Category: Football

69-58-5 on the NFL last season (2018/19) up 26.36 units

40-45 on the NFL this season up 3.34 units

Swept the board on Thanksgiving thanks to Cole Beasley and Da Bears.

Colts +0 first half at -102 for 6 units. Colts defense is a top-5 rush defense. TY and Mack are out. Colts offensive line is still one of the best in the league. Tannehill doesn’t scare me, even though he has a league leading passer rating. Colts will be better at converting first downs early. Titans are giving up over 27 points a game in their last 3.

Panthers -10.5 at -111 for 6 units. Talked about this one on the podcast. It is going to be rainy. CMC should be able to run all over the Redskins. The Redskins didn’t score a point in the rain against the 49ers. Carolina’s defense should excel and matches up well against Washington in the rain.

Chiefs -11 at -110 for 6 units. Mahomes threw 4 Tds in a quarter against the Raiders earlier this season. McCoy should find some running room. Andy Reid is 17-3 after a BYE week. I expect KC to get some easy touchdowns because of play design. Defense is rested. Jacobs could go off for Oakland, but I doubt he will do enough to challenge the Chiefs on the final scoreboard. Raiders just lost 34-3 to the Jets. Mahomes has beat the Raiders by an average of 19 points in his career.

Rams/Cardinals over 47 at -112 for 3 units. I could see this game finishing in the high 50s or 60s. It will be rainy for a lot of NFL games today, but not this one.

71-52 on College Football in 2018 up 53.33 units

25-17-2 on College Football in 2019 up 17.88 units

Wake Forest -5 at -110 for 7 units. Syracuse’s defense on the edge and outside is not quick enough for Newman. Wake Forest has some injuries, but so does Syracuse. Jamie Newman and Wake Forest will be able to sustain drives. Tommy DeVito has been hit hard about 489204 times for Syracuse this year. Syracuse’s defense gave up over 600 yards last week against Louisville. Kendall Hinton went off last week for Wake Forest. Wake Forest is the more talented team and I had this line at -10.

Wake Forest/Florida Money Line Parlay risking 4 units to win 2.71 units.

Indiana/Florida Money Line Parlay risking 4 units to win 2.96 units. Florida ain’t losing to Florida State. Indiana is good at football this year, Purdue is not as good. I could give you numbers, but drank a lot last night..

71-52 on College Football in 2018 up 53.33 units

22-16-2 on College Football in 2019 up 19.44 units

The number of plays always goes up at this point in the season. I have bet on every bowl game the past two years.. and I don’t plan on stopping. I was up around 25 units around this time last year, and then turnt it up. Let’s do it again!!

Buffalo -29 for 2 units. Buffalo has 6 wins, but may not get a bowl if they lose this game. They will want to smack Bowling Green to get a better bowl. Bowling Green got smacked by Ohio and Miami of Ohio over the past two weeks. Kyle Vantrease is a solid QB for Buffalo. Bowling Green is 0-5 on the road. Honestly haven’t watched Buffalo since they covered easily against Eastern and Western Michigan in back 2 back weeks. So in my head, they are really damn good at covering the spread.

Iowa at -210 for 3 units. Nebraska worked Maryland up and down the field last week. That just means we got this Moneyline at -210 and not -350. Thank you Maryland.

Boise State -14 for 6 units. Talked about this one on the the Locks and Thoughts Podcast that can be found on soundcloud, Apple Podcasts, Google Play, and Castbox. The Gist: Colorado State have played a soft schedule and still have given up over 31 points a game. Freshman RB George Halani had a lot of chunk plays last week. His fresh legs will wear the Rams down. I don’t trust the Colorado State offense to sustain drives against this Broncos defense. Boise State can go undefeated for the first time ever in this conference today.

UCF -23 for 1 unit. Little 8 Pm EST action. UCF has the advantage at QB and on defense. Freshman Dillon Gabriel has a top-15 passer rating. USF has struggled to move the ball lately. UCF has one of the best defenses in the conference with regards to yardage. The Golden Knight seniors could complete the 4 years of 10 win seasons. That is an awesome accomplishment for them.

69-58-5 on the NFL last season (2018/19) up 26.36 units

35-45 on the NFL this season down 5.68 units

Bears at -180 for 5 units. Would play all the way up to -250. Bears were even money at one point. Two Words: David Blough. Blough is going to start at Noon on Thanksgiving. The XFL blocked the Lions from picking up Josh Johnson. The NFL (says they haven’t but) have blocked the Lions from picking up Colin Kaepernick. Mitch should be able to do enough against the below average Lions secondary. When Mitch plays even close to average, the Bears win. Blough is not fast and can’t throw a deep ball all that well. Bears are top-10 in all the major defenses categories. Bears have something to play for. Lions don’t.

Bills +7 at -115 for 3 units. Cowboys have lost to every solid team they have faced this season (Packers, Vikings, Saints, and Patriots). Josh Allen has actually played better than Dak since week 5: Better TD/INT ratio, more rushing yards, better passing rating, and more wins. John Brown is no joke. Brown and Cooper have a similar amount of yards and catches this season. I think the Bills have a comparable team to the Cowboys and 7 points is generous. Cole Beasley revenge game. Bills are allowing less than 16 points a game this season. Buffalo has the special teams advantage. Plus, the Bills have this guy on their side.

Cole Beasley over 42.5 receiving yards at -115 for 1 unit.

Cole Beasley over 52.5 receiving yards at +108 for 1 unit.

Cole Beasley over 62.5 receiving yards at +140 for 1 unit. Beasley is playing against his former team here. Revenge game. Teams are starting to focus more on Brown. Beasley has had over 70 yards in 2 of his last 3 games. Josh Allen has been performing over the past few weeks. I like this spot a lot.

69-58-5 on the NFL last season (2018/19) up 26.36 units

34-44 on the NFL this season down 2.98 units

Texans at -195 for 3 units. No Marlon Mack. Nelson’s keg stand was awesome. The Colts o-line does worry me, but I trust Watson to bounce back after the Ravens loss. Refs will help out Hopkins and the Texans after missing an obvious call last week. Will Fuller and Kenny Stills will stretch the field for Houston. Watson is 11-4 at home. Watt being out has hurt the Texans’ run defense, but Mack is out on the Colts’ side. If the Texans stop the run, they will win.

Deshaun Watson over 26.5 rushing yards at +101 for 4 units. Watson is averaging 29.1 yards a game on the season. Watson hasn’t had his sweet highlight 40 yard run yet this season. He’s due.

71-52 on College Football in 2018 up 53.33 units

21-16-2 on College Football in 2019 up 17.63 units

Ohio -20.5 at -110 for 2 units. Bowling Green is not great at football. MACtion is awesome. Love Tuesday football. Ohio is 2-8 ATS this season, so they are favored by a lot for a reason. Miami had a lot of chunk plays last week against Bowling Green. I expect more of the same for Ohio tonight. Nathan Rourke is a solid dual-threat QB for Ohio. I’ll eat the points.

69-58-5 on the NFL last season (2018/19) up 26.36 units

31-43 on the NFL this season down 11.64 units

Cowboys -7 at -105 for 6 units. Top 8 offense vs bottom 8 defense here. The Lions don’t have a defense. No offense to Jeff Driskel, but Cowboys should be favored by 10 at least. Lions have given up almost 30 points a game over their past 6 games. Lions have been outsacked heavily over their last 6 games. Detroit is 1-5 over their last 6 games. You get it. Dak Prescott is 5-0 in his career against bottom-3 defenses, Detroit is 30th. Cooper, Gallup, and others will go off. Robert Quinn, Michael Bennett, Demarcus Lawrence, Vander Esch, and Jaylon Smith will make it hard for Driskel. Not going to overthink this one.

Bills/Dolphins over 41 at -110 for 3 units. These two teams played in Buffalo earlier this season and scored over 50 points. Miami is warmer and more touchdown friendly than Buffalo. FitzMagic is good for throwing touchdowns to his team and the other team. Dolphins have scored more than 16 points in 4 of their past 5 games. I like this spot.

Patriots -4 at -110 for 3 units. Patriots coming off of a loss and a BYE playing a team they lost to in a Super Bowl. Yeah, don’t need stats on this one. I’ll take the best football coach ever with two weeks to prepare.

Vikings/Panthers/Saints/Bills Parlay risking 2 units to win 4.63 units. Saints can’t lose to the Falcons and Bucs in back 2 back weeks right? Kirk Cousins has actually been good. Christian McCaffrey will run all over the Falcons. Josh Allen hasn’t thrown a pick in a while, his rushing and the Buffalo defense will get them the win.