MLB October 19th – NLCS Game 6

80-79 on MLB up 10.93 units

10-4 on MLB Playoffs up 20.48 units

Brewers at -102 for 3 units. Hyun-Jin Ryu gave up 2 earned runs in 4 and a third last time out against Milwaukee. Wade Miley is starting his second game in a row after the Brewers hoodwinked the Dodgers in Game 5. The Brew Crew still lost however. Milwaukee’s bats have struggled, but a change of scenery may be just what they need. Milwaukee’s OBP is .48 points higher at home, their slugging his better, and their BA is .30 points higher at home this postseason. Dodgers starters have struggled this series with a 4.10 ERA. Brewers bullpen is always better after a day of rest.

College Football – Air Force at UNLV

23-21 on college football down 6.13 units

Air Force at -410 for 4 units.

Air Force -10 for 2 units. UNLV’s lack of defense will get exposed for the third straight game here. Backup QB here for UNLV. Max Gilliam has completed less than 48% of his passes for UNLV, which leads to too many 3 and outs. UNLV leads the league in rushing, but the injury their starting QB, Armani Rogers, makes that stat obsolete. The Running Rebels allow over 240 yards rushing a game and that is what Air Force does best.

NBA October 19th – Russell Westbrook’s Season Debut

The Lebron Lakers lost to the Blazers by 9 in Portland last night. LA’s defense obviously needs to improve, but I don’t think they are going to win 48 games this season if they don’t go get a deep threat. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope and Lance Stephenson are their best 3-point shooters right now. When the Cavs were at their best with Lebron, they had 3 sharpshooters spreading the floor. Lonzo, Ingram, and Kuzma are all talented, but they are not shooters. Lillard is still good, but Nik Stauskas went off for Portland shooting 5-8 from deep and finishing with 24 points. Lebron is now 0-4 in season debuts with new teams.

Miami covered the spread and sneaked out a win against the Wizards. Same old story for Washington, Beal and Wall go off, but coaching and bench play hold them back. Josh Richardson was the best player in the Heat for this one. Dwayne Wade came off the bench and missed the game winning shot, but Olynyk got the putback for the win.

The Bulls scored 58 first half points, but still lost to Philly by 19. Ben Simmons had some dimes and got his triple double. Embiid dropped 30. LaVine dropped 30. Covington played a lot better for the 76ers in this game than he did against the Celtics.

18-16-1 on NBA in 2017 up 7.22 units

61-53-2 on NBA in 2018 up 9.28 units

1-2 on NBA this season down 1.12 units

I want to bet the Hornets -2.5, but the public is betting them heavy and I am a Hornets fan so I am going to stay away. Too much emotional attachment and all that. Another game I want to place a wager on is Raptors/Celtics. All the money is on Boston +3, but the line hasn’t moved which makes me want to bet Toronto. Kawhi looked good in his first game for the Raptors and had this absurd play.

Thunder +1 for 3 units. Dennis Schroder, Paul George, and Steven Adams all looked good in the season opener, and now they get Westbrook back. Clippers don’t have the offense or defensive anchor without DeAnder Jordan. The Warriors got 17 offensive rebounds against Oklahoma City, the Thunder will make sure that doesn’t happen against the Clippers tonight.

Nets -3.5 for 3 units. Hollis-Jefferson and Allen Crabbe will play in this one. No Porzingis. Spencer Dinwiddie was frustrated with the close loss to the Pistons. I think this Brooklyn team is pretty good. The Knicks win against the Hawks doesn’t impress me. Nets win by 8 or more.

Warriors at -143 for 2 units. Jazz were the only team in the NBA to beat the Warriors 3 times last season. Golden State won’t let that happen again. That is all.

Bucks at -165 for 2 units. I like both of these teams a lot. If the Bucks can outlast Kemba and the Hornets drilling 3s all night, they can beat the Pacers. Also, Giannis Antetokounmpo.

Timberwolves/Grizzlies Parlay for 1 unit to win 0.72 units. Cavs and Hawks are not good. Grizzlies will win their home opener. Timberwolves barely lost to the Spurs. They have too much talent to let Kevin Love beat his old team here.

Soccer October 19th – Dusseldorf at Eintracht Frankfurt

37-29-5 on Soccer since World Cup up 15.11 units

Frankfurt at -120 for 2 units.

Frankfurt over 1.5 goals at -125 for 2 units. Frankfurt have scored 8 goals in their last two home games. They scored 13 goals in a club friendly recently. Wasn’t a competitive game, but can’t hurt confidence. Sebastien Haller has been in great form this season for Eintracht Frankfurt. Dusseldorf’s keeper, Micheal Rensing, has given up 7 goals in his past 3 games against below average competition. Frankfurt has scored in every game this season.

Tennis October 19th – European Open

65-33-4 on tennis up 17.00 units

Richard Gasquet at -155 for 3 units. Gasquet beat Jan-Lennard Struff in straight sets at this tournament two years ago. Gasquet has only lost to Del Potro and Nishikori this month. Struff is in fine form too, but he struggled a little bit against clay court specialist Feliciano Lopez. Gasquet has won 7 titles at indoor hardcourts in his career. Going with the player with more ability and the higher ceiling.

Giles Simon at -156 for 1 unit. Schwatzman won their only previous meeting, but Simon did not have match fitness or form going into that match. Now it is Diego Schwartzman who has less form and fitness. Simon has looked better in this tournament losing only 6 games combined to Sergiy Stakhovsky and Mackenzie McDonald. Diego needed two and a half hours to beat Cameron Norrie unconvincingly. Schwartzman is better on clay than he is in these conditions and he is only 1-3 since the US Open.

Simon/Gasquet parlay for 2 units to win 3.23 units.