92-78-9 on Soccer in 2018 up 8.17 units
63-57-11 on Soccer in 2019 down 13.32 units
Going with the home favorites, Augsburg, Dortmund, and Werder Bremen in Bundesliga today.
Dortmund at +128 for 5 units. 2 of the top 3 in the Bundesliga meet here today. Leipzig have won their past 6 matches in the league and are league leaders for a reason. Reus and Sancho are better than any players Leipzig have played lately. Dortmund have been scoring a lot of second-half goals, are great at home, and can lessen the gap for the league lead with a win. Timo Werner is second in the league in goals, but I like Dortmund’s offense to have their say today. Dortmund’s midfield is injured, but the “backups” looked great over the weekend.
Augsburg at -123 for 5 units. Dusselforf gave up a lot of goals to Dortmund, Bayern, and Leipzig recently. Augsburg are not on that level, but I still expect them to capitalize today. Augsburg are in the best form they have been in in a couple of years. Dusseldorf are worse on the road and Augsburg are better at home. Niederlechner can score and create for Augsburg. I like this spot.
Werder Bremen at -125 for 3 units. Mainz defense has struggled over the past couple of games. Werder Bremen have not kept a clean sheet all season, but there is a chance they do it today, Opponents have scored at least two goals in 11 of Mainz’s 15 Bundesliga matches this season. Milot Rashica is in-form. I like Werder Bremen at home today to win by 1 or 2 goals.
Augsburg/Dusseldorf over 3 at +120 for 2 units. Dusseldorf defense fade.
Dortmund/Leipzig under 3.5 at -130 for 2 unit. Leipzig have a solid defense and I expect them to slow the game down a little. Leipzig have the highest scoring offense in the league, but they won’t want to get into a shootout with Dortmund.