NCAAB January 24th

15-10-1 on NCAAB in 2017 up 5.25 units

17-11 on NCAAB in 2018 up 16.65 units

Xavier -6.5 for 2 units. Xavier scores more than Marquette and gives up less points. Xavier has won 3 in a row after getting smacked by ‘Nova. Xavier has a steep rebounding advantage that will help us cover this one. Xavier won this game by 4 on the road earlier this season and are now at home.

Richmond +2 for 2 units. I was making money fading Richmond earlier in the year, but it seems they have turned a corner. This seems like a trap line as the public is with Duquesne. I am fading the public in this one.

Nebraska +2 for 2 units. Nebraska beat Michigan by 20. Rutgers lost to that same Michigan team by 25. Transitive property usually does not work in sports gambling, but that is a steep contrast. Nebraska lost a close game to OSU their last time out. I just think Nebraska is the better team, although I love Corey Sanders of Rutgers.

Miami -4 for 2 units. Miami just has a better defense than Louisville. Hurricanes shot the ball lights out in their last game. 10-19 from deep. I expect that to carry over here as they earn a victory.

Nevada -4 for 2 units. Had this line at -7 by my estimation. Think they are giving Wyoming too much credit at home. Strictly a value play.

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NBA January 24th

18-16-1 on NBA in 2017 up 7.22 units

14-13 on NBA in 2018 down 2.38 units

Hornets -1 for 8 units. Max play here. Howard is a good counter to the Pelican bigs. Hornets have a .500 record at home. Pelicans have .500 record on the road. Pelicans won a double overtime game against the Bulls last time out. Kemba said all he cares about his winning after the recent trade rumors. Michael Jordan said he would only trade Kemba for an all-star (prolly won’t happen). Pelicans only shot 41% in their win against the Bulls and the Hornets defense has been better. Jeremy Lamb has been great for the Hornets this season. Pelicans do not match up well with Hornets and I love this spot. Pelicans are 1-3-1 in their last 5 games in the state of North Carolina.

Rockets ML at -275 for 8 units. Two max plays in one day after not having any for a long while. Line will get more juicy so get it now. Mavs are 10-15 at home while Rockets are 15-6 away. People are calling this a trap game and I just do not buy that. Houston has not lost a game when Capela, Harden, and Paul all play (18-0).

 

Soccer January 24th

Took a little break from the sports gambling but I am back. Was busy with more important things over the past week, but am back with some winners now.

25-13-1 in soccer up 3.74 units

Lazio ML for 2 units at -185. Lazio has been great at home lately and look to be regaining the solid form they had to start this season. Would play this for more, but it seems Immobile will miss this game. Udinese are unbeaten in their last 7 games and have been playing well on the road in their last 5 games. Given those stats, this line seems a little high. A lot of people will be zigging for the underdog value that is Udinese in this one, but I am going to zag towards the favorite. Udinese have played great since their coaching change, but have not scored in their last 5 vs Lazio.

Chelsea +0.5 for 3 units at -200. I think Chelsea will play a lot better than they did in the first leg. Hazard and Willian should feature and cause problems like they did over this past weekend. Chelsea had 21 goal attempts to 8 for Arsenal in their last meeting.

Chelsea ML for 1 unit at +162. Do not trust Arsenal’s defense to keep Chelsea from scoring for 180 minutes (already held them for 90 in their last game). Both these teams got out of their goal slumps against weak competition over the weekend. Conte’s squad has only lost 1 in their last 8 games at Arsenal.

Quote of the Day 1/23/2018

Goes to Andre Drummond who got snubbed as an all-star in the East. Drummond tweeted out “Guess I gotta start doing back flips after every point I score to get attention around here! Lmao on to the next.” 

Maybe Andre should beat Joel Embiid once this season if he wants to make an all-star team. In all seriousness though, he should have made it over Horford who averages 13/7.8/5 to Drummond’s 14/15/4. Or even made it over Wall who has hardly tried this season as evidenced by this stat from Zach Lowe “He has spent 76.57 percent of floor time either standing still or walking, the largest such share among all rotation players.” Guess who is second in that stat? Dirk Nowitzki. Dirk is more than a decade older and just stands there and shoots 3s and he is second in the league in standing still behind John Wall!!!! Wall hardly plays defense (even in crunch time: for example against the Grizzlies when he just let Tyreke Evans shoot 3s to bring Memphis back into the game). John Wall’s team is also underperforming, while the Pistons (performing about where expected) would be as bad as the Detroit’s NFL team if they did not have Andre Drummond.

At least Drummond will overtake Lillard for the all-star snub meme for a year or more.

Snooker January 24th

1-0 in snooker up 2.23 units

Judd Trump ML at -240 for 2.5 units. Trump does not lose to Woollaston. Trump has only lost 2 games in group 5. He has not lost a match. Trump has won 2 of the last 3 matches against Woollaston by a score of 5-0 and I think he will want to win this one to secure his spot. Woollaston is second in group 5 behind Trump, so Trump can’t take this match lightly. Best of luck. Sorry for the heavy juice.