11-11-1 on College Football in 2019 up 8.32 units
Betting on the teams with better playmakers. It is that simple this week.
UNC ML at -170 for 5 units. North Carolina travels to Blacksburg to face the Hokies. UNC is coming off of a BYE and Mack Brown said they practiced well without a game. Hendon Hooker was named the starter for Virginia Tech a few weeks ago and he looked great against Miami. UNC and VT have both beat Miami this season. The Hurricanes came out flat as Kyrie Irving’s Earth against the Hokies. The Heels will have more energy.
I was at the Miami/UNC game and Sam Howell, the freshman QB for the Tar Heels, impressed the shit out of me. Howell is great at reading blitzes and throwing where only his player can get it. The video below shows (Javonte Williams mainly) Howell recognizing the blitz and dumping down to his RB. He makes it look simple. Virginia Tech lacks playmakers on offense. UNC has Dazz Newsome and Javonte Williams. UNC wins the turnover battle and gets more big plays on the road. Also, Storm Duck is starting at DB for UNC cause of injuries. Gotta go with the team that has Storm Duck. What a fantastic name.
Penn State -9.5 at -110 for 4 units. This Penn State team has about 4 more playmakers on offense than Michigan does. Noah Cain, Devyn Ford, and KJ Hamler are all studs. I write about KJ Hamler almost every week, I love his speed and how he plays bigger than his size. Sean Clifford struggled a little bit last week at QB for the Nittany Lions, but it was against a great Iowa defense. I have watched Michigan play twice this year and have been unimpressed both times. They do not have the running game or defensive front 7 that could dominate like they had in past years. Penn State wins the battle in the trenches and gets more big plays. I would not be shocked if Penn State blew Michigan out like Wisconsin did.
Florida -5 at -115 for 2 units. Yeah South Carolina had a great win in double-overtime against Georgia.. but they won’t sneak up on Florida. The Gators have more playmakers, a better QB, and a better defense. They should be favored by 10.
Ohio State -27.5 at -110 for 2 units. I bet on the Buckeyes to cover similar spreads against Indiana and Nebraska. They covered both times. I don’t think Northwestern are too different from those teams. Ohio State is going to drop at least 38 points. Can Northwestern drop 14 or more? I think not. Justin Fields might be the best QB in Ohio. Sorry Andy Dalton, Desmond Ridder, Baker Mayfield, Ryan Lindley, and Ryan Finley.