Category: Football

43-31 on College Football up 28.43 units

Army at -332 for 3 units. Army is just better than Navy this season. Army is going for their first 11 win season in school history with a win here and in their bowl game. Navy is one of the best teams in the nation at rushing the ball, but Army knows this and will gameplan to stop their rushing attack. One of the best rivalries in all of sports, even the plebes care. This Army team barely lost to Oklahoma in September and haven’t lost since then. Navy gives up over 30 points a game and Army only gives up 18.7 points a game. Defense will be the difference in this one.

55-41-4 on the NFL up 34.59 units

Eagles -6 for 6 units. Redskins have bad karma for signing Reuben Foster. Colt McCoy isn’t good. Eagles are 0-5 when they don’t rush for over 100 yards. They got the run game going in the second half against the Giants and I think that continues tonight. Eagles have to win this game if they want to make the playoffs. Washington would like to get Adrian Peterson going, but the Eagles have a solid run defense. Jordan Reed and Vernon Davis will prolly have big days, but I don’t think McCoy can do enough here. McCoy is getting sacked on over 9% of his dropbacks. Redskins will have 3 or 4 starting lineup hurt in this one. Golden Tate should finally get going with the defense focusing on Ertz.

53-39-4 on the NFL up 41.76 units

Jets +10 for 2 units. Jets haven’t covered since October 14th when they beat the Colts. The over/under for this game vs the Titans is set at only 40 points. It is going to be ugly. Jamal Adams has been great this season, but the Jets simply haven’t been. The Titans are inconsistent and haven’t played to their ability since they beat the Patriots.

Patriots at -240 for 2 units. This is when the Pats start to turn it on. Patriots are 64-13 in the month of December this century. Vikings lack of run game leads them to a below average 27% 3rd down completion. Patriots convert on 43% of their 3rd downs. New England’s ability to sustain drives will lead them to a home win.

Chiefs -14 for 5 units. The Kareem Hunt video isn’t good. The star running back is facing at least a 6 game ban for his altercation. The Raiders should be facing a 6 game ban too because they suck. Mahomes has more passing touchdowns since week 6 than Aaron Rodgers has all season. Oakland doesn’t have the ability to keep up with Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce.

Steelers -3 for 5 units. Chargers traveling east and all that. Pittsburgh has not looked great the past 2 weeks, but I think they win this pivotal AFC matchup. Austin Ekeler will do well stepping in for the injured Melvin Gordon, but he is a different type of back than Gordon. Philip Rivers has been on fire this season, but Watt and the cold Pittsburgh weather will limit him enough. Pittsburgh averages 3.5 sacks a game.

I have been betting on the Chargers a lot this year. They are one of the few all around good teams in the NFL, but traveling to Pittsburgh without Melvin Gordon is too tall of a task me thinks. JuJu already has over 1,000 yards this season, while Antonio Brown has “only” 874 yards and 11 touchdowns. I can’t see the Chargers secondary stopping Pittsburgh’s pass attack, even though I love Derwin James.

41-31 on College Football up 20.72 units

Went 3-4 last time out, but won the big bet and the parlay. This is one of my favorite weeks of the football year (I have about 7 favorite weeks). You get championships in college and week 13 deciding fantasy matchups in the pros.

Oklahoma/Alabama/Clemson Parlay betting 10 units to win 5.82 units. Bama and Clemson are not losing. They are a class above the rest. I know Georgia have been playing a lot better of late, but they don’t have the playmakers (on offense or defense) to stop Bama. That said, Oklahoma is the one that can kill this big bet in my opinion. Oklahoma lost to Texas earlier this season 48-45. Oklahoma’s defense looked better last week than they did earlier in the season. OU has scored 45 points or more in their last 8 games. They are the best offense in the country. OU is 8-1 in Big 12 championship games. Charles Omenihu leads a great Texas defensive line, but I do not think it will be enough to stop Kyler Murray.

Clemson -28 for 2 units. Clemson is second in the nation in sacks and 11th in the nation in sacks allowed. That defensive pressure and ability to protect Trevor Lawrence allow Clemson to win this one by 30 or more.

53-38-4 on the NFL up 44.76 units

Saints -7 for 3 units. Cowboys barely beat the Colt McCoy led Redskins, now they play the MVP Drew Brees. Vander Esch and Smith are good, but they ain’t stopping Kamara. I can’t take a team playing the Saints in a dome after how good the Saints have looked since Week 2 (Bucs beating the Saints or Bills smacking the Vikings a bigger surprise this season?) I know Dallas plays well at home. I know Dallas has a solid defensive front 7. I know Dallas has Elliot and Cooper. This Saints team is too good though. I expect Kamara and Ingram to keep Elliot off the field. The Cowboys don’t have the ability to sustain drives like the Saints do and that will show up tonight. Everyone is on New Orleans tonight, but if we all lose, I know I bet the better team.

52-38-4 on the NFL up 42.18 units

Texans at -195 for 5 units. Adoree Jackson struggled against T.Y. Hilton and DeAndre Hopkins should do work. If Tennessee elects to double Hopkins (I think they should), then I think Coutee and Thomas could have good games. Thomas had no catches on 1 target last week, but I think that was an outlier more than a trend. Watson has been patient this season and has been playing great in 4 or 5 WR sets. Houston’s defensive line will be too much for the Titans.

51-37-4 on the NFL up 40.29 units

Patriots -12.5 for 7 units. Jets sucks. Patriots have to win to stay in the running for home-field. Pats coming off a BYE. James White will have a good game. Matt Barkley went off on the Jets last week. Tom Brady is 10-1 coming off a double digit loss. Historical trends, last week’s performance, and Tom Brady are the reasons why I am taking the Pats heavy today.

Steelers at -160 for 5 units. Broncos don’t have the secondary to stop JuJu and AB. Pittsburgh came out slow last week and almost lost, so I think they come out firing in this one. Pittsburgh has done a fantastic job protecting Big Ben. Chubb and Miller against the Pittsburgh offensive line is the matchup to watch today. Pittsburgh is converting on 56% of their 3rd downs since week 5 (Best in NFL). Pittsburgh’s offense will be too much for Denver.

50-37-3 on the NFL up 38.19 units

Chiefs +3 for 5 units. Kansas City has scored a touchdown on 41% of their drives this season. The Rams have scored a touchdown on 34% of their drives. This game has all the makings of a shootout. Kareem Hunt is going to have to have a good day for this bet to win. Rams are a near perfect football team, but they struggle getting off the field in 3rd and long situations. Kansas City can take advantage of this. Tyreek Hill is too damn fast for any defense. Cooper Kupp’s injury hurts the Rams. I just think the Chiefs are better at this point in the season and that shows up tonight.

Props to the NFL for not fining Tyreek Hill for his camera operator celebration. The league is fun again. The Texans whole defense celebrating after Justin Reid’s 101 yard pick 6 was also awesome. Hill will find the endzone tonight..

Tyreek Hill at least 1 Receiving TD at -143 for 3 units.

47-33-3 on the NFL up 41.25 units

I am getting a little sad the NFL season is about halfway over including the playoffs.

Panthers at -208 for 3 units. The Panthers will win after their double digit loss to the Steelers 10 days ago. Carolina always plays well after a big loss with Cam Newton. He doesn’t like losing. I can’t see the Lions stopping Carolina’s talented youngsters (McCaffrey, Samuel, and Moore). The secondary will play a lot better than they did against the Pittsburgh. Marvin Jones is inactive and Golden Tate is on the Eagles.. Carolina got a wake up call, this bet believes they actually woke up. Carolina struggles on the road, but they win this one.

Titans/Colts under 49.5 for 1 unit. Colts move the ball better than most NFL teams, but the Tennessee defense impressed me last week. I see a 27-17 type score in this one.

Texans at -155 for 2 units. Redskins looked bad last week in their win against the Bucs. Houston’s defensive line will show up. Thomas and Hopkins will be too much for Washington’s secondary.

Giants -3 for 3 units. Bucs are ass. Saquon and Odell should dominate. Don’t like placing a bet on either New York team, but I do think this one hits.

Chargers at -308 for 2 units. Chargers can basically secure a playoff spot with a win today. They would move to 8-2 and have a 3 game lead in the wild card. They can still win the division over the Chiefs, but they have to keep winning. Broncos only win in the last few weeks has been against the Cardinals. San Diego’s pass rush, Derwin James, and Melvin Gordon will be too much for Denver. Rivers has been on fire this season.

Cardinals at -220 for 1 unit. Raiders fade. I honestly don’t think they are trying to win games. Avril left. Nelson retired. Mack and Cooper got traded. It’s comical at this point.

Giants/Panthers/Cardinals/Ravens/Chargers Parlay risking 2 units to win 11.18 units. Won my college football parlay again yesterday. Feeling good about this one even with the lowly Cardinals and Giants in it. I’m 6-3 on parlays up 20.63 units.

38-27 on College Football up 15.39 units

Pittsburgh/Wake Forest over 59.5 for 1 unit.

Wake Forest +6 for 1 unit. Wake Forest has to limit Pittsburgh’s rushing attack if they want to win this one. Wake Forest is going to put up some points, it is just a matter if they can get enough stops. I think they do. Jamie Newman looked great in his first start against a good NC State defense. Newman will do enough against Pitt to cover this spread.

Clemson -28 for 5 units. Duke doesn’t have the talent in the trenches to keep up with Clemson. It is that simple. Clemson was only 5-15 on 3rd down last week and only scored touchdowns on 50% of their redzone attempts. They worked on that in practice this week and it will show.

West Virginia at -240 for 3 units. Will Grier won’t be stopped against a porous Oklahoma State defense.

Ohio State -14 for 2 units. Maryland season has had its lowlights, I don’ think Saturday’s game will be a highlight either. OSU’s line dominates.

USC at -145 for 3 units. UCLA is ass. If this reasoning doesn’t work for a second straight week, I will take it out of my system. (Bet Duke to cover -10 last week because UNC is ass… Worst beat of the season for me. SVP covered it, but Duke got a TD taken away late to go up 20 and then UNC scores late to lost by 7…)

Ohio State/Kentucky/NC State/Notre Dame/East Carolina/Central Florida/Hawaii Moneyline Parlay risking 2 units to win 6.43 units. For all my degenerates that want action all day. Won the parlay last week. Back 2 Back.