NFL Thanksgiving Day Game Predictions

69-58-5 on the NFL last season (2018/19) up 26.36 units

35-45 on the NFL this season down 5.68 units

Bears at -180 for 5 units. Would play all the way up to -250. Bears were even money at one point. Two Words: David Blough. Blough is going to start at Noon on Thanksgiving. The XFL blocked the Lions from picking up Josh Johnson. The NFL (says they haven’t but) have blocked the Lions from picking up Colin Kaepernick. Mitch should be able to do enough against the below average Lions secondary. When Mitch plays even close to average, the Bears win. Blough is not fast and can’t throw a deep ball all that well. Bears are top-10 in all the major defenses categories. Bears have something to play for. Lions don’t.

Bills +7 at -115 for 3 units. Cowboys have lost to every solid team they have faced this season (Packers, Vikings, Saints, and Patriots). Josh Allen has actually played better than Dak since week 5: Better TD/INT ratio, more rushing yards, better passing rating, and more wins. John Brown is no joke. Brown and Cooper have a similar amount of yards and catches this season. I think the Bills have a comparable team to the Cowboys and 7 points is generous. Cole Beasley revenge game. Bills are allowing less than 16 points a game this season. Buffalo has the special teams advantage. Plus, the Bills have this guy on their side.

Cole Beasley over 42.5 receiving yards at -115 for 1 unit.

Cole Beasley over 52.5 receiving yards at +108 for 1 unit.

Cole Beasley over 62.5 receiving yards at +140 for 1 unit. Beasley is playing against his former team here. Revenge game. Teams are starting to focus more on Brown. Beasley has had over 70 yards in 2 of his last 3 games. Josh Allen has been performing over the past few weeks. I like this spot a lot.

Image result for i like it a lot gif


Thanksgiving Week Parlays

3-8-1 on weekend parlay up 5.66 units

My parlay last weekend made it to Sunday, so hedging out was a real possibility. The Falcons and Browns were the Sunday plays. Falcons blew it. I am counting it as a push because hedging out should have happened to some winnings.

All the colleges are football plays. Hard to get lines that you can put into parlays with college basketball days in advance with all the tournaments going on.

Cant Win Parlay:

Bears/Jimmy Robertson (Snooker)/Saints/Buffalo -29/Boise State/App State/Real Madrid/Manchester City/Leipzig/Liverpool/Indiana/Wake Forest/Juventus/Aston Villa +1/Panthers/Eagles/Chiefs 

Risking 2 units to win 639.39 units.

Cant Lose Parlay:

Manchester United and Sevilla in Europa League/Bears/Iowa/Boise State/Manchester City/Liverpool/Tottenham/Oklahoma/Panthers/Eagles/Chiefs 

Risking 2 units to win 63.86 units.


Duke Lost!! College Basketball November 27th Predictions – Thanksgiving Tournaments in Full Swing

70-62-2 on NCAAB last season up 8.95 units

12-14-1 this season down 4.33 units

Dook lost to Stephen F. Austin in overtime. Love it.

North Carolina -9 at -115 for 3 units. UNC slipped up this time last year, getting smacked by Michigan. This team knows this. UNC won’t want to lose the day after their arch-rival. Roy knows how to get his teams ready for these type of tournaments. Alabama has lost to Penn and Rhode Island this season. They gave up over 80 points in both those games. The over/under for this game is set at a silly high 155 points. Alabama plays at just as fast a pace as UNC does this season. UNC should get 80 points at least. UNC has not covered in their last 3 games, that changes today. Cole Anthony is going to be the best player on the court. North Carolina’s defense, especially with the Robinson back in the lineup, and Cole Anthony/Armando Bacot’s scoring get UNC their first cover since their opener.

Maine/Virginia over 106 at -105 for 3 units. Alright. This is the lowest under/over by 20 points today. Overs are 1-5 for UVA this year.. so why take the over? The one over that won was at 109.5 against Vermont. Vermont is close to Maine. This number is so damn low the final score could be 63-44 and it would hit. I ain’t scared. Are you?

Seton Hall +1.5 at -110 for 2 units. Seton Hall has smacked everyone by 17 or more, except for their loss to Michigan State. Oregon hasn’t played a game outside of Oregon until now. Payton Pritchard is fun to watch for Oregon, Bill Walton has called him a midget before. Myles Powell will be the best big man on the floor. He is averaging over 22 points a game for Seton Hall. I like taking the team that has a strong inside scorer in these “coin-flip neutral floor” games.

Champions League Round 5 Recap and More Predictions – VAR and PSG Meet Again

92-78-9 on Soccer in 2018 up 8.17 units

58-50-11 on Soccer in 2019 down 13.36 units

Shoutout to Lewandowski for scoring 4 goals in the second half and making my Bayern over 2.5 goals bet hit easily. Mourinho and Tottenham got down 2-0, but Kane, Alli, and Son proved too much for Olympiacos. PSG thought they got a red card on Courtois at the end of the first half, but there was VAR decision that ruled a foul on Gueye, before PSG started making their move towards goal. Marcelo deff embellished the foul committed by Gueye, but should a small foul that the ref did not call in real-time affect a red card that happened 15 seconds later? It did today..

Dybala scored this goal against Oblak, one of the best goalkeepers in the World.

PSG, Real Madrid, Bayern Munich, Tottenham, Manchester City, and Juventus are the 6 teams that have advanced already. There are 12 spots remaining, who will earn them?
Leipzig -1 at -120 for 4 units. Leipzig can secure advancement with a win. Leipzig are averaging 3-1 wins over their past 5 home matches. Timo Werner and Sabitzer have been in-form for the Germans. Benfica are bottom of the group, but are playing well in the league. Benfica have lost by multiple goals in their last couple trips to Germany.
Barcelona -1 at -120 for 4 units. Barcelona can win the group with a win here. Dortmund played an unconvincing game 3-3 draw against Paderborn over the weekend. Dortmund needed two goals late to draw. Now Delaney has an ankle problem. Barcelona haven’t lost in their past 34 Champions League home games. Dortmund lost to Inter 2-0 in their last Champions League away game. Neither Dortmund nor Barcelona have found the form they had at this point last season, but one team has Messi and Suarez.
Chelsea at +105 for 2 units. Valencia had 8 players out with injury in their 2-1 lost against Betis. They are not going to all magically get healthy before this game with Chelsea. Chelsea are coming off of a tough 2-1 loss to Manchester City. Pulisic, Willian, CHO, Mount, and Abraham should be able to find some space against a solid Valencia defense. I just think Chelsea are playing better soccer now, than in September when they lost to Valencia 1-0.