NBA December 3rd Predictions – Chalk Talk

61-53-2 on NBA in 2017/18 up 9.28 units

30-28-2 on NBA in 2018/19 up 4.16 units 

7-7-1 on NBA in 2019/20 down 3.91 units

Mavericks/Rockets/Clippers Parlay risking 6 units to win 8.43 units. All 3 of these teams are more favored than they were when the line opened. No reverse line movement in any of them. Luka, Harden, and Kawhi are all playing well. Carmelo got Western Conference player of the week, but the Blazers won’t beat the Clippers. Harden dropped like 45 a game on over 70% TS last week and didn’t win the relatively meaningless player of the week award.

Rockets -6 at -110 for 4 units. You can bet against Harden. I am not. The Pistons smacked the Spurs last time out. Rockets > Pistons. San Antonio’s problem in that Pistons game? Allowing 15 3s. The Rockets excel in shooting 3s. Ben McLemore is playing better. Clint Capela and Danuel House should be back for this one. Not going to overthink this one. The line has moved from -2 to -6.5 as of now.

College Basketball December 3rd – ACC/Big 10 Challenge – Michigan is Ranked

70-62-2 on NCAAB last season up 8.95 units

14-14-1 this season up 2.92 units

Michigan went from unranked to the the #4 team in the country. The Biggest jump since Kansas in 1989. Kansas beat Kentucky 150-95, among other things, to jump that high. Roy Williams likes to score. Safe to say the over hit in that one. Reddit user Homebrewingislife recalled this, Pitino was out of timeouts and Roy offered to call one for him. Pitino flipped Roy the bird and Roy promptly benched the walk-ons and re-inserted the starters and told them to run up the score. Gotta love it.

Short write-ups today. Sorry.

St Johns -20.5 for 2 units. St Johns is too good.

William & Mary +115 for 4 units. William & Mary’s height will cause problems for ODU.

Louisville -255 for 4 units. Michigan can take the 1 ranking with a win, but I think they lose.

Dook +6.5 at -110 for 4 units. Give me the points. I expect this game to be close.