Championship Week(end) Parlay –

3-10-1 on weekend parlay up 1.66 units

Appalachian State/Boise State/Ohio State/Packers/Titans Parlay risking 4 units to win 11.38 units.

Find me a loser here. You can’t. Boise State against Hawaii.. give me a break. App State against a Lafayette team that only scored 7 points against them earlier this season.. yeah right. Ohio State against a Wisconsin team that lost to Illinois? pshhhh. JK Dobbins is the best runningback in college football no cap. Packers against the running Redskins – Rodgers won’t let it happen. Titans defense and Derrick Henry against the Raiders – EZ MONEY. I’m more confident than Demi Lovato on this one.

Thursday Night Football – Cowboys at Bears Prediction – Mitch is Hot

69-58-5 on the NFL last season (2018/19) up 26.36 units

42-47 on the NFL this season up 6.19 units

Bears +3 at -110 for 3 units. Allen Robinson and Anthony Miller have been playing great with a high amount of targets over the past two weeks. Amari Cooper struggles on the road averaging less than 3 catches and 40 yards a game. Dallas hasn’t forced a turnover in 4 straight games. Leighton Vander Esch is out. Sean Lee is playing old. Lame Duck Coach in Jason Garrett. Cowboys are not good on special teams, Cordarrelle Patterson is. Mack is still a beast. I expect Mitch to be average, but run for some first downs. I have this game as a coin-flip, so give me the points and the home team.

NFL Sunday Week 13 Predictions

69-58-5 on the NFL last season (2018/19) up 26.36 units

40-45 on the NFL this season up 3.34 units

Swept the board on Thanksgiving thanks to Cole Beasley and Da Bears.

Colts +0 first half at -102 for 6 units. Colts defense is a top-5 rush defense. TY and Mack are out. Colts offensive line is still one of the best in the league. Tannehill doesn’t scare me, even though he has a league leading passer rating. Colts will be better at converting first downs early. Titans are giving up over 27 points a game in their last 3.

Panthers -10.5 at -111 for 6 units. Talked about this one on the podcast. It is going to be rainy. CMC should be able to run all over the Redskins. The Redskins didn’t score a point in the rain against the 49ers. Carolina’s defense should excel and matches up well against Washington in the rain.

Chiefs -11 at -110 for 6 units. Mahomes threw 4 Tds in a quarter against the Raiders earlier this season. McCoy should find some running room. Andy Reid is 17-3 after a BYE week. I expect KC to get some easy touchdowns because of play design. Defense is rested. Jacobs could go off for Oakland, but I doubt he will do enough to challenge the Chiefs on the final scoreboard. Raiders just lost 34-3 to the Jets. Mahomes has beat the Raiders by an average of 19 points in his career.

Rams/Cardinals over 47 at -112 for 3 units. I could see this game finishing in the high 50s or 60s. It will be rainy for a lot of NFL games today, but not this one.

College Football Saturday – Rivalry Week Continues – Wake Forest Prediction

71-52 on College Football in 2018 up 53.33 units

25-17-2 on College Football in 2019 up 17.88 units

Wake Forest -5 at -110 for 7 units. Syracuse’s defense on the edge and outside is not quick enough for Newman. Wake Forest has some injuries, but so does Syracuse. Jamie Newman and Wake Forest will be able to sustain drives. Tommy DeVito has been hit hard about 489204 times for Syracuse this year. Syracuse’s defense gave up over 600 yards last week against Louisville. Kendall Hinton went off last week for Wake Forest. Wake Forest is the more talented team and I had this line at -10.

Wake Forest/Florida Money Line Parlay risking 4 units to win 2.71 units.

Indiana/Florida Money Line Parlay risking 4 units to win 2.96 units. Florida ain’t losing to Florida State. Indiana is good at football this year, Purdue is not as good. I could give you numbers, but drank a lot last night..

College Football Friday – Rivalry Week Predictions

71-52 on College Football in 2018 up 53.33 units

22-16-2 on College Football in 2019 up 19.44 units

The number of plays always goes up at this point in the season. I have bet on every bowl game the past two years.. and I don’t plan on stopping. I was up around 25 units around this time last year, and then turnt it up. Let’s do it again!!

Buffalo -29 for 2 units. Buffalo has 6 wins, but may not get a bowl if they lose this game. They will want to smack Bowling Green to get a better bowl. Bowling Green got smacked by Ohio and Miami of Ohio over the past two weeks. Kyle Vantrease is a solid QB for Buffalo. Bowling Green is 0-5 on the road. Honestly haven’t watched Buffalo since they covered easily against Eastern and Western Michigan in back 2 back weeks. So in my head, they are really damn good at covering the spread.

Iowa at -210 for 3 units. Nebraska worked Maryland up and down the field last week. That just means we got this Moneyline at -210 and not -350. Thank you Maryland.

Boise State -14 for 6 units. Talked about this one on the the Locks and Thoughts Podcast that can be found on soundcloud, Apple Podcasts, Google Play, and Castbox. The Gist: Colorado State have played a soft schedule and still have given up over 31 points a game. Freshman RB George Halani had a lot of chunk plays last week. His fresh legs will wear the Rams down. I don’t trust the Colorado State offense to sustain drives against this Broncos defense. Boise State can go undefeated for the first time ever in this conference today.

UCF -23 for 1 unit. Little 8 Pm EST action. UCF has the advantage at QB and on defense. Freshman Dillon Gabriel has a top-15 passer rating. USF has struggled to move the ball lately. UCF has one of the best defenses in the conference with regards to yardage. The Golden Knight seniors could complete the 4 years of 10 win seasons. That is an awesome accomplishment for them.

 

 

Thanksgiving Day Sports Recap – Egg Bowl/Piss Game, NFL, Europa League, and More

Ole Miss had a 4th and 24 or more on their side of the field down a touchdown with 50 seconds left. A 57 yard pass to Braylon Sanders and Ole Miss is back in business. Ole Miss got a short TD later and then Elijah Moore pissed in the EndZone like a dog. Ole Miss then missed the long extra point. Pissed Away the game.

What a start to rivalry week. That Mississippi State game got me hype for the next few days. I love this time of year. I will be traveling a lot over the next two weeks, so sorry if my posts are not as frequent. Thanks you to my readers. To the the trolls and haters, sorry I went 6-0 yesterday 🙂

Cole Beasley went off and hit all 3 of my prop bets. Revenge games are a thing. I try to stay away from player prop over because it has been proven that they are a little high on average. I liked that spot though. The Bills got down early against the Cowboys, but then shit-pumped them 26-15. Jason Garrrrrrreally bad coach still has a job somehow. Hey Jerry Jones, if you need a new puppet to coach your team, I am here for you.

The Bears beat the Lions in what was an incredibly average game. Mitch looked average. I bet the Bears and never felt good about it till it was over. Blough was actually pretty good. I though Matt Patricia was a defensive specialist? Oh no? That was Belichick. Word. The Saints beat the Julio Jones-less Falcons. Onside kicks galore in that game. Have to admit, I watched more of the Ole Miss Piss game than the Saints game… because as a Panthers fan, I hate both those teams.. but the Stiff arm on Matt Ryan was mad sexy. The North Carolina native Shy Tuttle is a grown man.

Manchester United and Arsenal lost their Europa League matches today. United have already qualified though.

Oh, and this goal was scored. Pink balls are cool. Lot better than the blue ones.

Gonzaga beat an undefeated Oregon team in college basketball today. North Carolina lost to an undefeated Michigan team today. UNC opened up the second half flat as Vincent Kompany’s forhead. Shoutout to Marquette for covering the game and second half spread.

 

NFL Thanksgiving Day Game Predictions

69-58-5 on the NFL last season (2018/19) up 26.36 units

35-45 on the NFL this season down 5.68 units

Bears at -180 for 5 units. Would play all the way up to -250. Bears were even money at one point. Two Words: David Blough. Blough is going to start at Noon on Thanksgiving. The XFL blocked the Lions from picking up Josh Johnson. The NFL (says they haven’t but) have blocked the Lions from picking up Colin Kaepernick. Mitch should be able to do enough against the below average Lions secondary. When Mitch plays even close to average, the Bears win. Blough is not fast and can’t throw a deep ball all that well. Bears are top-10 in all the major defenses categories. Bears have something to play for. Lions don’t.

Bills +7 at -115 for 3 units. Cowboys have lost to every solid team they have faced this season (Packers, Vikings, Saints, and Patriots). Josh Allen has actually played better than Dak since week 5: Better TD/INT ratio, more rushing yards, better passing rating, and more wins. John Brown is no joke. Brown and Cooper have a similar amount of yards and catches this season. I think the Bills have a comparable team to the Cowboys and 7 points is generous. Cole Beasley revenge game. Bills are allowing less than 16 points a game this season. Buffalo has the special teams advantage. Plus, the Bills have this guy on their side.

Cole Beasley over 42.5 receiving yards at -115 for 1 unit.

Cole Beasley over 52.5 receiving yards at +108 for 1 unit.

Cole Beasley over 62.5 receiving yards at +140 for 1 unit. Beasley is playing against his former team here. Revenge game. Teams are starting to focus more on Brown. Beasley has had over 70 yards in 2 of his last 3 games. Josh Allen has been performing over the past few weeks. I like this spot a lot.

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Thanksgiving Week Parlays

3-8-1 on weekend parlay up 5.66 units

My parlay last weekend made it to Sunday, so hedging out was a real possibility. The Falcons and Browns were the Sunday plays. Falcons blew it. I am counting it as a push because hedging out should have happened to some winnings.

All the colleges are football plays. Hard to get lines that you can put into parlays with college basketball days in advance with all the tournaments going on.

Cant Win Parlay:

Bears/Jimmy Robertson (Snooker)/Saints/Buffalo -29/Boise State/App State/Real Madrid/Manchester City/Leipzig/Liverpool/Indiana/Wake Forest/Juventus/Aston Villa +1/Panthers/Eagles/Chiefs 

Risking 2 units to win 639.39 units.

Cant Lose Parlay:

Manchester United and Sevilla in Europa League/Bears/Iowa/Boise State/Manchester City/Liverpool/Tottenham/Oklahoma/Panthers/Eagles/Chiefs 

Risking 2 units to win 63.86 units.

 

Weekend Parlay Round 7 – Can’t Lose This One!!!

3-8 on weekend parlay up 5.66 units

Barcelona -1/Virginia/Minnesota/Leipzig/Cincinnati/Wake Forest/Boise State/Browns/Falcons risking 2 units to win 24.41 units.

All either football or futbol plays. All Money lines except for Barcelona. I talked about these plays in more depth on the Locks and Thoughts Podcast, which you can listen to below or download wherever you get your podcasts.