71-52Â on College Football in 2018Â up 53.33Â units
19-15-2Â on College Football in 2019Â up 10.82 units
Hawaii -7Â for 8 units. GET PUMPED FOR THE BATTLE OF THE GOLDEN PINEAPPLE. UNLV’s coach, Tony Sanchez, is going to get fired or resign soon. Some UNLV players are deff looking into the transfer portal. The over/under for this game is set at 73. This will be high-scoring game. UNLV gives up over 13 yards a completion. UNLV’s 34.4 points allowed a game is bottom-20 in the nation. The Running Rebels haven’t run the ball well, are out of the running for a bowl game, and are facing a top-20 scoring offense.
Boise State -27.5Â at -110 for 3 units. New Mexico will be playing their first game since defensive end Nahje Flowers passed away. He stayed behind while his roommate went to class and appears to have committed suicide earlier this month. A sad reminder that many people are dealing with mental health issues. Do something nice for someone today!
Boise State have not covered their last 3 games, but are still favored by 27.5. I love these type of spots. New Mexico are out of the top-100 in points scored and points allowed. Not a good combo. Boise State is 8-1, but they haven’t been playing well over the past 3 weeks. They will want to shut the haters up and win big. Boise State’s coach, Bryan Harsin, had some awesome quotes this week on the haters.
“Twitiots.”
“Any idiot can say anything they want and they usually do and they’re negative,” Harsin said. “When people want to make comments on other things, it’s pretty pathetic at the end of the day … that’s society.
“That’s a group you don’t want to be a part of. … I’m not going to listen to opinions unless they matter.”
Penn State/Cincinnati/Appalachian State/Alabama Parlay for 4 units to win 2.71 units. Nothing sexy or sharp here, but all these will win. Is there such a thing as free money? Indiana is having one of the best seasons in school history, but I think Penn State will come out firing after losing to Minnesota last week. Whop Philyor is a stud wideout with an awesome name for the Hoosiers. IU’s o-line is not going to be able to hold up against Penn State’s D-line. Bama ain’t losing to Dak Prescott’s school. USF doesn’t have the offense to keep up with the Bearcats. Finally, App State just beat South Carolina, they won’t lose to Georgia State right? RIGHT?!? Ya’ll remember RJ Hunter and his dad falling off the chair in the NCAA tournament? Well, Ludacris and Julia Roberts went to Georgia State too. Super fun facts there.
Florida (Basketball)/Bucks/Mavericks Knicks over 215/North Carolina +4 (Football)/Alabama (Football)/Penn State(Football)/Wake Forest +34/Hawaii -7/Appalachian State/Chiefs risking 1 unit to win 34.56 units.
Florida is coming off a loss to in-state rival Florida State. Towson is 2-1, but with wins against terrible basketball schools. The Gators have a lot more talent. The Bucks go up against the Bulls. The Bulls have been “easy” to bet on this season, as they have won and lost every game they were supposed to (except for the Hornets maybe). Giannis takes care of business. Mavericks play a Knicks team that they lost to last week. Dallas only scored 102 points in that game. They get at least 110 tonight.
North Carolina and Pittsburgh have played everybody close this season. Now they face each other, I’ll take the points. Alabama and Penn State will win coming off of tough losses. Wake Forest should keep it relatively close against Clemson. Wake has quietly been one of the best teams in the ACC this year. The over under for Hawaii UNLV is set at above 70. Hawaii have scored over 37 points in their last 3 games. Hawaii will simply outscore UNLV. App State is coming off a win against South Carolina. They will beat Georgia State. I like the Chiefs on Monday Night, but the line should move to 4 or 5 by gametime, so when the parlay makes it that far, you can sprinkle a little on Chargers +4 to guarantee winning money.
Switzerland/Austria/Florida/Penn State/Cincinnati/Appalachian State/Panthers/Saints/Bills Dolphins Over 41 risking 1 unit to win 8.24 units. A little Euro action to start this parlay. Switzerland and Austria both have in-form players against inferior opponents. Both countries will want to win too based on their group standings in these qualifiers. I wrote about Florida, Penn State, and App State above. Cincinnati had a scare against ECU, but rebounded for the 50 point win against UConn. They keep it going against USF. The Panthers and Saints are coming off of a loss. The Panthers didn’t have their LT and best CB against the Packers and the referees. They won’t have the refs sucking Rodgers off to compete against this week. CMC runs all over the Falcons. The Saints won’t lost to the Falcons and Buccaneers in back 2 back weeks right? RIGHT? Finally, Buffalo played Miami in Buffalo and there were 52 points scored in that game. 41 is too low for Fitzmagic and Josh Allen. Either could throw a pick 6 in this one. There will be at least 45 points in this game in Miami (barring a hurricane).
69-58-5Â on the NFL last season (2018/19)Â up 26.36 units
30-42 on the NFL this season down 9.89 units
Won my big Panthers play.
Cowboys -9.5Â at +120 for 2 units. Cowboys beat the Giants by 18 in Week 1. Giants have lost 4 in a row. They last beat the Redskins. Dak Prescott has played great against the Giants recently. Giants have allowed 31 points a game over their last 3. Dallas will want to perform in MetLife after losing to the Jets here already this year. Barkley vs Elliot should be fun to watch. I expect Gallup and Cooper to have solid games.
Cowboys/Giants over 39.5 at -425 for 1 unit. Giants have allowed 31 points a game over their last 3. This is the start to a silly parlay for me. No way it loses..
16-13-2Â on College Football in 2019Â up 13.27 units
Been hot. Weather is cooling down, but I am staying hot. I will be at the UNC/UVA football game this weekend. Don’t be a stranger. I’m on a roll like cottonelle.
Notre Dame -16.5Â at -115 for 8 units. Hokies are not going to go to South Bend and win. Notre Dame will come to play after getting smacked by Michigan last week. Talent gap here. Book will play better for the Irish.
North Carolina -0.5 1st Quarter at +115 for 3 units. Night game in Chapel Hill. Heels come out hot.
Colorado State -8Â at -110 for 2 units. Lock on the podcast. Warren Jackson is a stud wideout that’ll eat for the Rams. UNLV’s defense is weak sauce.
Wake Forest/Notre Dame/Colorado State/Pittsburgh/Auburn/Michigan/Boston College +7.5 Parlay risking 2 units to win 6.68 units. Why not? I could go in depth, but it is Friday night and I want to go drink out in Raleigh. Later.
The Nationals have won the World Series. The Caps won the Stanley Cup. The Redskins have a racist name. Oh, Also, they have a one point win against a winless team that is trying to lose.
I am not going to get into Dan Snyder. Here is a solid article by Martin Fennelly of the Tamba Bay Times that sums it up. Williams says this situation below wasn’t Snyder’s fault..
This Trent Williams stuff has pissed me off as a human. Williams was in the hospital for an extended period of time and no member of the Washington organization visited him. DeAngelo Hall did. A former player. The Redskins told him the cancerous tumor on his skull was “minor” in 2013. Williams failed his physical because he had discomfort with his helmet this week. My mans is talking about cancer and Forrest Gump and the Redskins are just hitting ping pong balls and laughing in the background. What kind of locker room is this? Where is the camaraderie? Everyone is blaming Bruce Allen, and rightfully so..
Question: Can the relationship between you and Bruce Allen be repaired? Trent Williams: (pause) “Next question.”
At a certain point, players should just pull an Eli Manning and say they are not going to play for this organization. I understand a paycheck to play in the NFL is a dream, but if you are talented enough.. other teams will sign you. Williams had cancer and the Redskins failed to test for it for 6 years. A minute part of the blame falls on Williams for not getting a second opinion in 2013, but Washington should have some of the best doctors.
Bottom Line: There is more to life than football. Get Healthy Trent.
69-58-5Â on the NFL last season (2018/19)Â up 26.36 units
28-38 on the NFL this season down 13.86 units
I’ve been hot across all other sports, so leaning into my favorite sport tonight. They say don’t bet a lot on Thursday games.. I laugh at them. If I go down big I can just chase all my losses all weekend. Full proof plan.
Jimmy Garoppolo longest completion over 36.5 yards at -110 for 4 units. Cardinals have been giving up 300 passing yards a game over their last 3. Drew Brees had 6 catchers of balls average over 10 yards a catch last week. Sanders plays for San Fran now. Deebo is healthy. Kittle is going to eat tonight…
Cardinals +4.5Â at +185 for 2 units. Hand up, this is hedge against my survivor pick. Survivor pick is the 49ers this week. Go listen to “Locks and Thoughts” Podcast for more info on that. 5 star. subscribe. download. unsubscribe. then subscribe again. Thank you. Also, I have 49ers ML in all my parlays below. Here’s a stat that means literally nothing.. Cardinals have won 8 in a row against the 49ers.
Kittle will score 2 or more touchdowns at +700 for 4 units. Cardinals are one of the worst teams in the NFL against Tight Ends. Kittle is one of the best TEs. Kittle has 1 touchdown on the season. Kyle Shanahan will help him out tonight.
Total Turnovers 2-3 at +125 for 3 units. Total Turnovers 4-5 at +190 for 3 units. Jimmy G is averaging over a turnover a game. Kenyan Drake in a new offense or whoever else runs the ball for the Cardinals will have a fumble. Bosa and San Francisco’s bevy of first round d-linemen could force a fumble against rookie Murray. I like these turnover plays.
3 Parlays for me this weekend. Feeling lucky after last week’s won.
Appalachian State/Notre Dame/Pittsburgh/Auburn/Tennessee/Boise State Parlay risking 2 units to win 6.61 units. All money-line bets. College Football. Boise State, Pittsburgh, Auburn, and Notre Dame are all coming off of tough losses. I like them all in bounceback games against inferior opponents. App State gets a decent Georgia Southern team at home. The Mountaineers will do enough to get the win.
Finally, Tennessee looked good against South Carolina last weekend. They know they have to beat UAB at home to make a bowl game. I wouldn’t be shocked if the Volunteers win the rest of the season, but it starts against UAB.
49ers/Bills/Tennessee/Notre Dame/Auburn/Boise State/Pittsburgh/App State Parlay risking 2 units to win 4.56 units. Like the college plays so much I am adding the 49ers and Bills. 49ers are unbeaten and going against the Cardinals on a short week. I love betting against rookie head coaches in their first Thursday Night game. The 49ers are faster and stronger in the trenches. Sanders has more time to learn the offense. Bills play the Redskins at home. Bills defense and Josh Allen get the job done.
Sorry for adding NFL plays and the odds getting worse.. I placed the only college football parlay on Monday. Tennessee, Boise State, Auburn, and Notre Dame have all been slightly more favored since then.Â
49ers/Bills/Tennessee/Notre Dame/Auburn/Boise State/Pittsburgh/App State/PSG/Real Madrid/Barcelona Parlay risking 2 units to win 12.31 units. Barcelona looked dominant midweek. The line has already moved in Barcelona’s favor. Messi and Suarez are in silly good form. Levante will lose. Real Madrid also looked great. Madrid handled Leganes with ease, 5-0. Real Betis have underperformed this season. Real Madrid lost this fixture last season 2-0. Betis are actually the more injured team with William Carvalho out. As well as, Dani Martin, Juan Miguel Juanmi Lopez, Wilfrid Jaures Kaptoum, and Francis Guerrero doubtful.
69-58-5Â on the NFL last season (2018/19)Â up 26.36 units
28-37 on the NFL this season down 11.86 units
Dolphins/Steelers over 43Â for 2 units. FitzMagic will score some touchdowns and have some turnovers. Short Fields help overs. Minkah Fitzpatrick plays against the team that traded him this season. Steelers have scored at least 20 points in every game except Week 1 against the Patriots. Bills dropped 31 on the Dolphins last week. If Pittsburgh wins this game, they will be only 2 games back in the division. They should score some points to help this over and win.
Here’s a useless stat.. NFL teams that names start with B went 0-6 this weekend. My Panthers got ruined by the Shanahan offense. I normally wait till Wednesday to write these, but I don’t care enough about the Steelers/Dolphins game tonight to wait for them to play.
Adrian Peterson passed Tomlinson (13,684) for the 6th-most rush yards; however, the Redskins are 1-7. Vikings are 4-0 at home and a game back of the 7-1 Packers for the division. Dalvin Cook and Diggs are talented. Cousins is now 28-15-1 against teams below .500
Jameis is going to Jameis. Winston has 7 interceptions in his last 2 games. Mike Evans went off and now has the most catches in Buccaneers history. Tannehill has done well with his starts. The Buccaneers are now 0-4 against backup Qbs this season. Tennessee travels to Carolina this week.
Allen Robinson:Â 7 targets, 5 receptions, 62 yards
Anthony Miller:Â 3 targets, 3 receptions, 67 yards
Taylor Gabriel:Â 6 targets, 4 receptions, 53 yards
Trey Burton:Â 4 targets, 1 reception, 16 yards
Bears missed the game winning field goal. Matt Nagy decided to take a knee instead of run the ball for more yards to get a closer field goal. Bears are 7-12 when Trubisky throws the ball more than 30 times. Allen Robinson is a stud. Chargers did just enough to win. Neither of these teams looks good this season.
Bengals couldn’t stop Kupp over the middle of the field. I have said it 18 times, but the Bengals are rarely in position to make a tackle and they miss a lot of tackles. Not a good combo. Rams have beat the Falcons and Bengals recently, so 5-3 isn’t as good as it looks for them. Bengals have allowed over 400 yards in most (5) of their games this season.
Patriots’ defense dominates again. James White has scored between 9 and 11 fantasy points in every game this season. Thirst Trap Edelman went off with 2 TDs. Belichick gets his 300th win. Chubb lost two fumbles. Former Brown, Jamie Collins now has a career high 6 sacks. Baker Mayfield has more interceptions this season (12) than Tom Brady had last season.
Lions Beat Giants 31-26
Daniel Jones:Â 28/41, 322 yards, 4 TDs, 3 sacks, 1 fumble lost + 4 carries, 13 yards
Saquon Barkley beasted a human-being, but the Giants were in too big of a hole to climb out. Why the Giants were not in the no-huddle down 12 with 9 minutes left is beyond me. Lions might be good, but their division is tough. Lions already have more 28+ points games than they had last season. Jones had 4 TDs today, but he has 12 turnovers since week 3.
Eagles have won 22 games in a row when scoring more than 25 points. Eagles had to win this game and they did. Miles Sanders had a pretty 65 yard TD run. John Brown has had 50 yards in every game this season. Josh Allen is a consistent fantasy QB. Lot of wind in Buffalo. Bills can rebound against the Redskins and the Eagles have the Bears next.
Brees is back. Kamara is still injured. Michael Thomas is a stud. Saints keep rolling. New Orleans has the best rushing defense in the league. The Saints have allowed less than 300 total yards in 5 straight. Arizona has allowed 7 100 yard receivers this season. Edmonds left with a hamstring injury. Cardinals running-backs continue to frustrate fantasy owners. The Cardinals just traded for Kenyan Drake.
Jets blitzed Minshew too much. The Jags mascot dressed up as a ghost after Darnold said he was seeing ghosts against the Patriots last week. Bell has yet to get 100 yards in a game this season. Fournette is looking like a stud RB lately.
Flacco isn’t good and the Broncos blew it. TY Hilton got open late in the 4th for the big play that led to the win. Hilton still hasn’t had a 100 yard game this season, but he opens the offense up for Mack and others.
Darren Fells:Â 6 targets, 6 catches, 58 yards, 2 TDs
DeAndre Carter:Â 3 targets, 1 catch, 46 yards
Watson is more clutch than Carr. Watson passed Derek’s brother, David Carr, for 2nd most pass Tds in Texans History. Hunter Renfrow got a long touchdown. Gruden continues to praise opposing team’s QBs, while ignoring his own. He compared Watson to Michael Jordan this week.
Seahawks got up by 20-something and let the Falcons claw back. Matt Schaub didn’t look terrible, but Russell Wilson is clearly better. Falcons haven’t had an interception for 6 straight games. Austin Hooper looks like a stud TE. Ridley, Hooper, and Jones stepped up without Sanu. Falcons don’t have a defense. They don’t sack and they don’t turn you over.
Whatever. Panthers got manhandled. Just bring Cam Newton back and beat the Titans. I bet on my Panthers to have over 8 wins this season… they have to win at home this week for that bet to hit and them to make the playoffs. Carolina still have Saints 2x, at Packers, and at Colts on their schedule. Not easy games. 51 points were the most for the 49ers since 1993 when Steve Young was their QB. Young is 19 years older than their head coach, Kyle Shanahan.
Rodgers is an amazing QB. Andy Reid’s clock management is once again questionable. Hardman and Hill are crazy fast. The Packers have a great two-headed running-back monster in Jones and Williams. Jones had 159 receiving yards. Davante Adams who?McCoy had a costly fumble. Matt Moore has lost his last 8 against a QB that has won a Super Bowl. Jones has 11 Tds, the last Packer RB to have that many Tds in a season was Ahman Green in 2003.
Didn’t proofread this article. Get over it. Go drink a bloody and have some fun today. Play this whole board and you can’t lose.
13-13-1Â on College Football in 2019Â up 3.19 units
I got drunk in Raleigh North Carolina tonight. I am going to the UNC/Duke game tomorrow with my good luck charm of a girlfriend. I am seeing the board real well with my BAC over .01 I haven’t even looked at my twitter sharps and excel sheet for these plays. These are just drunk gut plays. The account has been emptied. They say don’t bet when you’re drunk.. but here I am at 12:47 AM on a Saturday sending bullets. Fade if you’re a hater. Follow if you like straight cash homie.
UNC -3Â at -120 for 8 units. Duck Fook. Duke’s O-line got worked by a basketball school in Vargina last week. UNC is coming off of a 6-OT loss. Heels come ready to play. My drunk ass will be cheering them on at Kenan. Homecoming for the Heels. Sam Howell is a stud true freshman. I won $200 on horses this week. I know studs.
Kentucky +10Â at -115 for 4 units. Kentucky is 3-1 at home. Missouri is 0-2 away. Get LOUD Lexington.
Wyoming -13.5Â at -110 for 2 units. Reverse Line Movement. The public are on Nevada, but the sharps are on Wyoming. I ate some sharp Manchego cheese tonight to know the sharps taste good.
Ohio State/Iowa/Minnesota for 8 units to win 5.2 units. No way any of these teams lose. I looked at the board while taking a petron shot and all 3 looked at me and said… John, I’d take a petron shot with you. Plus Iowa hasn’t won against NW since 2016. They are due.