NBA October 22nd – Lebron’s first win as a Laker?

18-16-1 on NBA in 2017 up 7.22 units

61-53-2 on NBA in 2018 up 9.28 units

7-6 on NBA this season down 0.34 units

Magic/Celtics over 209.5 for 2 units. Magic have given up 118 points a game over the last two games. Boston will score tonight and lapse a little on defense. I see a 110-99 type finish here.

Lakers at -115 for 2 units. Lebron gets his first win as a Laker tonight. The Lakers have looked okay in their first two games, I still think they need to find a solid 3-point shooter. The Spurs won’t have the answers to Lebron and Co tonight. No Ingram or Rondo in this one. Lonzo Ball will get more playing time. Lebron can’t keep losing right?

Bucks -11 for 5 units. Knicks are bad. Giannis isn’t.

Hornets +8.5 for 1 unit. Kemba is too hot not to bet on them, even against the hot Raptors. MKG is a solid counter to Kawhi. Malik Monk is Charlotte’s second leading scorer at 14.7 PPG. It is weird that Steve Clifford wouldn’t play him last season….

NFL Week 7 Recap – Justin Tucker Misses, the Panthers Comeback, and Amari Cooper to the Cowboys

30-26-3 on NFL up 22.97 units

Chargers 20 – Titans 19 (London)

Melvin Ingram and Derwin James are beasts on defense. Chargers have won 4 in a row and are tied with the Patriots and Rams with 10 wins since week 11 of last season. They have a BYE next week and then Joey Bosa and Melvin Gordon will be back. LA is talented. The Titans have the 30th ranked pass offense and a run game that isn’t all that good. Dion Lewis and Tajae Sharp are their only productive players on offense really. Delanie Walker is missed. Luckily for Tennessee, they are in the AFC South.

Patriots 38 – Bears 31

I still think the loss to the Brocketship and the Dolphins hurts more to Chicago than this Patriots loss. Josh Gordon and the Patriots offensive line looked great. Gordon still doesn’t look like he is running at full speed. Talking about the Red Sox, Tom Brady said “It’s been a while since they’ve been in a World Series.” It has only been 5 years Tom. Nice cocky humblebrag you douche. Michael Vick Trubisky now has more career rushing yards than Dalvin Cook. Bears have Jets, @Bills, Lions, Vikings, @Lions, @Giants coming up on the schedule. If they can go 5-1 in those games, they will be leading their division going into the Rams and Packers games.

Bills 5 – Colts 37

Darius Leonard is a beast. He is leading the NFL in tackles by double digits for the Colts. Marlon Mack went off in this one and actually had more fantasy points than that Todd Gurley guy. Even at 2-5, Indy is only 2 games out of the division lead in the weak AFC South. Todd Gurley has outscored the Bills on the season, but Buffalo has made 10 more field goals than him so that counts for something. Say what you want about Nathan Peterman, at least when he throws interceptions they are touchdowns, I mean what is Derek Anderson doing?

Texans 20 – Jaguars 7 

Blake Bortles got benched for former Browns third round pick Cody Kessler. The Jaguars are 10-0 in the last 18 when they score first, and 0-8 when they don’t. As bad as things have been for Jacksonville, they are still 1 game off of winning the division. Bill O’Brien was stern with a reporter after the win and it was pretty awesome. Houston has won 4 straight and now get the Dolphins at home. Brock revenge game. DeAndre Hopkins is real good.

Lions 32 – Dolphins 21 

Kerryon Johnson had a day for Detroit. Johnson is 2nd in the NFL in YPC, but only 30th in rushing attempts – Your move Lions coaching staff. Frank Ragnow pile drived a defensive lineman 10 yards for the Lions. The Lions are a game out of first in their division (I think, screw ties), and get Seattle at home next. Miami is the worst 4-3 team in football. Kenyan Drake looked good, but Albert Wilson’s injury hurts. We get a sexy TNF matchup this week with the Dolphins traveling to Houston.

Vikings 37 – Jets 17

Read this game like a book. Mike Zimmer is too good of a coach to let Sam Darnold dice him up as a rookie. Danielle Hunter is quietly second in the league in sacks for Minnesota. Thielen and Diggs are damn good. Vikings lead the division and get the Saints at home this week. We all know what happened last time.. The Jets looked bad, but I like their kelly green uniforms. Jamal Adams is good. The Jets need to diversify the playbook a little bit on offense. They play in Chicago next week in what is a must-win of sorts.

Panthers 21 – Eagles 17

In the second best comeback of the season (Aaron Rodgers against Bears Week 1 is #1), Cam Newton lead Carolina down 17 in the 4th for the win. The defending Super Bowl Champs let this one slip away. Doug Pederson called 13 pass plays and 1 running play once Philly got up 17-0. Questionable. Jason Peters is good, but he is clearly playing hurt and Carson’s blindside has paid the price. Julius Peppers is now tied for most career fumbles forced all-time with Robert Mathis. Eric Reid called Malcolm Jenkins a sellout after the game for Kaepernick related stuff. I am on Reid’s side, but I am not going to get into all that. Reid makes Carolina better on the field. As a Panthers fan, I am excited to beat the Ravens at home next week.

Browns 23 – Buccaneers 26

I think Hue Jackson loves tying. Cleveland has 4 overtime games already this season. I don’t know why the Browns paid Duke Johnson and are not using him. The referees hurt the Browns in this one, but the NFL said they were sorry… Bucs are 3-3 and their best linebacker Kwon Alexander tore his ACL. Mike Evans has been balling out this season. Bucs are @Bengals and @Panthers over the next two weeks. Tough.

Saints 24 – Ravens 23

Justin Tuckers’s face when he missed his first extra point of his career that would have tied the game is priceless. He had made his first 222 extra points before this miss. Not how I thought I would win my Saints moneyline bet, but I will take it. John Brown has been great for Baltimore this season, they should prolly go ahead and resign him. New Orleans hasn’t lost since their shootout with the Bucs in week 1. Baltimore did not score a second half touchdown. Credit to the Saints second half defense. New Orleans travels to Minnesota then plays the Rams at home.

Cowboys 17 – Redskins 20

Dak had a fumble on his own goal-line that led to a Washington touchdown, which was essentially the difference in this game. The Cowboys had an interesting snap infraction, but they could have done more to score a touchdown on that drive. Play-calling was too conservative in my opinion. Dallas does not have enough weapons on offense or a good enough coach, but they did just trade a first round pick for Amari Cooper. I think this is way too much to give up for Cooper. Amari will need a contract next year and is inconsistent. It does fill a need for Dallas, but comes at a steep cost. Good for Gruden. They could have had Josh Gordon for a 4th rounder… A first for Earl Thomas would have been a better trade. The Redskins now lead their division by a game and a half and travel to the Meadowlands to face the Giants this weekend.

Rams 39 – 49ers 10

Aaron Donald had 6 tackles for a loss against San Francisco becoming only the 4th player ever to do that. Still crazy to me that Justin Gilbert and Anthony Barr were taken over him in the 2014 draft. Donald went off for University of Pittsburgh. Rams are the only undefeated team and the only team .500 or better in their division. If the Rams can beat the Packers, the Saints in New Orleans, and the Chiefs in the coming weeks.. They will prolly win the Super Bowl. George Kittle and Joe Staley are two of the few bright spots for San Francisco this season. C.J. Beathard was horrendous under pressure yesterday.

Bengals 10 – Chiefs 45 

Kansas City’s defense is getting better and that is scary for the rest of the league. Patrick Peterson wants out of Arizona and he could take this defense to the next level. Kareem Hunt stiff armed Burfict twice on one play, which was pretty sweet. Kelce and Hill are too damn good. Mahomes is already one of the best QBs in the league it seems. I can’t wait to see what he does against playoff defenses, good or bad. The Bengals are still tied atop their division and get the Buccaneers at home this week. Ohio State, the Browns, Miami of Ohio, Dayton, Toledo, and the Bengals all lost this week. Ohio football had a rough week.

NFL October 22 – Hittem with the Sunday Sweep – Monday Night Football

30-26-3 on NFL up 22.97 units

Falcons at -190 for 4 units. Atlanta doesn’t have a secondary, but they have enough weapons on offense to make up for that. Saquon will go off and prolly OBJ too. The key to this game for Atlanta will be their defensive line vs Eli. The Falcons are the worst rushing team in the NFL, but Ito Smith has shown some bright spots. New York’s 21st ranked run defense does not scare me. Atlanta has to win this game at home if they want a shot at making the playoffs in their tough division. The Falcons and us bettors gotta capitalize on the declining Eli here. Matt Ryan has been dicing defenses up when he has a clean pocket with an 83% completion rate in these situations. New York is tied for last in the league with only 7 sacks, which bodes well for Ryan (they are tied with that team that let Khalil Mack go).

Soccer October 22nd – Arsenal at Leicester City

41-31-5 on Soccer since World Cup up 15.88 units

Arsenal at -185 for 2 units.

Arsenal -1 at -115 for 2 units. Arsenal are in the midst of their best form since April 2015. Arsenal have not drawn this season and have won 6 in a row. Lacazette and Aubameyang have 4 goals a piece this season for The Gunners. Because of these two, Arsenal has scored almost 3 goals a game over their last 5 games. Unai Emery’s club has been turning it up in the second half with 14 of their last 17 goals coming after halftime. Leicester will be without CB Wes Morgan due to a red card suspension. Going with the hot hand here. Ramsey, Bellerin, Monreal, Aubameyang and Lacazette have all been in too fine of form recently for me to pass this one up.

Tennis October 21st – Vienna Open

68-39-4 on tennis up 12.46 units

Kevin Anderson at -252 for 5 units. If you follow me, you know I love betting Kevin. The juice doesn’t scare me. Nikoloz Basilashvili struggles against opponents with a serve as strong as Anderson’s. Anderson won the only H2H meeting in straight sets. Anderson has won at least one match in every tournament since London in June.

Marton Fucsovics at -126 for 1 unit. Fucsovics has been in solid form. Making it to the quartefinal in Beijing before losing to Fognini. Felix Auger-Aliassime has the higher ceiling as a tennis player, but he is playing after a short turnaround and retiring last week in Antwerp. Felix is the wildcard here. He has won all his first round wildcard matchups this year, but this one is unique because of the retirement. Fucsovics won 83% of his first serve points and 36% of first return points against Damir Dzumhur. Fucsovics lost to Peter Gojowczyk, but he looked the better player in the match. He only converted 1 of 10 break point opportunities in that match. He will capitalize on those chances in this one.