cool. Lot better than the blue ones.
Gonzaga beat an undefeated Oregon team in college basketball today. North Carolina lost to an undefeated Michigan team today. UNC opened up the second half flat as Vincent Kompany’s forhead. Shoutout to Marquette for covering the game and second half spread.
Thanksgiving College Basketball
70-62-2 on NCAAB last season up 8.95 units
12-14-1 this season down 4.33 units
Marquette -4 at -110 for 5 units. Davidson return some key players from last year’s team, but they lack the size and defense to stop Marquette. Brendan Bailey finally broke out of his cold-slump for Marquette against Robert Morris. Markus Howard is a great guard for the Golden Eagles. Jon Axel Gudmundsson and Kellan Grady are great guards for Davidson, but I expect Marquette’s advantage on defense to be the difference.
NFL Thanksgiving Day Game Predictions
69-58-5 on the NFL last season (2018/19) up 26.36 units
35-45 on the NFL this season down 5.68 units
Bears at -180 for 5 units. Would play all the way up to -250. Bears were even money at one point. Two Words: David Blough. Blough is going to start at Noon on Thanksgiving. The XFL blocked the Lions from picking up Josh Johnson. The NFL (says they haven’t but) have blocked the Lions from picking up Colin Kaepernick. Mitch should be able to do enough against the below average Lions secondary. When Mitch plays even close to average, the Bears win. Blough is not fast and can’t throw a deep ball all that well. Bears are top-10 in all the major defenses categories. Bears have something to play for. Lions don’t.
Bills +7 at -115 for 3 units. Cowboys have lost to every solid team they have faced this season (Packers, Vikings, Saints, and Patriots). Josh Allen has actually played better than Dak since week 5: Better TD/INT ratio, more rushing yards, better passing rating, and more wins. John Brown is no joke. Brown and Cooper have a similar amount of yards and catches this season. I think the Bills have a comparable team to the Cowboys and 7 points is generous. Cole Beasley revenge game. Bills are allowing less than 16 points a game this season. Buffalo has the special teams advantage. Plus, the Bills have this guy on their side.
Cole Beasley over 42.5 receiving yards at -115 for 1 unit.
Cole Beasley over 52.5 receiving yards at +108 for 1 unit.
Cole Beasley over 62.5 receiving yards at +140 for 1 unit. Beasley is playing against his former team here. Revenge game. Teams are starting to focus more on Brown. Beasley has had over 70 yards in 2 of his last 3 games. Josh Allen has been performing over the past few weeks. I like this spot a lot.
Thanksgiving Week Parlays
3-8-1 on weekend parlay up 5.66 units
My parlay last weekend made it to Sunday, so hedging out was a real possibility. The Falcons and Browns were the Sunday plays. Falcons blew it. I am counting it as a push because hedging out should have happened to some winnings.
All the colleges are football plays. Hard to get lines that you can put into parlays with college basketball days in advance with all the tournaments going on.
Cant Win Parlay:
Bears/Jimmy Robertson (Snooker)/Saints/Buffalo -29/Boise State/App State/Real Madrid/Manchester City/Leipzig/Liverpool/Indiana/Wake Forest/Juventus/Aston Villa +1/Panthers/Eagles/Chiefs
Risking 2 units to win 639.39 units.
Cant Lose Parlay:
Manchester United and Sevilla in Europa League/Bears/Iowa/Boise State/Manchester City/Liverpool/Tottenham/Oklahoma/Panthers/Eagles/Chiefs
Risking 2 units to win 63.86 units.
Duke Lost!! College Basketball November 27th Predictions – Thanksgiving Tournaments in Full Swing
70-62-2 on NCAAB last season up 8.95 units
12-14-1 this season down 4.33 units
Dook lost to Stephen F. Austin in overtime. Love it.
North Carolina -9 at -115 for 3 units. UNC slipped up this time last year, getting smacked by Michigan. This team knows this. UNC won’t want to lose the day after their arch-rival. Roy knows how to get his teams ready for these type of tournaments. Alabama has lost to Penn and Rhode Island this season. They gave up over 80 points in both those games. The over/under for this game is set at a silly high 155 points. Alabama plays at just as fast a pace as UNC does this season. UNC should get 80 points at least. UNC has not covered in their last 3 games, that changes today. Cole Anthony is going to be the best player on the court. North Carolina’s defense, especially with the Robinson back in the lineup, and Cole Anthony/Armando Bacot’s scoring get UNC their first cover since their opener.
Maine/Virginia over 106 at -105 for 3 units. Alright. This is the lowest under/over by 20 points today. Overs are 1-5 for UVA this year.. so why take the over? The one over that won was at 109.5 against Vermont. Vermont is close to Maine. This number is so damn low the final score could be 63-44 and it would hit. I ain’t scared. Are you?
Seton Hall +1.5 at -110 for 2 units. Seton Hall has smacked everyone by 17 or more, except for their loss to Michigan State. Oregon hasn’t played a game outside of Oregon until now. Payton Pritchard is fun to watch for Oregon, Bill Walton has called him a midget before. Myles Powell will be the best big man on the floor. He is averaging over 22 points a game for Seton Hall. I like taking the team that has a strong inside scorer in these “coin-flip neutral floor” games.
Champions League Round 5 Recap and More Predictions – VAR and PSG Meet Again
92-78-9 on Soccer in 2018 up 8.17 units
58-50-11 on Soccer in 2019 down 13.36 units
Shoutout to Lewandowski for scoring 4 goals in the second half and making my Bayern over 2.5 goals bet hit easily. Mourinho and Tottenham got down 2-0, but Kane, Alli, and Son proved too much for Olympiacos. PSG thought they got a red card on Courtois at the end of the first half, but there was VAR decision that ruled a foul on Gueye, before PSG started making their move towards goal. Marcelo deff embellished the foul committed by Gueye, but should a small foul that the ref did not call in real-time affect a red card that happened 15 seconds later? It did today..
Dybala scored this goal against Oblak, one of the best goalkeepers in the World.
PSG, Real Madrid, Bayern Munich, Tottenham, Manchester City, and Juventus are the 6 teams that have advanced already. There are 12 spots remaining, who will earn them?
Leipzig -1 at -120 for 4 units. Leipzig can secure advancement with a win. Leipzig are averaging 3-1 wins over their past 5 home matches. Timo Werner and Sabitzer have been in-form for the Germans. Benfica are bottom of the group, but are playing well in the league. Benfica have lost by multiple goals in their last couple trips to Germany.
Barcelona -1 at -120 for 4 units. Barcelona can win the group with a win here. Dortmund played an unconvincing game 3-3 draw against Paderborn over the weekend. Dortmund needed two goals late to draw. Now Delaney has an ankle problem. Barcelona haven’t lost in their past 34 Champions League home games. Dortmund lost to Inter 2-0 in their last Champions League away game. Neither Dortmund nor Barcelona have found the form they had at this point last season, but one team has Messi and Suarez.
Chelsea at +105 for 2 units. Valencia had 8 players out with injury in their 2-1 lost against Betis. They are not going to all magically get healthy before this game with Chelsea. Chelsea are coming off of a tough 2-1 loss to Manchester City. Pulisic, Willian, CHO, Mount, and Abraham should be able to find some space against a solid Valencia defense. I just think Chelsea are playing better soccer now, than in September when they lost to Valencia 1-0.