24-11-1 on tennis up 7.88 units
Roland-Garros – 2018 French Open
Kevin Anderson at -154 for 3 units. Anderson has looked good since he retired in Rome about two weeks ago. Anderson got to the Round of 16 here at Roland-Garros last year. His serve will be too strong for Pablo Cuevas. Cuevas could win because he is such a strong clay player. Also, Anderson could be unfit, but there is still value in this play. Anderson won their only other clay matchup in Barcelona in 2011.
John Isner at -500 for 4 units. Isner has been hot on clay and Zeballos has been struggling. It is that simple.
44-46-6 in Hockey up 7.80 units
Caps +131 for 2 units. CAPS HAVE TOO MUCH FIREPOWER. THEY HAVEN’T LOST ONCE WHEN I WRITE ABOUT THEM IN ALL CAPS. THIS CANT FAIL. OVECHKIN GETS TWO GOALS TONIGHT.
44-34-2 on NBA Playoffs up 23.48 units
Rockets +4.5 1st quarter for 2 units. Rockets got out to a solid start last game. It just feels like since the 4th quarter of Game 4 the Rockets have figured out Golden State’s offense. 5 points is lot of points to lay in 1 quarter. I know CP3 is out, but I think Harden can do enough for this to cover.
James Harden over 34 points for 2 units. If they Rockets want to win tonight, Harden has to play well. If Harden plays well along with Ariza, Tucker, and others making their open 3s.. The Rockets may win this in 6. I wouldn’t bet on that, but I will bet on Harden trying to take over the game with no Chris Paul.
Rockets/Warriors under 214 for 3 units. Last two have gone under. No Chris Paul. Play of the night here.
43-32-2 on NBA Playoffs up 26.48 units
Warriors at -115 for 2 units. Warriors had 12 points in the 4th quarter of last game. Some of it can be credited to the Rockets, who played solid defense, but the Warriors just have to be better. Warriors shot okay from the field throughout the game, but they had 16 turnovers and 24 fouls. They won’t be that careless again.
Warriors/Rockets under 219 for 1 unit. Rockets showed they can play some solid defense last game. Houston’s role players could play lights out at home, but this number should be around 215.
Trevor Ariza over 11 for 2 units. Ariza will make his shots back at home. Foul trouble is an issue here, but I think he learned not to foul cheaply after Game 1.
40-30-2 on NBA Playoffs up 23.21 units
Celtics -1 for 2 units. Celtics have not lost a game at home this postseason. I think this game will be called evenly now that Lebron is not down in the series. Kevin Love is a little hurt and Lebron has not looked great away from home this series. I think Brad Stevens makes the necessary adjustments and the Celtics get a win tonight.
Celtics – Cavs over 206 for 1 unit. Just a gut feeling. Last game soared over and I expect more of the same here.
Celtics pk 1st Quarter for 4 units. Celtics got down big in both of their first quarters in Cleveland this series. They know they can’t do that tonight or the series is over. I expect the Celtics to come out strong in the first quarter tonight at home.
JR Smith under 12 points for 2 units. JR does not play as well away from home. JR Smith is 2-4 at hitting over this number away from home this postseason. The 2 he went over were against the Raptors. I think the Celtics have a lot better perimeter defense than the Raptors.
Terry Rozier over 17 points for 3 units. Rozier has averaged 17.1 points a game this postseason, but he averages 20 points at home this postseason. Rozier will play a lot of minutes with Larkin still out. If he can make 2 three pointers, I think this hits easy.
43-45-6 in Hockey up 6.84 units
Caps – Lightning over 5.5 at +110 for 3 units. Four out of the six games in this series have gone over. Andrei Vasilevskiy has been playing well, but the Caps have just been getting so many shots on goal. The Capitals played more physical last game than any other point in the series. I think the Lightning will respond to this physicality with some adjustments tonight that should lead to goals.
Caps at +132 for 3 units. Caps just have too much firepower to lose this series in my opinion. Alex Ovechkin and Tom Wilson were physical in Game 6 and I expect that to carry over. T.J. Oshie was solid. If the Capitals execute their game plan again (like they did in Game 6) they will win. Capitals have played well in Tampa this series so it being an away game for the Capitals does not worry me. I think this game should be a coin flip or the Caps slightly favored; therefore, I am taking the Caps at what I perceive as value.
42-44-6 in Hockey up 5.51 units
Vegas is going to their first Stanley Cup! The Golden Knights have yet to lose a playoff series in their storied and lengthy history. If Fleury gets a Stanley Cup win with an expansion team… Vegas and the bookies will lose a lot of money. Let’s hope that happens..
Caps at -120 for 4 units. CAPS HAVE ONLY BEEN LOSING BECAUSE I FORGOT TO WRITE IN ALL CAPS. IT IS THE CAPS YEAR SO THEY WILL WIN. CAPS WIN THIS GAME AND LOSE GAME 7 IN OVERTIME IN TRUE CAPS FASHION. CAPS ALREADY WON THEIR STANLEY CUP BY BEATING THE PENGUINS SO THEY DON’T NEED ANOTHER ONE ANYWAY.
Caps Lightning over 6 at +114 for 2 units. The Caps hit the metal a lot last game and there were still 5 goals in the game. Caps have to get an early goal if they want to win in my opinion. Also, if the Lightning get up a little, there could be some empty net-Caps giving up goals here that push the over over.
Zlatan got a pretty Zlatan red card today. Video. Michael Petrasso was just being a little gnat and Zlatan smacked him in the head lol. Zlatan has 3 goals on the season, but none in his last 5 appearances including this game. Ibrahimovic seems to frustrated with his lack of service in recent games. Sorry there is a little more parity in the MLS than the French Ligue 1 or even the Barclays Premier League. At the end of the day, fans at the game went to see Zlatan, and they got Zlatan.
37-29-2 on NBA Playoffs up 19.19 units
Shaun Livingston and Steph Curry got going in the second half and humiliated Harden and the Rockets. Golden State could have not scored in the 4th quarter and won the game 88-85. Kevin Durant is amazing, but when Steph Curry gets hot… the game just looks unfair to whoever the Warriors are playing. Warriors are just too damn good, it is annoying.
Cavs – Celtics over 205.5 for 2 units. No game has gone over this series, but I expect that to change tonight. Game 3 should have gone over, but the Celtics had a 17 point 1st quarter. I think Brad Stevens will make the 1st quarter a focal point and they will come out swinging in Game 4.
Celtics +3 1st Quarter for 2 units. Celtics got down 15 in the first quarter of Game 3. I think the Celtics come to play in Game 4. Jaylen Brown may have had the worst quarter in his young playoff career in Game 3. Celtics got down 20-4 early in Game 3, they know they can’t do this again if they expect to win.
Kyle Korver over 11 at +100 for 2 units. Korver has hit this number 5 of his last 6 games at home. Korver was 4-4 from deep in Game 3. Korver may not shoot 100% again, but role players typically shoot better at home and I expect that to continue to be true for Korver.
Jaylen Brown over 17 points for 2 units. Brown played awful last game so this number is about 2 or 3 points lower than I think it should be. Brown does have to guard Lebron, but his foul trouble last game was what really held him back. The Celtics need Jaylen Brown to play well and I think he will tonight.
34-28-2 on NBA Playoffs up 17.65 units
The Cavs got up on the Celtics and never let them back in the game. Cleveland made 10 three pointers before Boston made 3 of them. Lebron James looked rejuvenated with a few days off. Boston hasn’t lost at home these playoffs, so Lebron still has his work cut out for him. It was the first game Cedi Osman played for the Cavs and they won.. coincidence? Game 4 should be a good one.
Warriors -7.5 for 2 units. I think the Warriors win by double digits at home. The Rockets got a big lead early in Game 2 because of the Warriors turnovers and lazy play. I expect the Warriors to come out firing in the first quarter of this one. Steph will be better at home than he was in Game 2.
Warriors 1st Quarter -3 for 3 units. Warriors won’t be sloppy in the beginning of this game like they were last game. They now know it’s difficult to come back on a team like the Rockets if they get down early (if they didn’t know before Game 2).
Warriors 4th Quarter -1 for 2 units. I think the Warriors start this game strong and finish it strong as well.
Trevor Ariza over 11 points for 5 units. He will get over this number if he does not get in foul trouble.