LendingTree Bowl Prediction

71-52 on College Football in 2018 up 53.33 units

41-33-2 on College Football in 2019 up 28.64 units

Ragin Cajuns -14 at -115 for 2 units. Freshman QB vs a dominant run game here. I’ll go with the run game. Brett Gabbert, Blaine’s lil bro is the QB for Miami of Ohio. He has had an up and down season. Robert Hunt and Kevin Dotson are stud O-linemen for Louisiana. They will both find their way on NFL rosters. Going to go with the team that is better in the trenches here. Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns are not playing Appalachian State tonight, so I trust them.

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl Prediction

71-52 on College Football in 2018 up 53.33 units

40-33-2 on College Football in 2019 up 26.81 units

Ohio/Nevada under 61 at -110 for 2 units. The line has moved from -6.5 to -10 for Ohio over the past few days. I liked it at 7 because Ohio should be able to run the ball and be in better 3rd down situations. 10 is high though. Ohio’s run game should dominate and that is why I like the under. I can’t see Nevada having the ball enough to score enough to push the over here. If the game plays out like the line movement entails, Ohio will be up enough and slow play the second half, much like Cincinnati yesterday. Nevada scored 3 points against a below average Hawaii defense this year. I don’t trust them to put up many points today. If your book lets you parlay Ohio ML and the under, I’d do that.

Birmingham and Gator Bowl Predictions

71-52 on College Football in 2018 up 53.33 units

38-33-2 on College Football in 2019 up 20.89 units

Cincinnati at -290 for 4 units. Cincinnati is one of the best teams in the country at finishing drives on both ends of the ball. Boston College’s defense is solid against the run, but they struggle a little against the pass. Boston College are far less consistent on special teams as well. Head coach Steve Addazio is gone for the Eagles. They will also be without star RB AJ Dillion. BC does have a big nasty O-line, but that is essentially where their advantages end. Going with the Bearcats here.

Indiana +3 at -110 for 5 units. The Hoosiers face the Tennessee Volunteers. Tennessee hasn’t lost a game since they played Alabama on October 20th. Jauan Jennings is a stud wideout for the Volunteers. Jennings has to sit out the first half for his altercation against those Vandy Nerds. Indiana is an interesting team in the sense that they lost to every ranked team they played and didn’t beat a bowl team all season. They have a chance to win one here.

Whop Philyor and Peyton Ramsey are some solid offensive weapons for the Hoosiers. Ramsey has completed nearly 70% of his passes this season. Kalen DeBoer, Indiana’s OC, is calling his last game as he is moving on to coach Fresno State. I expect him to draw up some great plays like he has been doing all season long. I like this play a lot because Indiana are the more consistent team. You know what you are going to get from the Hoosiers. Indiana scores more, are more efficient on 3rd down, and don’t have their best offense player suspended for the first half.

 

College Football December 30th Bowl Predictions

71-52 on College Football in 2018 up 53.33 units

37-32-2 on College Football in 2019 up 29.61 units

Iowa was a winner from start to finish. LSU rolled Oklahoma over and patted their belly behind 8 Joe Burrow touchdowns. OSU shit the game away behind a late interception, personal foul on a Clemson punt, a (questionable to some) targeting call, and JK Dobbins’ ankle injury. Trevor Lawrence is a fucking stallion. Clemson and LSU will be fun.

Western Kentucky -3.5 at -110 for 5 units. WKU finished the season strong (7-2). They have the better offense and the better defense. They are not favored by more because they tend to turn the ball over and because of Western Michigan’s running-back LeVante Bellamy. Bellamy has averaged over 130 yards and 2 touchdowns a game this season. Last year’s First Responder Bowl was called off due to a storm, Boise State and Boston College never got the chance to win it. DeAngelo Malone is a stud D-lineman for Western Kentucky. First-year coach Tyson Helton has the Hilltoppers pointed in the right direction and I expect that to continue today in Fort Worth. Western Kentucky will cover easily if they can limit their turnovers.

Mississippi St -4.5 at -110 for 5 units. Mississippi State underperformed this season. Louisville over-performed. The Cardinals have some studs on offense like Micale Cunningham, Javian Hawkins, and Chatarius Atwell. I watched the Ole Miss/Mississippi State game in full and wrote a recap about it here. Ole Miss literally pissed the game away with an excessive celebration that caused a missed XP. Ole Miss lost by 1. I took away from that game that Mississippi State can stop a running QB like Cunningham. John Plumlee is sneaky fast (sneaky cause he is white) for Ole Miss and Mississippi State stopped him to the point he was taken out of the game. I like this matchup for the SEC school. I wanted to bet on L’Ville in their bowl game, but the Bulldogs are not the type of team they matchup well with.

Florida ML at -610 for 4 units. Have this as the last leg to win a bunch of parlays. Florida’s swarming defense will stop UVA’s Perkins from running the ball, much like Clemson did. Bryce Perkins ran all over VT because the Hokies didn’t spy him until the second half. Florida has the athletes to do it from the start. Just off-setting juice here and winning some parlays. If you don’t like betting something this juicy.. don’t. It is free money though.

Holiday Bowl Prediction – Iowa vs USC – Play of the Day

71-52 on College Football in 2018 up 53.33 units

36-32-2 on College Football in 2019 up 24.49 units

Iowa at -116 for 6 units. Iowa’s great defense against a freshman QB. USC’s coach may or may not be out the door. He is close to a lame-duck coach. USC will not be able to run the ball and I expect their QB, Kedon Slovis, to force some throws. Iowa lost to Penn State, Michigan, and Wisconsin this season. All better teams than USC in my opinion.

USC’s defense gave up 1,998 rushing yards and 17 rushing touchdowns this season. That is a lot. The Hawkeyes held seven opponents to their season low in scoring. Hawkeyes are honoring former coach Hayden Fry, by having no tigerhawk on their helmets. Fry passed away last week sadly. Carson Palmer was the QB for USC that last time they played Iowa in 2002. Sorry if that makes you feel old. Iowa will take care of business tonight. I’ll take the team with a senior QB over the freshman one, that also has the better defense.

Christmas Hangover – Independence Bowl and Quick Lane Bowl Predictions

71-52 on College Football in 2018 up 53.33 units

35-31-2 on College Football in 2019 up 24.21 units

Pittsburgh at -390 for 5 units. I liked Pittsburgh at -10 and still like them at -11, but I have this Moneyline to finish off the parlay posted on my podcast. I am playing it for a little more than the parlay as well. Pittsburgh d-line will eat. Pitt is 0-4 in bowls under Narduzzi. Eastern Michigan has never won a bowl game. Something has to give here. Eastern Michigan’s offense is their strength, but the Panthers have one of the best pass rushes in the country along with stud corner Dane Jackson. The AD for Pittsburgh, Heather Lyke, came from the same job at Eastern Michigan weirdly enough. EMU will be able to score a little, but not enough to get the win.

Miami/LA Tech over 50 at -110 for 1 unit. Miami has given up 27 points or more in their last 3. FIU scored 41 in their last 1. I like some special teams action and some turnovers that lead to short fields that help the over. Manny Diaz has a lot of players out and hasn’t announced a starting QB. I am staying away from the spread. Miami lost to in-town “rival” FIU and that just confuses me.

 

Hawaii Bowl Prediction

71-52 on College Football in 2018 up 53.33 units

34-31-2 on College Football in 2019 up 13.51 units

I am on 4-6 on bowls and down about 3 units this bowl season. Still up big on the year. Putting a lot of it on the line here. Scared money don’t make money. Here is what I said a week ago about this game:

Hawaii Bowl – BYU Vs. Hawaii – 8:00 PM December 24th – ESPN

Hawaii +2 at -110 for 4 units. Home game for Hawaii. Have played in this bowl 3 of the past 4 years. Familiarity. Hawaii’s passing game will complete more big plays than BYU’s. I like taking the points with the home team that has a stronger offense. This game is on Christmas Eve. I can’t wait to get drunk and watch it while my family keeps themselves entertained.


 

I like everything I said a week ago.. which doesn’t always happen. I like it so much I am adding 8 units to the play at +2.5 at -110. No the line movement doesn’t scare me. So officially I like..

Hawaii +2.5 at -110 for 8 units and Hawaii +2 at -110 for 4 units. 12 units total. Hawaii is the more consistent team, while BYU’s highs are higher and lows are lower. BYU lost to Toledo in the midst of a 3 game losing streak, but then ended that streak with a win against Mountain West Champ Boise State. Hawaii has lost to Air Force, Fresno State, Boise State, Washington, and Boise State again. Hawaii has a solid o-line and a top-10 offense in passing efficiency. Miles Reed, the runningback for Hawaii, is no slouch. He had 5.4 yards a carry and 891 yards this season. His longest run was only 31 yards, which makes his 5.4 YPC even more impressive. He ran for over 7 yards a carry against Boise State in Hawaii’s last game. “There is a chance they can strap 50 points on our defense because they are that good,” BYU’s defensive coordinator Ilaisa Tuiaki said. If there is chance one team can drop a 50-burger on you, you take that team in gambling. Theres a 0% chance BYU drops 50 on Hawaii tonight.

I am betting almost all my profit this season on college football on this game. I am going to be watching it and drinking. My podcast co-host Katie and the family can wait.. I can celebrate the holidays with them tomorrow after I have some more money in my pockets. That Christmas Bonus courtesy of Hawaii is going to be nice.

Thank you for reading. Merry Christmas ya filthy animals.

Every College Football Bowl Game Until Christmas Preview – Prediction MEGA THREAD

71-52 on College Football in 2018 up 53.33 units

29-19-2 on College Football in 2019 up 16.89 units

Bahamas Bowl – Buffalo Vs. Charlotte – 2:00 PM December 20th

Buffalo -6.5 at -115 for 3 units. Buffalo goes up against a Charlotte team playing in their first ever bowl. Buffalo has never won a bowl game. Troy beat Buffalo 42-32 in last year’s bowl. Buffalo’s running game is insane. Jaret Patterson and Kevin Marks combined for 2,634 rushing yards and 25 touchdowns this season for Buffalo. The Bulls have the 4th best run defense in the nation. Charlotte are 1-5 when they don’t rush for 230 yards or more. I like this matchup for Buffalo. Take the favorite to kick off bowl season. I expect UB to be able to run the ball more and sustain drives better.

Tropical Smoothie Cafe Frisco Bowl – Kent State Vs. Utah State – 7:30 PM December 20th

Kent State +7.5 at -110 for 2 units. Dustin Crum and Jordan Love are two solid Qbs here. Love has announced his decision to enter the NFL draft after this Utah State season ends on Friday. Love has thrown a lot of interceptions this season. Kent State’s Crum has only thrown 2. Mike Carrigan is a stud wideout for Kent State. Stopping the run is a problem for Kent State, but I expect their offense to do enough to keep them in it.

Celebration Bowl – North Carolina A&T Vs. Alcorn State – Noon December 21st

Alcorn State +2.5 at -108 for 1 unit. Felix Harper was SWAC offensive player of the year for Alcorn State. State are 0-2 in this bowl, but this team is better than the other 2 that lost to A&T. Alcorn State led the FCS in forcing turnovers. If Alcorn State can limit Jah-Maine Martin, they will win this game; however, I am just here for the bands.

New Mexico Bowl – Central Michigan Vs. San Diego State – 2:00 PM December 21st

San Diego State -3.5 at -110 for 2 units. San Diego State has the best defense Central Michigan will face this season besides maybe Wisconsin. Central Michigan had under 60 yards against Wisconsin. I like San Diego’s State average offense to do enough while their defense shines for the win. San Diego State lost last year’s bowl game to Ohio 27-0. That won’t happen again this season.

Cure Bowl – Liberty Vs. Georgia Southern – 2:30 PM December 21st

Liberty at +165 for 2 units. Hugh Freeze is the highest paid head coach outside of the Power Five. He coached his first game this season from a hospital bed and now he finishes his season in the Cure Bowl. That irony is not lost on me! GA Southern gives up a lot of big plays, while Liberty can complete big plays. Stephen Calvert and Liberty’s passing game are legit. Georgia Southern could run Liberty to death, but I expect Liberty to focus on stopping the run while completing some big plays on their offensive side of the ball. The Flames figure out Southern’s option attack with the extra time to prepare and get the win.

Boca Raton Bowl – FAU Vs. SMU – 3:30 PM December 21st

SMU -3 at -110 for 2 units. Home game for the Owls of FAU, but that doesn’t scare me. Lane Kiffin has left for Mississippi. Willie Taggart will be the new coach next season for FAU. SMU has the offense to capitalize on FAU’s defense that gives up a lot of chunk plays.

Camellia Bowl – Arkansas State Vs. Florida International – 5:30 PM December 21st

FIU +2.5 at -110 for 3 units. FIU is 0-5 outside of Miami this season, but I like them to win this bowl game in Alabama. FIU pass defense is miles better than Arkansas State’s. James Morgan’s final game as FIU’s QB. He was hurt last season in FIU’s bowl game. If FIU can slow Omar Bayless (one of the best wideouts in college football), they will win easy.

Las Vegas Bowl – Boise State Vs. Washington – 7:30 PM December 21st

Over 49.5 at -112 for 2 units. The Chris Petersen Bowl Game. Petersen coached at Boise for 8 years before taking the job at Washington. He is retiring after this game. 3 of Boise State’s last 4 games went over this number. Memphis got the Cotton Bowl against Penn State instead of Boise State. Boise was/is pissed. I expect them to run the ball well and score in this one. Washington has a very good kicker, Peyton Henry, which helps overs. I think this number is a little too low for two solid offenses.

New Orleans Bowl – Appalachian State Vs. UAB – 9:00 PM December 21st

Appalachian State -16.5 at -110 for 3 units. App State is just plain better than UAB. UAB doesn’t have the ability to stop App State from running the ball. I would make this a huge play, but App’s motivation may not be all there with their coach leaving for Missouri and them missing out of the Cotton/Belk Bowl. UAB’s strength is their pass rush, but App State’s o-line matches up well. The Mountaineers win the turnover and yards battle on the way to an easy win.

Gasparilla Bowl – Marshall Vs. UCF – 2:30 PM December 23rd

Marshall +17.5 at -110 for 2 units. Marshall lost to Boise State by only 7. UCF lost to Tulsa. It all depends who shows up for each team. I like taking the points in games like this. Marshall rarely lose the turnover battle and have been playing good football over the past two months. Marshall can control the game with their running offense. I expect UCF to win, but 17.5 points is too much.

Hawaii Bowl – BYU Vs. Hawaii – 8:00 PM December 24th

Hawaii +2 at -110 for 4 units. Home game for Hawaii. Have played in this bowl 3 of the past 4 years. Familiarity. Hawaii’s passing game will complete more big plays than BYU’s. I like taking the points with the home team that has a stronger offense. This game is on Christmas Eve. I can’t wait to get drunk and watch it while my family keeps themselves entertained.

NFL Sunday Week 14 – They Are Who We Thought They Were

69-58-5 on the NFL last season (2018/19) up 26.36 units

43-47 on the NFL this season up 8.89 units

Titans at -150 for 8 units. Don’t screw me over Ryan Tannehill. Don’t screw me over Ryan Tannehill. Don’t screw me over Ryan Tannehill. Don’t screw me over Ryan Tannehill. Okay, now that that is out of the way, Tannehill is 5-1 this season with an 88.1% RedZone TD rate. He’s been delivering the knockout punch like Deontay Wilder. Derrick Henry leads the NFL in rush yards after contact. Henry’s body craves contact. The Titans force more turnovers, give up less 20+ yard runs, have more sacks, have the better QB, and Derrick Henry.

Packers at -740 for 3 units. If Aaron Rodgers loses to the Redskins then my mom doesn’t love me.

Seahawks/Rams over 47 at -115 for 3 units. McVay. Wilson. Both teams can score in the final two minutes of either half. I expect some big plays in this game. There were 59 points scored the last time these two played. The Sunday Night over will add some units to our bankroll, which is always nice.

Panthers +3.5 at -110 for 1 unit. Look my favorite NFL team, the Panthers, did not meet expectations this season. I am not giving up on them though. This divisional game against the Falcons is a coin-flip. Give me the points.