Author: John Anders

9-7 in NBA up 1.45 units

Hawks +4 for 2 units at -108. Pistons fade. Pistons scored 84 points at home against an average Nuggets defense. Now they go on the road after losing 7 straight. I do think Drummond causes some matchup problems for the Hawks, but that is why this is not a higher unit play. Langston Galloway was the Pistons leading scorer last game. If Langston Galloway is your leading scorer, you’re gonna have a bad time. The Hawks have lost their two most recent games but they covered and that is all we really care about here. The public is also on the Pistons which gives me more confidence in my pick. Best of luck.

Rockets -11.5 at -103 for 4 units. Hornets are 2-11 on the road. MKG gave Westbrook and the Thunder problems with his defense, but I think the Rockets pose a bigger matchup problem. Rockets scored over 120 points again (6th time this season) against the Pelicans in a come from behind victory. Hornets can not make the necessary 3s to keep up in this one. Hornets are usually great at defense, but this year they are not as good on that end of the floor.

9-3 in NCAAB up 13.48 units

Arkansa Little Rock +10 for 2 units at -111. Bradley has been good against the spread at home dating back to last season, but I think the line of 10 is just too high. The guard play of Anthony Black and Andre Jones should be enough for Arkansas to keep it close. Bradley has an incredibly balanced team, but they turn it over a decent amount and that is why they should not be favored by double digits. Best of luck.

7-5 up 3.48 units

Spurs -6 for 5 units at -108. Spurs are on a 4 game win streak and get Leonard back tonight. Aldridge has done enough to carry the Spurs to their 19-8 record. Mavs have struggled against the Spurs’ defense in the two previous games this year. Mavs won’t have Smith Jr or Curry again in this one. Aldridge and Leonard carry the Spurs to a double digit win.

Wizards -4.5 for 3 units at -104. John Wall should be back. The Trevor Booker trade could help the Nets in the long run, but in the short run it will most likely hurt them. The Nets are also traveling back from Mexico, so I expect them to be a little sluggish in their first true home game in a while. Lay the points.

Kings -4.5 for 2 units at -105. No Devin Booker still for the Suns. Both teams have good young talent, but the Kings have a better defense. Fox has been looking better with 14 points in two of his last three games. Kings have been good against the spread recently and have been knocking down the 3s. Fading the Suns.

7-2 in NCAAB up 11.58 units

Memphis +1 for 2 units at -108. Jamal Johnson was one of the better recruits the AAC conference got last year. Johnson is proving himself over the last two games and has taken over the starting job. Tubby Smith says his team’s defense is getting better, but not where he wants it to be. Albany is a good team and is 4-1 on the road this year, but not good enough to be favored.

Michigan +5 for 2 units at -108. Texas should not be favored by this much. Both teams beat VCU, but Michigan did it more impressively. Texas will be without sophomore guard Andrew Jones in this one. Michigan will be without Mo Bamba because Shaka and Texas out recruited (outpaid?) the star freshman. Beilein will get to watch his recruit that got away tonight. Also, Texas has not played in about 12 days so look for them to come out a little flat.

Mississippi St +11.5 for 2 units at -111. I do like Cincy a lot more than Mississippi State, but MSU has looked good against a weak schedule. Cincy has struggled against the more athletic teams they have faced. Both these teams have a good defense, but I think Cincy is a little overrated here.

4-2 up 6.7 units in college basketball.

Florida International +3 for 2 units. FIU has been doing well and USF has been bad. Simple ATS trends here.

USF – FIU under 127 for 1 unit. Monday game, USF has been rough lately scoring only 61 against Appalachian State.

6-3 in NBA +4.55 units

Miami Heat ML -104 for 3 units – Dragic has looked better of late and no Mike Conley for the Grizz. Tyreke Evans is having a nice little resurgence in Memphis this year. Evans is averaging 18.5 points per game along with 5 rebounds and 4 assists a game. Heat turned the ball over a season-low six times in their game against the Nets. Think they get a good sound win.

Rockets -11.5 -116 for 2 units – James Harden and Chris Paul have been better than many expected together. The Pelicans have looked good with Rondo getting 18 assists in a game recently and Jrue Holiday going off in a comeback versus the 76ers. I do not think the Pelicans are sound enough on defense to keep this one close. The Blazers used the strategy off pushing the Rockets off the 3 point line but it did not work enough for Portland to get the win. This line is a little high, but I still like it.

Celtics -7 and Thunder -7 (4.5 point teaser) 2 units for 1.82 units – The Hornets have been bad against the spread this season, but the Thunder have actually been worse. Westbrook will be hard for the Hornets to stop, like he is for most teams. Clarkson and Lakers were too much for the Hornets recently and it will be hard for them to fix their defense without their head coach being healthy. The Celtics defense has picked up over the past few games and the team with the best record in the league (Boston) should be able to cover against the team with the worst record in the league (Chicago).

4-2 in NBA, up 3.39 units

Rockets Jazz over 209 for 3 units at -108. They scored over 240 last time they played. Rockets are averaging 213.7 points per game on the road. Gobert is a great defender but that patented Harden pick and roll has been deadly all year. Rockets are averaging 118 in the last 3. Alec Burks and Donovan Mitchell should help push the over as well.

76ers ML – Wizards ML Parlay at -130 for 2 units. 76ers beat the Lakers in LA and have looked better and better. The Lakers should send Lonzo Ball to the G-League, but as long as the play him he is good fade material. Wizards get the Suns without Devin Booker. I think Suns will be able to adjust without him, but the first game will be tough.

Wizards Suns under 213.5 at -103 for 1 unit. No Devin Booker for the Suns and Beal can’t stay that hot for the Wiz.

Georgia Tech -4 3 units. Georgia Tech struggles on the road and Wofford has played some power conference teams close this year, but GT should be able to get on track here before ACC play. This line should be 6 or 7.

George Washington -3 3 units. George Washington just seems like the better basketball team. Princeton will not be able to keep up the scoring pace. Princeton has been awful against the spread this year and see that continuing away from home. Yuta Watanabe is a beast and will be too much for Princeton to handle.

Old Dominion -11 3 units

Old Dominion ML 6 units to win 1 unit. This is a Richmond fade. Richmond lost a lot of talent from last year’s team and ODU has played good basketball this year. It is hard to see Richmond keeping it within single digits in this rivalry game. ODU lost to VCU and will want to beat a Richmond team this year.

2-1 up 2.92 units on NBA

Bucks -3.5 for 3 units at -118. Pistons struggle with the Milwaukee’s length. Drummond has been a beast since Joel Embiid pissed him off, but I do not think it will be enough for them to cover. The defense of the Pistons has been slacking since their hot start. Bucks are shooting over 50% in their last few games and, for those that forgot, they have Giannis. Feel like the line should be at 7 or 8 with the Bucks at home.

Warriors ML for 3 units to win 1.4 units. No Steph for the Warriors, but KD and Klay should be able to do enough. The Hornets seem to be overrated at home as they have not played many quality teams in Charlotte. Kemba has been great, but the Warriors should be able to shut down the Hornets enough to pull out the win. Maybe not the best value, but all wins are great values.

Celtic Mavs over 201.5 for 3 units at -103. Celtics are scoring and allowing over 105 points in their last ten games. The other Curry brother has been great for Mavericks this season. Both these teams have been hot so let’s ride the hot hands.