Category: Football

66-50-5 on the NFL up 37.36 units

Ravens at -147 for 3 units. Phil Rivers has 6 interceptions in his last 3 games. Lamar Jackson averages 80 yards rushing a game as a starter. Ravens are great at covering receivers that like to line up out wide like Keenan Allen. Chargers ended the season poorly, while Baltimore ended the season trending up. Ravens beat the Chargers 22-10 in California. I don’t see how the Chargers just get better at stopping the run a few weeks later and a few time zones over. Gus Edwards and Lamar Jackson are tough to stop. Ravens D steps up and gets the win.

Bears at -270 for 3 units. Da Bears. Foles has the experience over Mitch, but Mitch can run. The Bears allowed the fewest rushing yards the ever have in a 16-game season this year. Since Week 15, Mitchell Trubisky has the highest completion % in the NFL. Bears have won 9 of their last 10. Chicago’s defense should control the game. I want to bet the spread, but Foles and the Alshon Jeffrey revenge game have me second guessing the Bears -7.

65-47-5 on the NFL regular season up 41.77 units

Beer, chili, and winning bets on the NFL playoffs. It doesn’t get better!

Colts/Texans over 47 at -130 for 3 units. DeAndre Hopkins had 115 catches this season and no drops. Hopkins can’t be stopped. T.Y. Hilton averaged 157 yards a game against the Texans this season. The Texans have to focus on limiting Hilton, which could leave room for Ebron, Mack, and Hines to have big days. These two teams scored a total of 71 and 45 points in their two previous meetings this season.

Colts +1 at +103 for 3 units. Watson was sacked 62 times this season. Luck was only sacked 18 times. Indy completes a silly good 49% of their 3rd downs. Houston’s pass defense is the worst in the league. Indy’s ability to protect and let Luck find the gaps in that bad secondary will win Indy this game. Indy wins 31-21.

Seahawks at +117 for 3 units. You can bet on Dak and Jason Garrett… I’m not. Elliot is good, but Seattle actually has the best rushing attack in the league. Doug Baldwin and Tyler Lockett step up here as well. Dallas allows teams to complete over 40% of their 3rd downs. Seattle’s ability to run the ball will put them in good second and third down situations. Russell Wilson should be able to take advantage of the young Dallas linebackers with some QB runs.

Parlay all 3 risking 1.5 units to win 10.16 units. Feeling lucky.

92-78-9 on Soccer in 2018 up 8.17 units

2-1 on Soccer in 2019 up 2.35 units 

Tottenham Hotspur -1.5 at -185 for 4 units. Tottenham has progressed 17 of 18 times against lower league competition in this tournament. Last time Tottenham played Tranmere they won 4-0. The time before… Tottenham won 4-0. Prenton Park is where the Liverpool Reserves play, but it is Tranmere’s home. Mauricio Pochettino has led his team to a 47-11 scoreline against lower league opponents in this competition since he was appointed Tottenham manager. Tottenham has scored first and in the first half of 5 of their past 6 matches. There could be some rotation for Tottenham, getting younger players some action, but if the game is still close after halftime… I expect Tottenham to play some super subs and put the game away.

Leganes ML at +331 for 1 unit. Leganes/Espanyol draw at +228 for 1 unit. Espanyol has lost 6 league games in a row, but are still ahead of Leganes in the table. Leganes has not lost in their past 7 La Liga matches. Ruben Perez is suspended again for cards for Leganes. El Zhar and Guido Carrillo have been solid for Leganes this season. Fading the coldest team in Europe.. if Espanyol does turn it around this game, I won’t be too mad.

53-37 on College Football in 2018 up 44.48 units

14-8 on Bowls up 15.11 units

Mississippi St. -7 at -102 for 3 units. Iowa hasn’t beat a ranked opponent all year. Mississippi State allows only 12 points a game. Bulldog players opted to play instead of sit out for the draft. They will dominate this game.

LSU -7 at -132 for 2 units. I want UCF to win, but the numbers say they won’t.

Ohio State -7 at +112 for 2 units. Urban Meyer retirement game (again). He doesn’t want to be a distraction, but hey everyone I”m retiring after this game look at me. Haskins does enough in this one.

Georgia/Texas under 59 for 4 units. I think this game has a similar game-script to the Clemson-Notre Dame game. I just can’t see Texas getting many points against this Georgia defense. Texas has played in nine one-possession games this season.. Georgia does have some players skipping this game for the draft, like the Jim Thorpe Award winner, Deandre Baker. I want to bet Georgia -12, but Texas has the ability to keep games close. I think the under is the smart play here.

52-36 on College Football in 2018 up 44.10 units

13-7 on Bowls up 14.73 units

Vegas dared us to take the over with Tua and Kyler and we did and won. Clemson defense suffocated Notre Dame’s young QB like we knew they would. Florida steamrolled Michigan… classic case of Michigan not playing for anything and Florida playing for a good start to next season. Back at it today…

Cincy -6 at -122 for 3 units. On a rainy windy day, I am going to side with the team that is better at running the ball. Virginia Tech barely snuck into a bowl game. VT lost to Old Dominion this season… VT allows over 450 yards a game… not good. The AAC only has won bowl win so far… Cincy gets them 2 today.

Stanford/Texas A&M parlay risking 3 units to win 3.38 units. No Germaine Pratt for NCSU. Jace Sternberger, Quartney Davis, and Kendrick Rogers will provide matchup problems for NC State. Trayveon Williams had over 1,500 yard rushing this year and the Aggies will use him to keep Ryan Finley off the field.

Pat Narduzzi has been the head coach of Pittsburgh since 2014 and has one win over a Power-5 team not in the ACC (Penn State). Kenny Pickett has struggled against stiffer competition for Pittsburgh. Stanford will pressure him. The Cardinals average almost 3 sacks a game and they will be able to pressure Pickett.

62-47-5 on the NFL up 33.61 units

Colts at -213 for 5 units. No Mariota. Colts have allowed the fewest sacks in the NFL. Andrew Luck is 10-0 vs the Titans. Colts point differential is +101 over their past 10 games.

Eagles at -255 for 5 units. Philly has to win to make the playoffs pretty much. Alshon Jeffrey is playing better with Foles at Qb. Washington struggles getting off the field on 3rd down. Philly will be able to sustain drives. Washington is done.

Pats -14 at -104 for 4 units. Jets have quit on their coach. Sony Michel has averaged 73.4 rush YPG this season. Pretty damn good for a rookie. James White has gone over 1,000 total yards this season. Tom Brady weirdly doesn’t have a 4 td game this season, he could get one today. NYJ allows too many sacks and they suck at third down conversions (32%). Pats should take care of business.

49-35 on College Football this season up 29.97 units

7-6 on Bowls up 0.60 units 

West Virginia at +135 for 1 unit. Big 12 Defensive Player of the Year David Long should be able to slow down Syracuse and Eric Dungey a little. West Virginia has 3 running backs that average over 5 yards a carry (Kennedy McKoy, Martell Pettaway, and  Leddue Brown). Alton Robinson, one of the ACC’s best defensive lineman, is out for the Orange. I think WVU will be able to run the ball enough to control the game. Will Grier is out, but WVU still gets the win.

Auburn -166 for 1 unit. Tyler Trent is the man, but Auburn needs this win. Purdue is missing their best defensive lineman, Lorenzo Neal. Stidham to Ryan Davis is the best passing duo Auburn has ever had competition wise. They will both step up here. Seth Williams will catch a deep ball or 3 for Auburn.

Washington State -140 for 4 units. Iowa State is that weird Big 12 team that actually plays defense. Iowa State’s only great win this season was against WVU. They barely beat Drake last time out. Cal is the only team Washington State has played that is similar to this ISU team, and Washington State won that game. The former ECU Pirate, Minshew had 4,477 yards and 36 touchdowns this season for WSU. He threw the ball 613 times and only had 9 interceptions. For comparison, TCU and Cal had 9 interceptions combined in their bowl game. Leach will have some new plays, he can’t just sit still for a month and not get creative. Washington State can win a low-scoring game, but if it turns into a shootout, the edge goes to WSU as well. The Cougars get the win.

Auburn/Washington State parlay risking 2 units to win 3.5 units.

49-35 on College Football this season up 31.67 units

6-5 on Bowls up 2.30 units 

Temple -3 at -132 for 5 units. Duke has lost their past two games by a combined score of 94-13. Temple has seen less than 40% of the bets placed on them, but the line keeps moving from -3 to -3.5. Reverse Line Movement spot here. Big money is on Temple. The Owls only allow 5 yards per attempt through the air. Best in the country. Daniel Jones will be playing in the NFL next year, but he will find it tough to throw the ball today against Temple. Delvon Randall and Rock Ya-Sin are beasts for Temple. Rock is one of the best football names I have come across this year. Temple going for back 2 back bowl wins for the first time in program history. Ryquell Armstead and Temple control the game on the ground for the win and cover in this one.

Baylor at +165 for 2 units. Charlie Brewer is a solid sophomore QB for Baylor. Baylor will need to feed Denzel Mims and stop Vandy’s rushing attack to win. Baylor’s linebacker Clay Johnston pursuit of Vandy’s running back Ke’Shawn Vaughn will be fun to watch. I think this game is closer than the money line suggests, so I will play the underdog.

48-35 on College Football this season up 27.15 units

5-5 on Bowls down 2.22 units 

TCU -1 at +113 for 4 units. This game features the lowest over/under of the bowl season (40 points). In a defensive battle, I’ll take the team that I think has the better defense in TCU. The Horned Frogs are 27th nationally on defense. Cal’s defense is in the top 20 nationally, but I give the nod to TCU because of scheduling. Cal’s first time in a bowl since Jared Goff was the QB. Jalen Reagor has been great at wideout this season for TCU, especially considering he has played with 3 different QBs. I can’t bet on a Cal team that barely beat UNC and lost to UCLA by 30. TCU is a disciplined solid team that will frustrate Cal.