30-26-3 on NFL up 22.97 units

Falcons at -190 for 4 units. Atlanta doesn’t have a secondary, but they have enough weapons on offense to make up for that. Saquon will go off and prolly OBJ too. The key to this game for Atlanta will be their defensive line vs Eli. The Falcons are the worst rushing team in the NFL, but Ito Smith has shown some bright spots. New York’s 21st ranked run defense does not scare me. Atlanta has to win this game at home if they want a shot at making the playoffs in their tough division. The Falcons and us bettors gotta capitalize on the declining Eli here. Matt Ryan has been dicing defenses up when he has a clean pocket with an 83% completion rate in these situations. New York is tied for last in the league with only 7 sacks, which bodes well for Ryan (they are tied with that team that let Khalil Mack go).

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