69-58-5 on the NFL last season (2018/19) up 26.36 units
0-2 on the NFL this season down 3.00 units
Rodgers over 2 Tds/David Montgomery over 48.5 yards at +127 for 2 units. Aaron Rodgers will throw for 2 touchdowns in this new offense. I am confident. A lot of people love David Montgomery, I am not that high on him, but I think he can get 50 yards in the Jordan Howard role at least.
Tarik Cohen over 3.5 receptions at +110 for 4 units. Screens. Check-downs. Cohen had 71 receptions last season. 71 divided by 16 is 4.4375 receptions a game. Jordan Howard is gone. Montgomery has been added. I still think Cohen will have a similar role. If the Bears are down, Cohen is going to catch some balls, but even if he is not I like this play.
Auburn beat Oregon. Mack Brown and North Carolina beat South Carolina. Alabama rolled Duke. I am silly happy football is back.
Houston +23 at -115 for 2 units. The debut of Jalen Hurts for Oklahoma tonight. The Qb that is built like a runningback should do well in the Oklahoma offense. OU’s defense last year was terrible. Houston should score enough to cover. I expect OU to run the ball more and have a lower-scoring, but efficient offense.
Hand up, I had Bama and the under in the Championship. I lost both plays, but still had a good season. I can’t lose 3 bets in a row on college football right?
Wisconsin -10 at -110 for 5 units. Look it, This Jonathan Taylor guy is a beast. The Doak Walker award winner of last season gets to run behind another strong Wisconsin o-line. USF was one of the worst teams in the country last season against the run and they lost two of their best tacklers. Tackling matters in football. The Badgers passed on only 36.5% of plays last season. That’s third lowest out of the Power 5 schools. They will be looking for more balance this year… but JT is too damn good not to feed. The Badgers only had two passing plays over 36 yards last season. I think they get a long passing play tonight. The game could be close around halftime, but I expect the Badgers to wear down the USF defense in the second half and win by 14-17 points.
69-58-5 on the NFL last season (2018/19) up 26.36 units
0-0 on the NFL this season
Going full degenerate and betting on the final preseason week. I know there is college football, but why bet on games that matter when you can bet on games that don’t (I know they matter to the people trying not to be cut).
Melvin Gordon and Zeke still haven’t reported to camp. They are sliding in fantasy drafts because of their lack of showing up. The NFL does need to change the rookie contract scale for runningbacks, 4/5 years is too long for a runningback to wait for his big payday. Jerry Jones should trade for Gordon and pay him 14 million a year and save a little money…
Andrew Luck retired and Indy fans booed him. Suck for Luck worked.. kinda. Luck is a smart man and if he wants to use his arm in 20 years, retiring was prolly the right move. He made over $70 million in his career, he should be good. He seems more fiscally responsible than Mike Tyson, Antoine Walker, 50 Cent, and others that have squandered their millions. I relate the Colts booing him to Toronto cheering for the KD injury. Fans do dumb shit out of raw emotion.
Vikings at -150 for 2 units. I listen to Pardon My Take. PFT loves Kyle Sloter, the backup’s backup QB for Minnesota. Sloter should get a lot of playing time tonight. He has thrown 10 touchdowns and 0 interceptions in his preseason career. Will the Bills cut McCoy and save 6 million? Stay tuned. The Cowboys/Texans and others could use him. I know I know, I am good at this gambling thing, betting on the top sports’ podcasts satirical info is as insider as you can get.
Redskins at +210 for 1 unit. Washington is the biggest underdog on the day, so I am going to take them. “Trace” McSorley III doesn’t scare me in his homecoming game. Aaron Rader has more insight into the game if you want more info. But it’s preseason so just send it.
Just need one of these to win to be up on the year going into the season. Just looking for some good juju here…
Survivor Pool Picks Week 1: Seahawks and Eagles. I am in 4 pools and chose each of them twice.
I am going to start with the Odell Beckham trade and then go in order of teams.
Giants trade Olivier Vernon and Odell Beckham Jr. to the Browns for Kevin Zeitler, Jabrill Peppers, as well as, a first and third round pick in this year’s draft.
Let me start off by saying I love Odell Beckham Jr’s talent. I picked him up off of waivers in week 3 of his rookie year and him and Julio led me to back 2 back titles in my older brother’s fantasy keeper league. I know no one cares about my fantasy league, but I just say that to say I don’t hate Odell. I love him. He has made me a lot of money. This play below won me the fantasy championship. I still have chills watching it. He jukes Mark Barron (#26) on the Rams so bad I prayed for Barron that night.. and I ain’t even that religious.
Odell is amazing, but I don’t think he is a great leader. I know him and Giants’ owner John Mara don’t get along. I know he ate a pepperoni pizza while a stripper did cocaine in his room during the offseason. He prolly did the sex that night. I know he went on a boat and had a good time the week before his only playoff game, a 38-16 loss to the Packers. He had 11 targets, 4 catches, and 28 receiving yards in that game. That’s bad. I know he had an interview with Lil Wayne that aired on a Sunday gameday where he called Eli “slow”, New York “cold”, and blamed the coaching staff for not calling aggressive enough plays. That could not have helped the locker room. He says he tried to bring energy to the locker room. Now in 2016, Ben McAdoo was his coach, so I don’t blame him at all for his multiple fines and ridiculous antics that season. If Ben McAdoo was my coach, I may have quit football.
So Giants fans are pissed they lost one of the best wideouts in the game, which is reasonable. Where has Odell taken you is my question? Yes his catches against the Cowboys and R-words will be remembered forever, but it’s not like those catches led to postseason success. Hell Mario Manningham has a better playoff resume than Odell. Olivier Vernon is a great defensive end, but he has history of dirty play (See hits on Dak and Mariota). When him and Suh were on the Dolphins I hated him. In my opinion, Vernon and Beckham are some of the best NFL players, but they are not great locker rooms guys and that is why they have had hardly any playoff success. Football is a team sport, and these players seem bigger than the team.
I hope Odell gets his act together and he seems to be doing that. Watching him, his college buddy Jarvis Landry, Baker, Njoku, and Chubb is going to be fun. His interview after the Giants’ MNF win over the 49ers showed a lot of maturity, which was refreshing as an Odell supporter.
The Giants needed a locker room change to make way for Saquon Barkley and whichever young QB they draft (I think Kyler Murray is the best one available) to be their leaders. Obviously, they have to move on from Eli. Jabrill Peppers will fill the void Landon Collins left and Zeitler adds much needed offensive line talent. I have not even mentioned Odell’s injury history either. The Steelers got a 3rd and a 5th for AB. I know AB is older and he wanted out, but I am not so sure Odell wanted to be in NY either.
I compare this trade to the Boogie Cousins/Pelicans trade. When that trade happened, it seems like everyone said the Pelicans won the trade. Achilles injury aside, the Kings won that trade. Draft picks and Buddy are worth more than Cousins is now. The Kings changed their locker room and got better because of it. They have won more games this season than they have in any season with Boogie. Mark my words, Giants will go further in the playoffs over the next 4 years than they ever did with Odell over the past 4 years. Finally, the Cowboys won the division last year with a good defense and a great running game. The Giants can do the same without Odell.
49ers trade a 2019 second round pick to the Chiefs for Dee Ford. I like this trade for both teams. San Francisco adds a needed pass rusher and the Chiefs were not going to pay him anyway. Good business. Also, the 49ers have signed LB Kwon Alexander.
DeSean Jackson has been traded back to the Eagles from the Buccaneers. Wentz can throw the ball further than Uncle Rio and DeSean Jackson can still go get it. Can Mahomes, JaMarcus Russell on his knees, or Wentz throw the ball the furthest you think?
Patriots trade a 2020 5th round pick for a 2020 7th and Michael Bennett. Coach Bill wins another trade.
Steelers trade LT Marcus Gilbert to the Cardinals for a 2019 6th. Arizona had the worst offensive line ever seen in the NFL last season due to injuries. They get depth here. Good business. Cardinals also have added LB Jordan Hicks, LB Terrell Suggs, QB Brett Hundley, and OG J.R. Sweezy. Arizona need LBs and O-linemen so great work for them. It is going to be weird seeing Suggs not in a Ravens’ uniform.
Broncos get a 2020 6th round pick from the Redskins for Case Keenum. The R-words didn’t sign Kirk Cousins and now they have, not 1, but 2 Qbs that a eerily similar to him in Keenum and Alex Smith. LOL. John Elway gets another tall Qb in Joe Flacco for a 2019 4th round pick. Ravens move on from their Super Bowl winner and Elway continues to suck at evaluating QB talent.
The Falcons have signed two guards in Jamon Brown and James Carpenter. Atlanta has talent on both sides of the ball, if they can stay healthy, I wouldn’t be shocked to see them make another deep playoff run. Can’t go wrong with proven offensive linemen.
The Buffalo Bills have been busy. They signed veteran wideouts John Brown and Cole Beasley. Both are short, fast, and have good hands. Bruce Arians likes John Brown so that’s enough for me. Beasley played well with Dak, so he will play well as the security blanket for Josh Allen. Also, Bills signed former Texans’ corner Kevin Johnson (not the same Kevin Johnson that worked Allen Iverson and became Mayor of Sacramento for clarification), former Bengals’ tight end Tyler Kroft (he can’t have more drops than Clay had last year), and offensive linemen Mitch Morse and Ty Nsekhe.
The Carolina Panthers have signed one of the best centers in the league in Matt Paradis. Denver fans have told me he is great in the running game, that is music to my ears as a Cam fan. Colin Cowherd can take all his Cam hate and shove it.
The Chicago Bears have signed RB Mike Davis, WR Cordarrelle Patterson, and CB Buster Skrine. Nothing earth-shattering here like Khalil Mack last season, but all solid role players.
The Browns have added DT Sheldon Richardson along with the guys mentioned above. The Browns might have the best defensive line in football now (Broncos are neck and neck with them).
The Cowboys have signed Jason Witten. Their offense didn’t feel the same without the slow big guy. Witten was not good in the MNF booth, so this is a good move for him… for Dallas I’m not so sure. He has to help the locker room though so that’s a plus.
The Broncos have signed SS Kareem Jackson from the Texans and OT Ja’Wuan James from the Dolphins. Both of these players fill a need.
The Ravens have signed Mark Ingram and Earl Thomas. C.J. Mosley and Terrell Suggs are big losses, but Earl Thomas is one of the best safeties in the league when healthy.
The Lions have signed WR Danny Amendola. Wow a former Patriots coach adds a former Patriots player. Never seen that before. Lions also add former Seahawks CB Justin Coleman and former Patriot DL Trey Flowers. Wow a former Patriots coach adds a former Patriots player. Never seen that before. Former Steelers tight end Jesse James also signed with the Lions. I am not sure these signings make the Lions any better, but Stafford gets some weapons to keep building his hall of fame resume. The Hall is going to have a real problem keeping Stafford out when he holds every passing record.
The Packers add much needed pass rushers in Za’Darius and Preston Smith. Adrian Amos fills in nicely for HAHA. Also, they signed OL Billy Turner.
The Texans have added S Tashaun Gibson from the Jags and Bradley Roby from the Broncos. I don’t think these guys are enough to make Houston’s awful secondary better, but I’ve been wrong before.
The Colts sign WR Devin Funchess. Funchess had a lot of drops last season for Carolina and had trouble even seeing the field toward the end. He is still young and tall though.
The Jags sign Super Bowl Winner Big Dick Nick Foles.
The Chiefs sign Carlos Hyde, Tyrann Mathieu, and LB Damien Wilson. I love the honey badger. Hyde fills a need and adds depth. Good business.
The Rams sign veteran safety Eric Weddle. Weddle gets to go back to SoCal and LA gets more veteran leadership. Weddle is older than Sean McVay.
The Dolphins have signed TE Dwayne Allen and former Patriots CB Eric Rowe. Wow a former Patriots coach adds a former Patriots player. Never seen that before. I miss the days when their offensive line coach was doin cocaine on camera. Bold strategy Cotton, it didn’t pay off for him (yet).
The Vikings have signed former Seahawks DL Shamar Stephen. Cool. Kirk “can’t beat a team with a winning record” Cousins is still their QB.
The Saints are signing Latavius Murray, who will try to fill the void left by Mark Ingram.
The Giants have also signed veteran S Antoine Bethea to help fill the void Collins left.
The Buccaneers have signed OLB Deone Bucannon to a one year prove it deal. He is reunited with Bruce Arians.
The Jets have had the best free agency period in their history. Le’Veon Bell is the best running back the Jets have had since Curtis Martin had 7 1,000 yards seasons for the Jets. Martin ran for 1,697 yards in 2004. Martin and the big shoulder pads were fun to watch in the early 2000s. Jets also signed one of the best linebackers in the NFL in C.J. Mosley. Josh Bellamy and Jamison Crowder add some much needed Wideout depth as well. diddukewin.com
The Raiders have added 3 of the best players at their positions in the league in WR Antonio Brown, OT Trent Brown, and S Lamarcus Joyner.
The Eagles have signed DT Malik Jackson. Jackson is scary good at getting penetration from the DL position. He has averaged more than 5 sacks over the past 4 years for the Jags and Broncos.
The Steelers have signed one of the few bright spots in the KC secondary from last season, CB Steven Nelson.
The Titans have signed a WR in Adam Humphries who adds some much needed consistency. They also signed OG Roger Saffold and edge rusher Cameron Wake.
The Redskins have signed pro bowl S Landon Collins away from their rival Giants to a 6 year, 84 million dollar deal. Wow.
Posting my record here so it is easier for me to find when I bet too much money on my Panthers’ 1st preseason game.
Patriots Owner Robert Kraft has been charged with soliciting prostitution through a Florida Day Spa. Day Spa. Day. D-A-I-Y-E. Okay?
The 8-month investigation has garnered charges against over 100 different men and women. The big one is Robert Kraft. Sex slavery is a terrible thing to still be happening in 2019 America. How would building a wall stop Hua Zhang from importing prostitutes for Robert Kraft to use Donald? is a question I’d like to ask Trump. They are unwilling illegal immigrants.
TC Palm reports “the NFL owner was charged with paying for sexual services”. I don’t think this is enough to force Kraft to sell his beloved New England Revolution Patriots franchise, but I’ll let the NFL “can’t decide what is right and wrong unless there is a video” morality police decide on that one.
The TC Palm went on to say: “The owner of that spa, Hua Zhang, 58, of Winter Garden, was arrested and charged with deriving support from the proceeds of prostitution, keeping and frequenting a house of prostitution and 26 counts of procuring for prostitution.
Martin County Sheriff William Snyder believe women in the spas were supplied by human traffickers with ties to China and New York.
Millions began to be seized and about 300 arrest warrants were issued this week in connection with the 10 spas.”
Went ahead and put my season long bets into my record. There were 3 of them.. Saints to win NFC, Panthers to win NFC, and Patriots to win AFC. The Patriots won at +200. The Panthers and Saints bets lost but I still won 2 units. Woohoo. People were telling me I was dumb to bet on Patriots AFC at +200 instead of Super Bowl at +375, but the Super Bowl odds for the Pats went up to +750 after the Dolphins or Titans loss. Can’t remember which one. Anyway, onto the Super Bowl.
Patriots -1 at -120 for 7 units. The Rams allowed the most yards per carry in the NFL this season (5.1), and were a bottom ten rush defense. I want to bet against the Patriots, but I keep seeing Goff’s 4 interceptions against the Bears every time I try to. Bill Belichick has been sending Sean McVay flowers. Mind games go to the Pats. Also, Wade Phillips is really going to out-scheme Tom Brady? McVay is really going to out-scheme Belichick? It could happen, but I sincerely doubt it. New England’s playoff rushing offense will be too much for the Rams rushing defense. Gronk is healthy and will empty the chamber as it could be his last game. Patriots will be ready for everything after losing to the Philly Special last season.
Tom Brady to win Super Bowl MVP at -110 for 3 units. If the Patriots win (they will), then Tom will win MVP.
James White over 5.5 receptions at -167 for 4 units. This number could be 10.5 and I would still bet the over. No Ragrets. Not even a single letter.
Colts had a chance to backdoor cover but they found another penalty. I have never seen a team with so many costly 5 yard penalties in a playoff game. That is pre-season shit. C’Mon Man to every Colt that committed a penalty. The scoreline looked like a big win for the Chiefs, but that game was close. Indy has a bright future, especially if they sign Bell…
The Rams pushed the over with their big 17 point second quarter. A healthy Gurley is fun to watch, but CJ Anderson has been great over the past few weeks as well. I’m not mad at my Panthers for releasing him. We have Christian McCaffrey. I’m not mad. I’m not mad. Anderson was just my fill-in for Mike Tolbert in my love life and now I realize how much I miss Mike Tolbert.
Los Angeles Chargers +4 (+6.5) and New Orleans Saints -8 (+6.5) 2 Team (6.5 point) Teaser – risking 5 units to win 4 units. I haven’t lost a NFL teaser all season…. this is my second one. Let’s go down memory road, I bet the Chargers on the road as underdogs against the Seahawks and Browns earlier this year and won. Then, I bet on the Steelers at home against the Chargers, Chargers came back from down 2 touchdowns. Then, I bet on the Chiefs at home against the Chargers, Chargers came back from down 2 touchdowns and then they complete the 2-point conversion. Needless to say, I am done betting against the Chargers. Bill Belichick is 6-1 against coaches in their first postseason, but I am not betting against the Chargers. San Diego will keep it within double digits and possibly win.
Are the Saints the team to end Big Dick Nick’s amazing playoff run? Yes. New Orleans has allowed 17 points a game and has 16 takeaways since week 10. That’s good. Drew Brees has never lost a home playoff game. Kamara and Thomas have been relatively quiet towards the end of the season… they eat today.
The Bears losing on a double doink shows the full power of Nick Foles. Unreal.
Colts +6 at -120 for 5 units. Chiefs went 2-4 against playoff teams this season. 10-0 against non-playoff teams. Colts are the hottest team in the NFL. Eric Ebron has 11 RedZone Tds this season. The Chiefs lead the league in touchdowns allowed to TEs. T.Y. Hilton will feast on this KC secondary, like he actually might get 220 yards. I’m not exaggerating. Colts will win the battle at the line of scrimmage. Indy has allowed the fewest sacks in the NFL this season. Luck with a clean pocket against the KC secondary should scare the shit out of KC fans. Mahomes is good, but Andy Reid’s clock management issues, Indy’s O-line, T.Y. Hilton, and Indy’s ability to stop the run win them this game.
Rams/Cowboys over 48 at -115 for 5 units. Sean McVay likes points. You need more info? The Rams scored 30+ points in 12 games this season (T-most in NFL). LA’s home games average over 65 points a game this season. Dallas does have a good defense, but life is too short to bet unders.
Alabama -5 at -120 for 5 units. Bama’s defensive line has an advantage over the Clemson offensive line. Tua should be able to find some gaps in Clemson’s secondary as well. Clemson’s defensive line is great, but so is Mississippi State’s, who Alabama dominated earlier this season. Bama has great players at every level on both sides of the ball. Josh Jacobs has turned it on for Bama here at the end of the year. Clemson hasn’t had a tough game since they came back against Syracuse in September. Bama is too much of a step up for them tonight.
Alabama/Clemson under 57 for 2 units. Hot take : A redzone turnover and quite a few punts push the under.
