69-58-5 on the NFL last season (2018/19) up 26.36 units
42-47 on the NFL this season up 6.19 units
Bears +3 at -110 for 3 units. Allen Robinson and Anthony Miller have been playing great with a high amount of targets over the past two weeks. Amari Cooper struggles on the road averaging less than 3 catches and 40 yards a game. Dallas hasn’t forced a turnover in 4 straight games. Leighton Vander Esch is out. Sean Lee is playing old. Lame Duck Coach in Jason Garrett. Cowboys are not good on special teams, Cordarrelle Patterson is. Mack is still a beast. I expect Mitch to be average, but run for some first downs. I have this game as a coin-flip, so give me the points and the home team.
92-78-9 on Soccer in 2018 up 8.17 units
62-54-11 on Soccer in 2019 down 14.82 units
Going with the big favorite today.
Arsenal at -167 for 8 units. Interim head coach Freddie Ljungberg’s second game since taking over for Arsenal. Aubameyang is in-form and he scored twice in Arsenal’s latest draw to Norwich City. Arsenal have scored in the opening 30 minutes in half of their home league games this season. Brighton have not won an away league game since the season opener against Watford. I would feel even better about this play if Mustafi doesn’t start again. Pukki’s goal was a deflection off of him. Put in Martinelli for Willock, and I will be even more confident in this play.
Sheffield United at -120 for 2 units. Newcastle surprised me and many others with their 2-2 draw against Manchester City. Was it a sign of things to come for Newcastle, or a let down game for Man City? Sheffield is a tough club to play at this season. These two have not met in the Premier League since George W Bush was the president of the United States. Mousset is in-form and has had some close calls on goals to add to the ones he did score. Sheffield have a stronger defense (given up half as many goals over each teams’ last 10 matches) and are at home.