Rublev wins 2-0 at +155 for 2 units. I have been riding Rublev to some wins. He is fine-form coming off his Russian Open title. Felix Auger-Aliassime is another one of the best up and comers in the tennis world. Felix is currently ranked higher and is the 6th seed in this tournament. Rublev holds the H2H advantage winning their only other meeting. Rublev has had a more convincing hardcourt season of late. The Russian has a better serve and has only lost to top-10 players over the past month. Both players have an extremely high ceiling and could challenge the Big 3 of Federer, Nadal, and Djokovic in the coming years… but for now, I like Rublev more.
69-58-5 on the NFL last season (2018/19) up 26.36 units
24-32 on the NFL this season down 9.87 units
If I had Melvin Gordon in a fantasy league I would drop him because I had Chargers Moneyline and he blew it. I’m that bitter. Evan Silva tweeted that plays designed for Melvin Gordon are averaging 2.2 yards since his return. Chargers are 0-3 since his return. Gordon had 4 carries inside the 5 against the Titans. He fumbled two of them. Derek Carr didn’t even fumble that much. Maybe, my man’s should have kept holding out.. or at least hold onto the football.
Patriots/Jets over 48.5 at +165 for 2 units.
Jets over 16.5 at -105 for 2 units.
Patriots/Jets over 43 at -115 for 7 units. Bell only had 15 touches last week in the Jets win over Dallas. He will get at least 20 tonight. The Jets have averaged 20 points a game with Darnold starting (Bills, Cowboys). There were 44 points scored between these teams earlier this year, without Darnold. Luke Falk and the Jets were able to put up 14 points against the Patriots.. Granted, 7 of those points were on a Jarrett Stidham pick 6. I expect Darnold to get at least 20. The Bills in Buffalo have been the only team to hold the Patriots under 30 points this season. Gase can call enough good plays to get Crowder, Anderson, and Bell in space. No Josh Gordon for the Patriots. Mosley, one of the best linebackers in the league according to me, is back for the Jets. Patriots only allow 8 points a game, but the only good QB they have played was Josh Allen, who didn’t finish the game. Darnold has opened the box up a little bit for Bell. I expect the Patriots to win, but the Jets to put up enough points to push the over.
The image above is a picture I took of Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan Stadium when Sevilla beat Levante 3-1 in 2016. I expect more of the same today against Levante in Seville #NervionPlaza
92-78-9 on Soccer in 2018 up 8.17 units
55-44-10 on Soccer in 2019 down 0.63 units
Liverpool/Manchester United over 2.5 at -120 for 2 units.
Liverpool at -140 for 4 units. Mane and Salah. I have been asking my Liverpool friends if they like Mane or Salah more and the answer as either been Yes.. or extended paragraphs on how they are both amazing and how they are lucky to have them. No Pogba or De Gea for United. Manchester United have 1 win in their last 7 league games. Now they go up against the best club in the World in my eyes. This line should be -200.
Sevilla at -300 for 4 units. Sevilla won’t lose at home. Start Chicharito!! Jesus Navas will supply the crosses. Banega will add the creativity. Ocampos has been in more than fine form. Levante lacks the fluidity that Sevilla has shown this season.
Roma at +115 for 1 unit. Sampdoria have lost their last 3 league games. They are bottom of the table. Cristante, Dzeko, and Kolarov will use their experience to get the dub. Just want to get the juices flowing with my cup of coffee before my big Liverpool/NFL bets.
69-58-5 on the NFL last season (2018/19) up 26.36 units
22-28 on the NFL this season down 5.07 units
My Carolina Panthers are on BYE this Sunday.. So to keep my interests high I am betting a silly amount of money today. Ride with me. Going with my gut. I can’t lose money today. I’m waking up feeling dangerous.
Ravens/Seahawks under 49.5 at -120 for 2 units. Running-type game. It is going to be rainy in Seattle tomorrow. Know your weather. Yeah Lockett or Snead may catch a long touchdown, but I like Earl Thomas to help the under in his revenge game. Maybe he will give the finger to gum-chewing Pete again. Also, this random guy that has a fake record on twitter has the over as his max play. Fading him. Don’t want to put him on blast because he is my little secret. I am 3-0 fading him all-time.
Jaguars -3 at -155 for 2 units. Buying a point and a half. Bengals can’t tackle. Fournette should have a game. The Bengals have allowed 184.5 rush YPG this season. 184.5!!! Minshew rebounds after struggling for a couple weeks. Minshew still has the highest QBR through his first 6 games a Jaguar since ECU’s David Gerrard. Andy Dalton has looked almost as bad this season as Joe Flacco did on Thursday Night.
Redskins/49ers over 40 at -110 for 1 unit. Terry McLaurin and Adrian Peterson can get 14 points. The 49ers are going to score at least 30. Kyle Shanahan is going to fuck his old team up.
49ers -10 at -115 for 4 units. Kyle Shanahan is going to fuck his old team up. Oh, sorry. I already said that. The 49ers have an average point differential of +16.6. The Redskins beat the Dolphins by 1. The 49ers have covered every time I have bet on them this season. Oh I think they like me. RIP Buddie of Dem Franchize Boyz. Fuck Cancer.
Redskins inability to run the ball will hurt them early and then Case Keenum will make some mistakes later on. Book it.
Giants at -170 for 4 units. Cardinals defense blows. Daniel Jones has been sacked only 10 times this year. Eli Manning would have fallen down with no one around him at least that many times by now. Playing the Cardinals on 10 days of rest will be a breath of fresh air for the Giants after playing the Patriots. That sentence was a mouthful. Here are some short ones. Saquon is back. Engram is back.
Bills are my survivor pick. There are only 200 people left in my pool. Ryan Fitzpatrick could ball out, but I trust the Bills D at home.
Feeling lucky. El Clasico has been postponed to due Catalonia’s protests. My Parlays have not been postponed.
2-2 on Weekend Parlays, but this is my first can’t lose one; therefore, I will go 3-2. Just put it blindly. I am up 6.44 units since I started doing these parlays. Let’s get it.
PSG/Manchester City/Bayern Munich/Barcelona/Sevilla/Florida/Auburn/Iowa/Cincinnati/Boise State/Penn State/Bills risking 2 units to win 27.02 units.
12 teams on this one. PSG are without Mbappe and Neymar, but they still have a better midfield and defense than Nice. City, Bayern. and Barcelona are all healthy and won’t lose their first game back from break. I trust Messi, Pep, Aguero, and Lewandowski. Sevilla at home is a no-brainer. Sevilla are my favorite club and they have only 3 losses this season, two were against Barcelona and Real Madrid. They will beat Levante at home. Start Chicharito!
I wrote about Florida and Penn State in my college football post here.
Auburn, Iowa, and Cincinnati are all heavy favorites at home. They won’t lose. Just adding them to make this parlay a little more fruitful.
I love this Boise State team. They could be the parlay killer on the road at BYU, but with both starting Qbs out for these teams.. I trust the Boise State defense to show out.
Betting on the teams with better playmakers. It is that simple this week.
UNC ML at -170 for 5 units. North Carolina travels to Blacksburg to face the Hokies. UNC is coming off of a BYE and Mack Brown said they practiced well without a game. Hendon Hooker was named the starter for Virginia Tech a few weeks ago and he looked great against Miami. UNC and VT have both beat Miami this season. The Hurricanes came out flat as Kyrie Irving’s Earth against the Hokies. The Heels will have more energy.
I was at the Miami/UNC game and Sam Howell, the freshman QB for the Tar Heels, impressed the shit out of me. Howell is great at reading blitzes and throwing where only his player can get it. The video below shows (Javonte Williams mainly) Howell recognizing the blitz and dumping down to his RB. He makes it look simple. Virginia Tech lacks playmakers on offense. UNC has Dazz Newsome and Javonte Williams. UNC wins the turnover battle and gets more big plays on the road. Also, Storm Duck is starting at DB for UNC cause of injuries. Gotta go with the team that has Storm Duck. What a fantastic name.
Penn State -9.5 at -110 for 4 units. This Penn State team has about 4 more playmakers on offense than Michigan does. Noah Cain, Devyn Ford, and KJ Hamler are all studs. I write about KJ Hamler almost every week, I love his speed and how he plays bigger than his size. Sean Clifford struggled a little bit last week at QB for the Nittany Lions, but it was against a great Iowa defense. I have watched Michigan play twice this year and have been unimpressed both times. They do not have the running game or defensive front 7 that could dominate like they had in past years. Penn State wins the battle in the trenches and gets more big plays. I would not be shocked if Penn State blew Michigan out like Wisconsin did.
Florida -5 at -115 for 2 units. Yeah South Carolina had a great win in double-overtime against Georgia.. but they won’t sneak up on Florida. The Gators have more playmakers, a better QB, and a better defense. They should be favored by 10.
Ohio State -27.5 at -110 for 2 units. I bet on the Buckeyes to cover similar spreads against Indiana and Nebraska. They covered both times. I don’t think Northwestern are too different from those teams. Ohio State is going to drop at least 38 points. Can Northwestern drop 14 or more? I think not. Justin Fields might be the best QB in Ohio. Sorry Andy Dalton, Desmond Ridder, Baker Mayfield, Ryan Lindley, and Ryan Finley.
More winners. Thanks for listening. Any advice and criticism is for the better. Want to have the best product for you listeners. I am a man of the people.
69-58-5 on the NFL last season (2018/19) up 26.36 units
21-27 on the NFL this season down 5.92 units
Chiefs -3 at -130 for 5 units. Chiefs have lost two in a row. Broncos have won two in a row. The Texans ran for 192 yards against KC last week. The Colts ran for 182 yards the week before against KC. Crazy I know but when Mahomes doesn’t have the ball, he can’t throw the ball. The Chiefs will score enough early to make it so the Broncos can’t play that style of football. Tyreek Hill is officially back. Mahomes has a little Kirk Cousins-syndrome and is 2-5 in primetime. He is 15-1 in all other games. Those two numbers will equal out starting tonight.
I am not betting on Joe Flacco. Kansas City have covered 6 of the past 7 times against the Broncos. Denver is one of the worst teams in the league at converting 3rd downs. The Texans and Colts beat the Chiefs with solid QB play and a great running attack. I doubt the Broncos can get those two things working as well as those two teams did. Mahomes and the offense do enough to make up for the Chiefs’ defensive deficiencies.
Chiefs/Broncos over 48 at -120 for 3 units. A hedge against my -3 of sorts. If the Broncos do cover, they will have to break 25 points for the first time in the last 15 games. I see a 31-21 type game here. I don’t trust the defense of either team enough to play the under, so I am hitting the over.
I originally wrote about the NBA’s China problem here, but there has been more news since then. At that point in time, only Morey and Adam Silver had spoken out. Now Lebron has. I wish he hadn’t.
Lebron was trying to sound so smart.. He sounded like a dumbass. Morey was not only thinking about himself. He was standing up for the people of Hong Kong and Freedom everywhere. YOU are the one thinking about yourself and that China money.
Lebron has a cutscene in the new NBA 2k20 where he says, “I believe no one person is capable of turning the tide, but we all have an obligation”. You have failed your obligation as the face of the NBA. Muhammad Ali would be ashamed.
Enes Kanter has his life and family’s life at stake, but he STILL stands with freedom. Lebron has nothing but money at stake and sided with China. Kanter said “Our lives begin to end the day we become silent on things that matter”. Kanter also tweeted..
-Haven’t seen or talked to my family 5 years
-Jailed my dad
-My siblings can’t find jobs
-Revoked my passport
-International arrest warrant
-My family can’t leave the country
-Got Death Threats everyday
-Got attacked, harassed
-Tried to kidnap me in Indonesia
FREEDOM IS NOT FREE
(end tweet)
A Lakers fan has made thousands of “I stand with Hong Kong” shirts. Lebron wants to stop talking about this. Hopefully America won’t let him. One of the Hong Kong protest leaders got smashed with a hammer repeatedly literally 36 hours ago. He is still alive. Kanter is still alive. I hope that, because of Daryl Morey’s harmless tweet, more people become educated on this situation in China and do whatever they can do stop it.
Joe Harris said “I already get paid too much to play a game..” Harris was ambivalent on the matter. Even that is 100x better than what LeCommunist said.
