29-29-4 in Hockey up 6.63 units
Penguins ML at -158 for 3 units. Penguins are banged up, but I think a lot of their game-time decisions will play (Malkin, Geno, and Hornqvist). Matt Murray got outplayed in the last game, that will be hard to repeat for the Flyers. Crosby should be able to do enough in this one for the Penguins. I like this spot.
9-8-1 on NBA Playoffs up 6.41 units
Lebron got outscored by Bojan Bogdanovic and the Pacers took a 2-1 series lead over the Cavs. Bogdanovic is a 40% 3 point shooter this season and Bojan can guard Lebron. Jeez. John Wall and the Wizards smacked the Raptors. I thought Lowry and DeRozan would step up. Bucks poured it on in Game 3 and may have figured out the Celtics even though they are down 2-1.
76ers -3.5 for 2 units. Embiid is back. Simmons is nice. 76ers hit the 3 better in Game 3. I think that will continue. Whiteside got in foul trouble and played few minutes. Hassan’s lack of play seems to be a theme in this series. Justise Winslow scored a season high last time out, but I think the 76ers will be too much for the Heat here.
Blazers +7 for 1 unit. They can’t get swept can they?
Rockets -5.5 for 3 units. A change of scenery isn’t going to stop Harden and CP3. Timberwolves missed their chance to make this a series in Game 1. Harden had a bad game last time out and the Rockets still won by 20.
Thunder +4.5 for 2 units. Too many points I think. Westbrook and Crew will be better than Game 2. Thunder were up after the 3rd quarter in the last game, then Westbrook, Carmelo, and Playoff P went 0-14 in the 4th. That won’t happen again.
28-28-4 in Hockey up 7.38 units
Capitals ML at -160 for 2 units. Holtby has been playing well since he was put in this series. He stopped 23 of 24 shots last time out. Capitals looked better in Game 4 than any other game this series. I think they carry this momentum to a series lead.
Bruins ML at -181 for 2 units. Rask made 31 saves last time out. Kadri will be back for the Leafs, but I don’t think that matters too much. There have just been too many holes in the Maple Leafs defense it seems. Brad Marchand and crew should end the series tonight.
15-13 on MLB up 0.64 units
Yankees ML at -158 for 2 units. Marcus Stroman has not been pitching well this season, so I will bet against him. Aaron Judge has 3 home runs in 14 at-bats vs. Stroman. Gary Sanchez won’t be playing for the Yankees, but Romine is better behind the plate anyway. The Yankees need to string together some wins if they want to keep up with the….
Red Sox ML at -164 for 2 units. The Red Sox were down 3-0 to the A’s, but got it back in the next inning. Then Moreland hit a grand slam in the 6th inning that was the difference. Sean Manaea has been pitching well for the Athletics, but he has the tendency to give up home runs. Chris Sale is on the mound for Boston today. Sale has a 2.60 ERA against the Athletics in his career.
Rangers ML at +140 for 2 units. Colon is back!! Bartolo almost had a perfect game his last time out. Paxton pitched well for the Mariners against the Astros his last time up, but I think the Rangers can get some runs off him here.
8-6-1 on NBA Playoffs up 6.57 units
Embiid came back and the 76ers waxed the heat. Are the 76ers the favorite in the East now? Pelicans dominated the Blazers again. Mirotic dropped 30 points. Warriors got the win behind a balanced attack and did just enough to push the over. Thank you Warriors.
Cavs +1 for 1 unit. Cavs are 0-2 against the spread this series. Cavs are 32-51 against the spread this year, but I am betting them here. Lebron looked lazy in Game 1, but he came to play in Game 2 (obviously). He should come to play again here. If Cavs lose this one, I will bet them heavy in Game 4. The rigged NBA won’t let the Cavs lose in the first round.
Raptors +1.5 for 2 units. Wizards are dysfunctional and the Raptors are just better. This is a trap line and the Wizards may pull out a win, but I think the Raptors know they can essentially end the series tonight with a win. They can’t let John Wall back in the series. Also, DeRozan is nice.
Bucks Celtics over 204 for 3 units. Both of the previous games in this series have soared over and now we get a sketchy 204 over. Usually, I would zag and take the under, but the line is even more fishy to me at Bucks -5.5. I am just hoping the Bucks put up a lot of points in this one and their defense keeps being below average.
28-27-3 in Hockey up 8.38 units
5-0 over the past two days.
Bruins take a commanding lead over the Leafs with a 3-1 advantage. Caps win both games in Columbus and are now even 2-2. Keep playing Holtby would be my suggestion.
Predators Avalanche over 6 at +110 for 1 unit.
Flyers Penguins over 6 at +113 for 1 unit. Both of these games had 5 goals in them last time out. I just think we may seem some discouragement and giving up from the teams losing the series or we will see a close game with a few goals from each team. I think the Penguins game could be a blow out and the Preds game could be close, but I do not feel strongly enough to bet those outcomes. I hope Forsberg and Crosby can at least push one of these over.
13-12 on MLB in 2018 down 3.1 units
Indians ML at -117 for 4 units. O’s have their best pitcher on the mound (Dylan Bundy), but I do not think it will be enough to secure a win here. The Indians have been playing better of late than at the start of the season. The line seems like it should be closer to -140, so I am taking the value here.
Blue Jays ML at +174 for 3 units. Tilting a little here. Blue Jays have to beat the Yankees once in this series, right? Sonny Gray hasn’t given up a home run this season, but he has given up 25 baserunners in 13 innings. I think +174 is just way too good of value to pass up. Blue Jays should be able to get some runs in this one.
Red Sox ML at -118 for 2 units. Just going to keep riding the Red Sox till they lose. Mad I didn’t bet them last night. Plus, Kendall Graveman has been awful this season for the Athletics.
Red Sox over 4.5 runs at -120 for 1 unit. Graveman fade.
3-1 on tennis up 1.65 units
Nadal ML at -910 for 3 units. Dimitrov has never beat Nadal on Clay. Nadal has won this tournament 10 times. Nadal hasn’t lost a set this calendar year. Just going to keep riding him in Monte Carlo. Simple.
6-5-1 on NBA Playoffs up 2.09 units
RIP Erin Popovich
Pacers almost made the comeback, but the Cavs evened the series. The Cavs are 0-2 against the spread this playoffs. If the line is anything more than Cavs -4 in Indianapolis, I’ll bet the Pacers again. Lebron had a dominant first half, I still hate how he complains to refs instead of getting back on defense.. just wait till a stoppage in play. Maybe I am just old school. Donovan Mitchell and Derrick Favors beat the Thunder and tried to push the over over, but Paul George, Westbrook, and Carmelo went 0-14 in the 4th quarter. Thanks Big 3. The Rockets worked the T’Wolves and CP3 went silly.
76ers -2 at -108 for 3 units. 76ers can’t shoot worse from 3 (19.4%) than they did in Game 2. Covington won’t shoot 9 3s again. Amir Johnson will have to play well again against Whiteside. Ben Simmons will adjust after getting slowed down in Game 2. Wade turned back the clock and went off, but I don’t know if he can do that in back to back games. I just think the 76ers are the better team and they know they have to win this game.
Blazers +4 for 2 units. Just too many points against a hungry Blazers team. Lillard has to step up and I think he will. I don’t like betting against playoff Rondo, Jrue, and The Brow, but this is just too many points for a hungry 3 seed.
Warriors Spurs over 206 for 4 units. Staying away from the line in this one. Pop’s wife passing away may lead to the Spurs playing inspired basketball. -4 is a fishy line anyway and I would usually take the underdog when the line is fishy, but the passing of Erin Popovich throws a wrench into the situation. The last game soared over and the first game should have too, but the Spurs went cold for two large stretches of the first game. They won’t go cold tonight.
26-27-3 in Hockey up 4.51 units
Chasing losses worked. Didn’t like being down units after being up all season. Let’s keep building and be a little more disciplined. Penguins rolled the Flyers. Crosby is now the Penguins’ career postseason points leader. Kucherov had two goals and is a beast for the Lightning. Kuch rocked Sami Vatanen. I thought it was a clean hit, others did not. Nashville held on to beat Colorado. Forsberg is too nasty. The Ducks played their best game of the series and still got swept by the Sharks.
Bruins ML at -118 for 2 units. Another bounce back spot here. They worked for me yesterday so why quit them? The Bruins top line did not have a point in Game 3, that will change in Game 4. Bruins should do a little better against the stretch passes in this one. The Maple Leafs may deserve to be up 2-1 in this series honestly, but I like the Bruins here. Krejci’s line will have to finish better and I think they will be the difference for the Bruins in this one.
Capitals ML at +109 for 2 units. 3 games and 4 overtimes in this series. In a series this close, why not take the team at plus money? I think the Caps will have more confidence than they have had all series in this game. Capitals power play is just too strong for the Blue Jackets. The Blue Jackets had like 3 shots hit the post in the last game, if one of those goes in, this series may be over tonight. They did not go in though and I think the Caps can get this series even tonight.
