83-42-4 on tennis up 26.56 units
Only had one play yesterday, I like more spots today.
John Isner at -215 for 3 units. Isner was a runner up here in 2016 and lost in the semis here last season. He likes playing in Paris. Mikhail Kukshkin has some solid recent matches getting wins agains Rublev, Herbert, and the in-form Fucsovics. Isner’s serve will be too much for Mikhail, like it was in the first 3 H2Hs.
Roger Federer -2.5 at -118 for 6 units. Raonic is out of form. Bad time to play Roger. Federer looked great in winning in his hometown of Basel last week. He could be a little tired, but he has beat Raonic in straight sets the last two times they have played. Roger won on 86% of his first serve point the last time they met, and thus was not broken in that match.
Richard Gasquet at -320 for 2 units. Jack Sock has sucked this year.
Fabio Fognini at +103 for 1 unit.
Grigor Dimitrov at +116 for 1 unit. Fognini and Dimitrov are in worse form than their opponents, but more talented. Revenge match for Fognini.
82-42-4 on tennis up 25.53 units
Karen Khachanov at -390 for 4 units. Matthew Ebden didnt qualify and is only here because Kyle Edmund withdrew. Khachanov is in a lot better form at the moment. Khachanov is more talented, a better returner, and should get the win in this one. Khachanov won 80% of his first serve points, along with winning over 40% of his return points in the last round vs Filip Krajinovic. The Russian is playing great tennis.
78-42-4 on tennis up 15.89 units
Roberto Bautista-Agut at -260 for 4 units. Steve Johnson is on a 5 match losing streak. Bautista-Agut has won all 5 of the previous H2Hs. Roberto’s return game will be too strong for Johnson’s out of form service.
Philipp Kohlschreiber at -160 for 4 units. Robin Haase was winless in his last 6 matches before Paris. He lost in straight sets to Kohlschreiber the only other time they met on this surface. Philipp is the more consistent player and that will show over the course of this match.
Richard Gasquet at -138 for 4 units. Gasquet has been playing well recently. Denis Shapovalov has lost 4 of the past 5 matches he has played in in straight sets. The young Canadian will be more than talented than Gasquet in the coming years if he keeps progressing, but the Frenchman will win this one.
Gasquet/Bautista-Agut/Kohlschreiber Parlay risking 1 unit to win 2.7 units.
34-27-3 on NFL up 23.95 units
Eagles -4 for 2 units. Jaguars have looked awful. Philly will come out hot after blowing last week’s game vs the Panthers. Jags are missing a lot of their corners. Zach Ertz and Alshon Jeffrey are going to eat.
Bengals at -184 for 6 units. Buccaneers won’t be able to stop Green, Boyd, and Dalton. Bucs only have 1 interception on the season. Giovanni Bernard and John Ross being out hurts the Bengals a little, but I still like them here. Tampa Bay’s offensive line is why I am betting the Bengals so big. I think Cincy will be able to get enough pressure here on Crab Legs.
Colts -3 for 3 units. Raiders are bad.
Jets +10 for 2 units. Too much value. Bouncback game for Jets. Let down game for Bears.
47-32-5 on Soccer since World Cup up 23.43 units
Dortmund at -200 for 2 units. Hottest team in Europe. Ondrej Duda has been sensational for Hertha Berlin to start their season. Dortmund and Berlin have allowed 8 goals this season, but Borussia has scored more than twice as many as Berlin.
Watford at -133 for 1 unit. Huddersfield only have 4 goals on the season and Watford has a lot of attacking talent. Watford and Troy Deeney get back to their winning ways at home here. Troy hasn’t scored in his last 3 games. Watford hasn’t won in their last 2 home games.
Juventus at -335 for 2 units. Juve looked solid midweek and will carry it over here. Juventus drew to Genoa last time out in the league. They will want to win here as they are only 4 points ahead of Napoli even though Juve hasn’t lost this season.
Atletico Madrid -1 at -110 for 3 units. Atletico got embarrassed in a way in Dortmund. It was Diego Simeone’s biggest defeat with the club. I predict that Atletico will get a lot of corners and a clean sheet here on their way to victory.
27-22 on college football up 3.18 units
Vanderbilt +1 for 1 unit. Vandy is a better team than Arkansas.
Virginia at -325 for 3 units. UNC is not good this season. UVA is above average.
Duke -2.5 for 8 units. Duke is 3-0 on the road this year. They are going for bowl-eligibility with this win. Daniel Jones will do enough to cover this small line. Pittsburgh commits a lot of penalties and is soft against the run. I like Duke to take advantage in those areas. The Blue Devils have lost to Pittsburgh the past 3 times and Duke seniors will want this win. Duke has a lot of injures, but my prediction is they win in what could turn into a high-scoring game.
Syracuse +2 for 3 units. NC State let down game after getting up for Clemson and getting beat. Eric Dungey and Tommy DeVito will both prolly play in this one for Syracuse. Syracuse is hasn’t lost at home this season. Syracuse going for a bowl appearance here, which they have not done in a few years. They are the better team statistically so I am going to take the points.
77-41-4 on tennis up 16.89 units
Daniil Medvedev at +235 for 2 units. Federer has not looked his best this week in Basel. Daniil is currently sitting at a career high ranking and will fancy his chances. Medvedev is 18-4 on indoor hardcourts this season. Roger is working himself back into top fitness and will struggle in this one. I like the value here even though Medvedev is 1-7 against the top 10 in his career.
Kevin Anderson at -203 for 2 units. Fernando Verdasco has won the last two meetings between these two, but Anderson has been playing better tennis this year. Anderson should get enough easy points off of his serve to win this one. The South African should be fresher as well. Anderson has a good chance here to get his first title since February.
33-26-3 on NFL up 25.08 units
Texans at -345 for 3 units. Brock can’t win unless he plays the Bears.
Texans/Dolphins under 45 for 2 units. Houston’s defense will not let Miami get any big plays, especially without Albert Wilson. I expect an ugly game. The Dolphins average only 21 points a game and I don’t think they reach that here. The Texans offensive line is just bad enough for Miami to get some sacks. I can’t see Miami’s offense moving the ball well. Miami’s defense gives up 25 points a game, but those numbers are slightly inflated because of the Patriots. I see this game ending at around 24-17.
45-32-5 on Soccer since World Cup up 22.87 units
Eintracht Frankfurt at -244 for 4 units. Luka Jovic had 5 goals last time out and became the youngest player to ever score 5 goals in a Bundesliga game. Glad I bet the over in that one. Frankfurt will score goals again here. Apollon does not have the talent going forward that Frankfurt has displayed this season.
Arsenal at -104 for 2 units. The second hottest team in Europe, behind Dortmund, takes on Sporting Lisbon today. Arsenal have only lost to Chelsea away from home this season. There is going to be a lot of roster turnover for this midweek game after playing Monday, but I expect some super subs to come on and seal the victory for the Gunners.
75-41-4 on tennis up 14.59 units
Fognini rolling his ankle mid-match yesterday hurt, back at it today.
Roger Federer at -480 for 5 units. Jan-Lennard Struff has never won a set against Roger (0-8). Federer’s hometown here. Should be an easy one.
Daniil Medvedev at -238 for 3 units. Medvedev is in fantastic form and is 16-4 on indoor hardcourts this season. Daniil lost to Seppi in the only H2H meeting in a close match, but Daniil is in a lot better form than then. He will get his revenge today.