5-4 on college football up 1.88 units
Memphis -28 for 2 units. Georgia State won’t have the defense to stop Memphis. NC State gave up too many chances to Georgia State and they still won by 34. Memphis has a solid defense and was so close to being 2-0 on the season. Darrell Henderson is a beast and I expect him to run all over this Georgia State defense. I think the game may be close in the first half, but Memphis will wear down the Panthers in the second half.
5-1-1 on NFL up 11.98 units
Jets/Lions over hit easy and the Rams won easily. I don’t think I am smarter than Vegas, but there are always angles this early in a season. Let’s keep it rolling.
Ravens -1 for 3 units. Ravens lost to the Benglas in week 17. That loss cost them the playoffs and that is why the Bills got to break some more tables last postseason. Baltimore will get revenge tonight. Bengals are a little banged up on defense with Carlos Dunlap and Preston Brown not participating in the walkthrough Tuesday. Joe Mixon is a beast, but I think the Colts helped make him look good. Both these teams had “easy” week 1 matchups. I trust Flacco (I know I know). Justin Tucker can kick, which may be the difference in this game. Vontaze Burfict is still suspended and Cincy’s run defense struggles without him. Alex Collins should be able to find enough room here. I just think the Ravens are better so I am betting them.
Let’s start with Aaron Rodgers. Jesus Christ. I don’t know how you choose between Rodgers or Brady, they are both so damn good. Rodgers is more talented, but Brady has the better coaching and things of that nature. Everybody thought it was going to be the Khalil Mack game at halftime.. it wasn’t. I had the Packers in all 4 of my survivor pools.. I see why they call it survivor now. Fuller had a ball fall in his hands for the game sealing pick.. but he dropped it and Rodgers threw a 75 yard touchdown to Cobb on the next play. Clay Matthews tried to give the Bears the win with his late roughing the passer penalty, but the Packers secondary looks better than past years and clamped down.
Bengals turned it up in the 4th quarter to beat the Colts in Indy. Clayton Fejedelem, who was a 7th round pick in 2016, showed white boy speed during his 83 yard fumble recovery touchdown that hasn’t been seen since Forrest Gump. Joe Mixon is good. A.J. Green is good too he just needs to practice some ball security.
The Chiefs beat the Chargers. Tyreek Hill is a freak. He is the fastest football player I have ever seen and that is not an exaggeration. I don’t care what his 40 time is (4.24), I know that man is fast. Also, Travis Benjamin can’t catch.
The shocker of the day was Ryan Fitzpatrick and the Bucs just going up the field every time they had the ball. The Saints had no answers. Mike Evans and DeSean Jackson had some huge plays. Drew Brees was like 13-15 with 2 TDS at one point and they were still down. I thought this Saints defense was supposed to be good this year?
Nathan Peterman must be the best practice squad player ever to keep getting starting jobs. I mean he sucks. I don’t care how good his attitude or work ethic is.. he sucks. Ravens beat the Bills 47-3, but it’s cool I bet the Ravens.
Patriots sneaked out a win against the Texans thanks to a Gronk catch that wasn’t a catch. Brady played great, he made one mistake (which was prolly James White’s fault) that lead to an interception but the Texans only got a field goal out of it. Deshaun Watson did not look that great from the start when he fumbled the opening snap. Watson will improve.
Vikings picked off Jimmy G 3 times and Cousins threw no interceptions. That was the difference as the Vikings won by 8. 49ers defense looks solid, but the Vikings D may be the best in the league again if they can get/stay healthy. This way my biggest play of the day and the Vikings came through for me.
Dolphins beat the Titans in what was the longest game in the modern era of the NFL with 2 over 2 hour rain delays. Mariota got hurt, but he was not playing well before that happened. Dion Lewis was one of the few bright spots for the Titans as they lost Delanie Walker for the season to an ankle injury.
Jaguars D did enough to contain OBJ and Barkley. Saquon is going to be a beast. Manning threw a pick and no touchdowns. If Manning can play a little better, this will be a good Giants team. If Bortles can play a little better, this will be a great Jaguars team.
Panthers beat the Cowboys 16-8 and were in control of the whole game till late in the 4th. Luke Kuechly had an injury scare but he came back in the game. Olsen re-injured his surgically repaired foot. This Panthers team has a chance to be really food, but they have to be healthy come playoff time. Cowboys need a wideout and a run defense.
Redskins and Adrian Peterson smacked the Cardinals, but I think that says more about the futility of the Cardinals than it does the ability of the Redskins.
Phillip Lindsay looked really good and he lead the Broncos to a 3 point win over the Seahawks. Keenum and Wilson threw 5 picks combined. Sanders had a 135 yards. The rookie Will Dissly had 105 yards for the Seahawks. Demaryius Thomas made an amazing catch to seal the win. Brandon Marshall is back?
3-1-1 on NFL up 7.79 units
Jets/Lions over 44.5 for 3 units. I see this game being in the 50s. Robby Anderson and Enunwa have the ability to get the big play whenever against this Lions defense. Stafford should be able to dice the Jets up. Saw a lot of big plays on Sunday and I expect more of the same here while secondaries are still working out their communication.
Rams at -225 for 3 units. Seems a little too easy but I will bite. I don’t believe in the Raiders at all with Gruden and without Mack. Gurley, Goff, Cooks, Donald, and company should be able to do enough here.
0-1 on NFL down 3 units
I am still mad about that Falcons loss. Julio Jones caught that ball. Steve Sarkisian sucks at calling plays. Matt Ryan just kept throwing the ball out of the endzone not giving his wideouts a chance. Pathetic.
Vikings -6 for 6 units. Everyone is hot for the 49ers because they have not lost with Jimmy G. Go look at who they played, the only playoff teams they beat where the Rams in week 17 when the Rams sat their starters. Jimmy G threw a lot of balls that should have been intercepted last season that were simply dropped. The Vikings defense and return of Dalvin Cook will be too much for the 49ers. Vikings win by 14.
Panthers -3 for 3 units. No Dez Bryant and no Jason Witten for the Cowboys. Panthers young corners can get some solid experience in this game. Panthers are at home where Cam always plays better. This is the year of Christian McCaffrey.
Seahawks +3 for 2 units. I think this will be a close game and I don’t believe in the Broncos and their new QB as much as others. The public has pushed this line from -1.5 to -3 and I will fade the public and bite on Seattle. Betting on the team with the better QB here.
Ravens -7 for 2 units. Nathan Peterman fade. That is all. The only reason this is not a higher play is because McCoy can run well in any weather.
I’m hungover so NC State -24, UNC -14, Georgia -9, and Maryland -14 all for 3 units.
0-0 on NFL
Season bets:
Patriots win AFC at +200 for 3 units. They will be in the game as long as Tom stays healthy and then you can hedge out if you want (I prolly won’t do that but…).
Panthers win NFC at +2100 for 2 units.
Saints win NFC at +575 for 2 units. I think either one of these teams would have beat the Eagles if they played them in the playoffs last season. And you might be saying cool doesn’t matter.. well I think it does matter because they know they can beat anyone. Saints and Panthers have windows that won’t be open for more than 2 more years. It is win now mode for both of them.
Thursday night bets:
Falcons +1.5 for 3 units. Falcons are going to run the ball this game. Sanu, Hooper, and Ridley are the best compliments Julio has had since Roddy White and Pretty face Tight end Tony were in Atlanta. I think the NFC South is the best division in football. The Falcons will get their revenge and learn from their mistakes last time they lost to the Eagles. Atlanta got a little better this off season and are healthier than they were in the playoffs last season (when compared to the Eagles). Injuries hurt them in that game.
0-1 on college football down 3 units.
Tilting a little bit because I am mad Army did not cover. Scared money don’t make money.
Ohio State/Oregon State over 63 for 4 units. Oregon State has no defense.
Texas -13.5 for 4 units. The Longhorns will get their revenge for last year here. DJ Durkin is suspended for Maryland after the sad events of this past summer. I like Sam Ehlinger a lot for the Longhorns and I think he can do enough here.
North Carolina +7.5 for 4 units. This game is a coin flip so I will take the 7.5 point cushion.
Old Dominion -5 for 5 units. ODU will beat Liberty. ODU struggled last year against bigger schools, but they will win this one. Liberty paid ODU 1.3 million dollars to play this game. Bobby Wilder is a solid coach for ODU.
Let me start off by saying I am giddy with excitement for this football season. Let’s make some money..
Army +14 for 3 units. Duke’s offense could not get it going against Army last year. I think this line is way too high. Darnell Woolfork is going to get a lot of work this season for Army. Army’s leading receiver finished the season with 111 yards…. They don’t throw the ball haha. I still think Duke wins this game, but by around 10 points… not 14.
