Category: Uncategorized

20-19-1 on NBA Playoffs up 9.76 units

Wizards blew it in the 4th quarter like they did all season and multiple games this series. Raptors win Game 6 by limiting turnovers and strong bench play. Will the Wizards blow it up this offseason? Pacers won by 34. Even though the series is 3-3, the total point differential is +42 for the Pacers. They still may lose the series. Oladipo had 28 points on 6-8 shooting from deep. The Thunder lost the series and Westbrook was pissed. The Jazz were better at coaching, passing, defense, and… They were just better. Carmelo had 4 points in the 4th quarter in the entire series. Westbrook had 46 points on 43 shots and Playoff P went 2-16 in Game 6.

Bucks +5 at -118 for 5 units. Bucks have not lost by this much since Game 2. Giannis needs to shoot more than the 10 times like he did last time he was in Boston. Celtics are averaging 93 points in the past 4 games while the Bucks are averaging over 100. I just don’t think Boston can stop Giannis.

Pelicans +9 for 1 unit. Anthony Davis, Uncle Jrue Holiday, and Playoff Rondo went off in the last series and the Warriors have not impressed me too much these playoffs. Who is going to guard Davis? Too many points for how hot the Pelicans are in my opinion.

Pelicans Warriors under 225 for 1 unit. Went 2-1 on unders yesterday so let’s keep it rolling. Warriors did not score over 100 points in their last two games and now they meet a hot team. I thought this number would be 222 so I am taking the little bit of value.

32-32-4 in Hockey up 1.68 units

Bruins ML at +136 for 3 units. Bruins lost out on first place in the East by 1 point to the Lightning in the regular season. Bruins have a top 5 power play and penalty kill. Tampa’s penalty kill struggled this season so I do not put too much stock in them stopping the Devils 16 of 19 times on Jersey’s power play. I think the Bruins will win one game in Tampa. Let’s hope it is this one.

Sharks Knights over 5.5 at +126 for 3 units. Knights had 7 goals by themselves last game.. pretty selfish if you ask me. I just think this is too much value to pass up.

27-20 on MLB up 14.33 units 

6-0 yesterday. Still trying to figure out why the athletics were +143 with Manaea on the mound. Fine with me, that was free money.

Brewers ML at +158 for 3 units. Junior Guerra has given up 2 runs in 16 innings for the Brewers. Jose Quintana has an ERA of 7.78 for the Cubs. Guerra’s is has a 0.56 ERA. I will take the better starting pitcher at plus money. Quintana does have a good history against the Brewers, but this Brewers lineup is better than past seasons.

Diamondbacks ML at -136 for 3 units. Nationals are struggling and the Diamondbacks are not. Now the Diamondbacks get Corbin on the mound. Diamondbacks are 6-2 in day games. Nationals are 5-6. I like this spot.

Giants ML (Game 2) at +107 for 2 units. Cueto at plus money. It is that simple. Cueto has the best ERA in the MLB. Cueto has more strikeouts this year than baserunners allowed. Cueto has not given up a home run either. Also, the Dodgers are banged up.

31-32-4 in Hockey up 0.73 units

Jets Preds under 5.5 for 1 unit. Pekka Rinne is so damn good. Connor Hellebuyck is coming off back 2 back shutouts for the Jets. I expect a sort of feeling out in this game.

18-18-1 on NBA Playoffs up 8.01 units

Bucks win another game at home. Will Bucks be the first team to win a game away from home in Game 7?

Taking all the unders tonight for 2 units each.

Raptors Wiz under 214.5 Raptors role players not being able to make 3s away from home will keep this under.

Pacers Cavs under 203 Expect an ugly game tonight. Only one game this series has gone over this number.

Jazz Thunder under 207 Westbrook went off last game and the Thunder still only scored 107. Gobert won’t get those same terrible foul calls he got last game and the lane will be more clogged as a result. That 4th foul Gobert got in the 3rd quarter makes me think that ref could have been paid off by the NBA.

Sorry for the quick write up. Busy today.

 

21-20 on MLB up 0.71 units

Busy today so quick write ups.

Tigers Orioles under 10 for 2 units. My number has this game at 8 runs.

Nationals Diamondbacks over 7 for 2 units. Gut feeling. Diamondbacks had 8 runs last game and the Nationals had 15.

Rays team total over 3.5 for 2 units. Pomeranz fade and Rays bats are hot.

Rockies ML at -126 for 3 units. Urena fade.

Athletics ML at +148 for 3 units. Manaea and the A’s are hot.

Yankees ML at -143 for 3 units. The walk off win and Giancarlo playing better is all the momentum the Yankees need with Severino on the mound.

4-3 on tennis down 2.02 units

Stefanos Tsitsipas +3.5 for 4 units. Thiem struggled in the first set of his past two matches to the tune of barely winning a tiebreak. Stefanos is playing a lot better than those opponents Thiem stuggled against. Thiem won 2 sets to 1 (by 4 games) when these two played in March. Stefanos is so young at 19 years old. Another month on tour since the last time these two met will give him the experience he needs to cover this spread and maybe even win the match. Stefanos has looked dominant this week beating #40 Ramos Vinolas and #17 (clay specialist) Diego Schwartzman in straight sets.

Tsitsipas – Thiem over 22 games for 1 unit. I think Thiem loses the first set and then makes a comeback of sorts. Thiem will be ready to play though so I could also see a first set tiebreak win for Thiem and then a 6-4 second set going either way. Last match between these two went over. I think Thiem is the better player, but Stefanos is hotter. I like taking the over in these types of situations.

17-17-1 on NBA Playoffs up 9.05 units

Lebron drilled the game winning 3 to put the Cavs up 3-2. Oladipo and the Pacers were rightfully bummed the Lebron goaltending on the possession before wasn’t called. Lebron did what he had to do though. The Raptors won their game against the Wizards behind Jonas Valanciunas, Delon Wright, and DeRozan. Wizards fell apart in the 4th quarter like they have been doing all season. Beal had a decent game, but it seems he struggles on hesi pull up mid range jumpers.. DeRozan doesn’t struggle with those. Westbrook and Paul George went off. Westbrook probably should have been suspended for coming on the court to confront Gobert in the game before but whatever NBA wants their stars to play. 45-15-12 is simply amazing for Russ. Rockets cruised to a win behind a big 3rd quarter like I thought they would. Up 9 units, but my goal is to be up 20 by the end of the playoffs.

Bucks ML at -200 for 2 units. Home team has won every game. Line is -4 for the Bucks. I don’t think Giannis will lose a win or go home game in Wisconsin. Bucks will move the ball better and make more shots than they did last time out in Boston.

Bucks Celtics over 200 for 2 units. Only one game has gone under this series. The Bucks role players shoot a lot better at home. Bucks shot 27% from deep in the last game, that number should go up a little. Giannis only had 10 shots in the last game, that has to go up for this bet to win.

 

Betting big on the draft tonight. Feel good about these. Being a little undisciplined here, but money.

• #1 overall pick

Sam Darnold at +175 for 1 unit.

Saquon Barkley at +1000 for 1 unit. The thinking here is that Barkley is the best player in the draft according to me and many others. The Browns have the number 4 pick too, so they could draft Barkley and then get whatever QB falls to them at 4. Baker Mayfield is the favorite on this bet, but I just think Sam Darnold has a higher chance of going before Baker.

• Total Running Backs drafted in the first round

Over 1.5 at -250 for 8 units. Barkley will go in the first round. I think Sony Michel and Darrius Guice have a high chance of going in the first round. Guice is at the draft, which makes me think 1 or 2 teams said they would draft him in the first round.

• Calvin Ridley draft postion

Under 19.5 at -120 for 4 units. I think a team like the Titans or Panthers could trade up to get him. Also, the Ravens, Cardinals, and Cowboys could pick him before pick 19. This one seems too easy.

 

31-30-4 in Hockey up 6.73 units

Capitals ML at -123 for 3 units. No Malkin or Hagelin for the Penguins. Look for the Capitals to get some goals on the power play with Hagelin out. Trotz made a mistake not starting Holtby at the beginning of the last series. The Caps are 1-9 against the Penguins in a playoff series. Ovechkin mentioned that the law of averages should work out and they are not discouraged by that stat. I like his line of thinking.

Sharks ML at +127 for 3 units. Sharks made it to the Stanley Cup Finals recently before losing to the Penguins. I think that experience helps them here in what should be a close game. Both of these teams have goalies playing at high levels and both have had a lot of days off after dominating their first round matchups. I think history is made tonight and the Knights get their first playoff loss. Sharks did not win in Vegas this season, but the games were close and the playoffs are a different animal.