Dortmund at Hoffenheim Prediction
92-78-9Â on Soccer in 2018Â up 8.17 units
64-60-12 on Soccer in 2019Â down 18.51 units
Dortmund at -115 for 8 units. Dortmund’s offense has been clicking lately. I wanted to wait to post this to make sure Sancho is starting, as Reus is out with an injury. Hoffenheim won their last match, but were struggling before that. Hoffenheim give up too many goals and Dortmund will capitalize. Dortmund’s defense let up not 1 but 2 terrible defensive mistakes that led to Werner being 1-1 with the goalkeeper and scoring. Borussia will tighten it up a little on defense and do enough on offense for the win. Also, Hoffenheim gave up a lot of chances to Union Berlin that Berlin did not take advantage of. Dortmund will take advantage of these situations.
William & Mary at St. Josephs Prediction and More – College Basketball Thursday
70-62-2 on NCAAB last season up 8.95 units
22-21-1 this season up 7.54Â units
William & Mary at -125 for 7 units. Nathan Knight is averaging almost 20 and 10 for the Tribe. Luke Loewe and Bryce Barnes are solid guards for William & Mary. St. Josephs gives up over 80 points a game, while the Tribe give up under 70 on average. William & Mary have a huge advantage inside and the better defense. Take them on the road. The Tribe might make their first NCAA tournament this season…
Maryland at -300 for 2 units. Seton Hall have been blown out by worst teams than Maryland recently.. but are only giving 7 points. That line seems a little low to me, but I am playing it safe with the moneyline. Just some free money to offset the juice of the William and Mary bet.
Auburn at -340 for 2 units. NC State has pretty good guards, but Auburn’s are better. The Tigers also have the advantage in the paint. The Wolfpack have been great ATS over their past 5, and Auburn have been poor at covering with spread losses to St. Louis and Furman recently. I am staying away from the spread, but Auburn are undefeated for a reason. I like them to keep it up at home tonight.
College Basketball December 18th – Gonzaga Handles Undermanned UNC
70-62-2 on NCAAB last season up 8.95 units
20-21-1 this season down 5.06 units
Gonzaga -12Â at -110 for 12 units. Cole Anthony, Sterling Manley, and Leaky Black are not healthy. Any UNC fan will tell you Brandon Robinson should not be the best wing player/guard on a UNC team, but here we are. UNC will not be able to make 3s in this game. Gonzaga want this win for losing to UNC twice recently with once being in the 2017 National Title. Brooks and Bacot will get some easy buckets for UNC, but not a lot. No offense to Christian Keeling and KJ Smith of the Tar Heels, but they should not be starting for a UNC team and will get exposed by Gonzaga tonight. Keeling has had multiple shots not hit the rim in multiple games this season. He is starting for the Heels tonight. PLEASE BET THIS AND BUY YOUR MOM SOMETHING NICE FOR CHRISTMAS WITH THE MONEY. IT WILL WIN.
St Johns -9Â at -110 for 2 units. Albany lost to Boston College by 21. St Johns is better than Boston College. I don’t like using transitive property in sports gambling, so the real reasons I like St Johns tonight… their size/athleticism and Albany’s injury problems.
Every College Football Bowl Game Until Christmas Preview – Prediction MEGA THREAD
71-52Â on College Football in 2018Â up 53.33Â units
29-19-2 on College Football in 2019Â up 16.89 units
Bahamas Bowl – Buffalo Vs. Charlotte – 2:00 PM December 20th
Buffalo -6.5Â at -115 for 3 units. Buffalo goes up against a Charlotte team playing in their first ever bowl. Buffalo has never won a bowl game. Troy beat Buffalo 42-32 in last year’s bowl. Buffalo’s running game is insane. Jaret Patterson and Kevin Marks combined for 2,634 rushing yards and 25 touchdowns this season for Buffalo. The Bulls have the 4th best run defense in the nation. Charlotte are 1-5 when they don’t rush for 230 yards or more. I like this matchup for Buffalo. Take the favorite to kick off bowl season. I expect UB to be able to run the ball more and sustain drives better.
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Frisco Bowl – Kent State Vs. Utah State – 7:30 PM December 20th
Kent State +7.5Â at -110 for 2 units. Dustin Crum and Jordan Love are two solid Qbs here. Love has announced his decision to enter the NFL draft after this Utah State season ends on Friday. Love has thrown a lot of interceptions this season. Kent State’s Crum has only thrown 2. Mike Carrigan is a stud wideout for Kent State. Stopping the run is a problem for Kent State, but I expect their offense to do enough to keep them in it.
Celebration Bowl – North Carolina A&T Vs. Alcorn State – Noon December 21st
Alcorn State +2.5Â at -108 for 1 unit. Felix Harper was SWAC offensive player of the year for Alcorn State. State are 0-2 in this bowl, but this team is better than the other 2 that lost to A&T. Alcorn State led the FCS in forcing turnovers. If Alcorn State can limit Jah-Maine Martin, they will win this game; however, I am just here for the bands.
New Mexico Bowl – Central Michigan Vs. San Diego State – 2:00 PM December 21st
San Diego State -3.5Â at -110 for 2 units. San Diego State has the best defense Central Michigan will face this season besides maybe Wisconsin. Central Michigan had under 60 yards against Wisconsin. I like San Diego’s State average offense to do enough while their defense shines for the win. San Diego State lost last year’s bowl game to Ohio 27-0. That won’t happen again this season.
Cure Bowl – Liberty Vs. Georgia Southern – 2:30 PM December 21st
Liberty at +165 for 2 units. Hugh Freeze is the highest paid head coach outside of the Power Five. He coached his first game this season from a hospital bed and now he finishes his season in the Cure Bowl. That irony is not lost on me! GA Southern gives up a lot of big plays, while Liberty can complete big plays. Stephen Calvert and Liberty’s passing game are legit. Georgia Southern could run Liberty to death, but I expect Liberty to focus on stopping the run while completing some big plays on their offensive side of the ball. The Flames figure out Southern’s option attack with the extra time to prepare and get the win.
Boca Raton Bowl – FAU Vs. SMU – 3:30 PM December 21st
SMU -3Â at -110 for 2 units. Home game for the Owls of FAU, but that doesn’t scare me. Lane Kiffin has left for Mississippi. Willie Taggart will be the new coach next season for FAU. SMU has the offense to capitalize on FAU’s defense that gives up a lot of chunk plays.
Camellia Bowl – Arkansas State Vs. Florida International – 5:30 PM December 21st
FIU +2.5Â at -110 for 3 units. FIU is 0-5 outside of Miami this season, but I like them to win this bowl game in Alabama. FIU pass defense is miles better than Arkansas State’s. James Morgan’s final game as FIU’s QB. He was hurt last season in FIU’s bowl game. If FIU can slow Omar Bayless (one of the best wideouts in college football), they will win easy.
Las Vegas Bowl – Boise State Vs. Washington – 7:30 PM December 21st
Over 49.5 at -112 for 2 units. The Chris Petersen Bowl Game. Petersen coached at Boise for 8 years before taking the job at Washington. He is retiring after this game. 3 of Boise State’s last 4 games went over this number. Memphis got the Cotton Bowl against Penn State instead of Boise State. Boise was/is pissed. I expect them to run the ball well and score in this one. Washington has a very good kicker, Peyton Henry, which helps overs. I think this number is a little too low for two solid offenses.
New Orleans Bowl – Appalachian State Vs. UAB – 9:00 PM December 21st
Appalachian State -16.5Â at -110 for 3 units. App State is just plain better than UAB. UAB doesn’t have the ability to stop App State from running the ball. I would make this a huge play, but App’s motivation may not be all there with their coach leaving for Missouri and them missing out of the Cotton/Belk Bowl. UAB’s strength is their pass rush, but App State’s o-line matches up well. The Mountaineers win the turnover and yards battle on the way to an easy win.
Gasparilla Bowl – Marshall Vs. UCF – 2:30 PM December 23rd
Marshall +17.5Â at -110 for 2 units. Marshall lost to Boise State by only 7. UCF lost to Tulsa. It all depends who shows up for each team. I like taking the points in games like this. Marshall rarely lose the turnover battle and have been playing good football over the past two months. Marshall can control the game with their running offense. I expect UCF to win, but 17.5 points is too much.
Hawaii Bowl – BYU Vs. Hawaii – 8:00 PM December 24th
Hawaii +2Â at -110 for 4 units. Home game for Hawaii. Have played in this bowl 3 of the past 4 years. Familiarity. Hawaii’s passing game will complete more big plays than BYU’s. I like taking the points with the home team that has a stronger offense. This game is on Christmas Eve. I can’t wait to get drunk and watch it while my family keeps themselves entertained.
Soccer December 17th – Bundesliga Action and Predictions
92-78-9Â on Soccer in 2018Â up 8.17 units
63-57-11 on Soccer in 2019Â down 13.32 units
Going with the home favorites, Augsburg, Dortmund, and Werder Bremen in Bundesliga today.
Dortmund at +128 for 5 units. 2 of the top 3 in the Bundesliga meet here today. Leipzig have won their past 6 matches in the league and are league leaders for a reason. Reus and Sancho are better than any players Leipzig have played lately. Dortmund have been scoring a lot of second-half goals, are great at home, and can lessen the gap for the league lead with a win. Timo Werner is second in the league in goals, but I like Dortmund’s offense to have their say today. Dortmund’s midfield is injured, but the “backups” looked great over the weekend.
Augsburg at -123 for 5 units. Dusselforf gave up a lot of goals to Dortmund, Bayern, and Leipzig recently. Augsburg are not on that level, but I still expect them to capitalize today. Augsburg are in the best form they have been in in a couple of years. Dusseldorf are worse on the road and Augsburg are better at home. Niederlechner can score and create for Augsburg. I like this spot.
Werder Bremen at -125 for 3 units. Mainz defense has struggled over the past couple of games. Werder Bremen have not kept a clean sheet all season, but there is a chance they do it today, Opponents have scored at least two goals in 11 of Mainz’s 15 Bundesliga matches this season. Milot Rashica is in-form. I like Werder Bremen at home today to win by 1 or 2 goals.
Augsburg/Dusseldorf over 3Â at +120 for 2 units. Dusseldorf defense fade.
Dortmund/Leipzig under 3.5Â at -130 for 2 unit. Leipzig have a solid defense and I expect them to slow the game down a little. Leipzig have the highest scoring offense in the league, but they won’t want to get into a shootout with Dortmund.
College Basketball Monday – Minnesota at Iowa
70-62-2 on NCAAB last season up 8.95 units
20-20-1 this season up 0.94 units
Minnesota +6.5Â at -112 for 6 units. Marcus Carr can ball. He had 24 points and 9 assists in Minnesota’s win over Clemson. Daniel Oturu is a solid big man for the Gophers. Luka Garza is better than solid for Iowa, but Otura matches up well with him. Minnesota isn’t deep, but their starters are good on both ends of the floor. I like the points in this battle of middle-of-the-pack Big 10 schools.
NFL Sunday Week 14 – They Are Who We Thought They Were
69-58-5Â on the NFL last season (2018/19)Â up 26.36 units
43-47 on the NFL this season up 8.89 units
Titans at -150 for 8 units. Don’t screw me over Ryan Tannehill. Don’t screw me over Ryan Tannehill. Don’t screw me over Ryan Tannehill. Don’t screw me over Ryan Tannehill. Okay, now that that is out of the way, Tannehill is 5-1 this season with an 88.1% RedZone TD rate. He’s been delivering the knockout punch like Deontay Wilder. Derrick Henry leads the NFL in rush yards after contact. Henry’s body craves contact. The Titans force more turnovers, give up less 20+ yard runs, have more sacks, have the better QB, and Derrick Henry.
Packers at -740 for 3 units. If Aaron Rodgers loses to the Redskins then my mom doesn’t love me.
Seahawks/Rams over 47Â at -115 for 3 units. McVay. Wilson. Both teams can score in the final two minutes of either half. I expect some big plays in this game. There were 59 points scored the last time these two played. The Sunday Night over will add some units to our bankroll, which is always nice.
Panthers +3.5Â at -110 for 1 unit. Look my favorite NFL team, the Panthers, did not meet expectations this season. I am not giving up on them though. This divisional game against the Falcons is a coin-flip. Give me the points.
College Basketball December 6th – I Can’t Quit Pepperdine and Sadly Duke Wins
70-62-2 on NCAAB last season up 8.95 units
19-19-1 this season up 3.19 units
Duke ML/Pepperdine -12 Parlay risking 5 units to win 7.73 units. Dook ain’t losing to VT. This ain’t football. Oh wait, Dook actually beat VT in football 45-10 this season. Anyway, I like Duke -7 too, but playing it safe with the moneyline. Pepperdine have lost 5 in a row, but are still favored by 12. Idaho State doesn’t have the basket-getters that Pepperdine has.
Pepperdine -7 first half at -110 for 4 units. Pepperdine at home. Pepperdine has more shooters and basket-getters than Idaho State. Colbey Ross dropped 29 for Pepperdine last time out. He is real good. Pepperdine have lost 5 in a row, but those were against stiff competition like USC, Arizona, and UCF. Pepperdine will take out some anger in the first half tonight.