Writer: Sean Sloan
Sean’s record 1-1 down 0.29 units
The Stanley Cup Playoffs are proving to be as random as advertised. I want to think Carolina will win tonight. They have shown persistence in this postseason already, having been down 2-0 in the Washington series. I am not going to count them out, but I also am not entirely confident in this team getting it done tonight. I am feeling the under tonight, but more specifically Boston under 2.5, and it rides on the Canes making a goalie change. Curtis McElhinney is the expected starter tonight source. I think this will be a good change of pace for the Canes. McElhinney had a season SV% of .912 which would be way better than Mrazek’s .852 in Game 1 and .76 in Game 2.
I think a new look against the Bruins is needed. In Game 1 Boston had 4 goals on 27 shots and in Game 2 they had 6 goals on 25 shots. Game 1 was a lot closer than the scoreboard, and Game 2… not so much. I don’t see this team rolling over in front of their home crowd. I see the combination of the low volume shots Carolina has allowed and the different look in net holding the Bruins under 2.5 goals. Boston has not scored under 2.5 goals since Game 3 against Columbus, and have only scored under that total 5 times this postseason. On top of that they are averaging 3.4 goals per game in the playoffs. So I understand not tailing on this one…. I am still rolling with it though.
My Play: TT Boston Bruins u2.5 (-105) – 1U
– NBA –
Conference finals matchups are set, and I am ready! Tonight, I expect the Warriors to win, but if there is a chance for Portland in the series, they have strike while KD is out. I am going to be rooting hard for Portland, but am struggling with the spread, and honestly in a gun to my head decision I’d have to go with the Warriors -7.5. I think the best play tonight is the over 220.5. I like both these teams to put up points tonight. Throughout the playoffs Portland has scored an average of 110.25 PPG and allowed 110.75 PPG. On offense, the Warriors have averaged 117.67 PPG this postseason and have allowed 111.83 PPG. I see this one going over the 220.5 total. Using 220.5 as the benchmark for all the games played this postseason Portland would be 7-5 going over and Golden State would be 8-4 on the over. During the regular season these teams faced off 4 times and they split the 4 games at 2 wins a piece. If the O/U line were 220.5 in those 4 matchups, they would be 2-2 on the over as well. The average game total for these two teams in the regular season was 224.25.
My Play: Golden State Warriors/Portland Trail Blazers o220.5 (-110) – 1U