Tennis October 9th

54-27-3 on tennis up 18.86 units

Richard Gasquet at -220 for 6 units. This is an in-form fit player against an out-of-form player lacking fitness. Leonardo Mayer has not won a match since August 20th. Gasquet got to the semi-finals last week and made it to the quarterfinals of this tournament last season. Gasquet finally looks to be getting back to his former World #7 form. Mayer just does not have the match time to win this one. The two things keeping me from making this a max play are that Mayer won the most recent meeting between these and that Mayer almost beat Federer in this tournament in 2014.

Marton Fucsovics at -145 for 2 units. Fucsovics is just in better form than Peter Gojowczyk. Gojowczyk’s two most recent wins are against out-of-form players Tsonga and Jack Sock. Marton made it to the quarterfinal last week in Beijing before losing to Fabio Fognini. The H2H is tied at 1-1, but Fucsovics won the most recent meeting. Not much between these two, so I will take the player that is playing better tennis.

MLB Playoffs October 8th

74-74 on MLB up 5.13 units

Yankees -1.5 at +113 for 3 units. This is Boston’s first postseason trip to the “new” Yankee stadium. Severino was dealing last time out. Nathan Eovaldi gets the start for the Red Sox. It will be Eovaldi’s first postseason start – the Yankee Stadium pressure will get to him. Nathan said “it’s definitely probably the most important game I’ve ever pitched in.” Yankees definitely probably win this game by more than 2. Both teams have great bats and bullpens, but I am going to side with the home field advantage and the better starting pitcher.