18-15-4 on golf in 2018 up 13.74 units
Phil Mickelson and Dustin Johnson did well for me last week at TPC Southwind during the FedEx St. Jude Classic. Phil has placed in 2nd at the U.S. Open 6 times. 6! He will be motivated to win this one. Phil got second the last time the U.S. Open was played at Shinnecock when he lost to Retief Goosen in 2004. Rickie Fowler has also got second at the U.S. Open back when Fowler was playing excellent golf in 2014. Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is a tough course and the greens will most likely play fast over the weekend after the course dries up. A situation like this may give an advantage to solid short game players like Jason Day and Rickie.
Top 10 finishers:
Jason Day at +150 for 2 units. Day hasn’t had the best approach game lately (outside of top 150 in that catergory), but he has been dominating the short game.
Jordan Spieth at +150 for 2 units. His putting has just been so bad and he still almost won the Masters. I like the 3 time major champion to right the ship this weekend. Putting is not as important as ball-striking on this course in my opinion. Spieth is great at reading the course and lies, I like him to do well here.
Phil Mickelson at +275 for 3 units. I think this is his last shot to complete the career grand slam. At 48, he would be the oldest U.S. Open winner ever. I do not think he will win, and I hope for his sake he does not get 2nd for the 7th time. I still think he has a solid chance of finishing in the Top 10 though.
Tournament matchups:
Brooks Koepka over Tiger Woods at -130 for 1 unit. Tiger fade. Brooks looked okay last week and has a title to defend. Koepka has not missed a beat since returning from his multiple month wrist injury.
Phil Mickelson over Branden Grace at -120 for 1 unit.
Phil Mickelson over Bryson DeChambeau at -110 for 1 unit. Just going to ride Phil. This is one where my heart could be getting in the way of my brain…
Jordan Spieth over Tiger Woods at -130 for 6 units. Spieth will do better than Tiger this tournament….
Jason Day over Justin Rose at +115 for 2 units.
Jason Day over Rory McIlroy at -110 for 2 units. Rory and Rose have not impressed me too much this year. When Jason Day is on, I think he is the best golfer in the world even if Dustin Cokehead Johnson is #1.
Adam Scott over Tony Finau at -110 for 5 units. Finau fade. Finau missed the cut last week and hasn’t placed in the top 10 since April. Scott also hired a longtime Shinnecock caddy as his caddy this week… so he has the good mojo/karma.