Hockey October 2nd

12-7-4 on Hockey this season up 13.16 units

Going back to the SM Liiga in Finland. It has been good to me in waiting for the NHL to start. My friend showed me these Finnish overs a while back and I have been making money ever since. Shoutout to Neal. No overs today, just some leans on the outcomes of the games.

Jukurit pk at +121 for 2 units. Jukurit has more points on the season and a better defense. They had some goalie struggles earlier in the season, but those seemed to have been worked out. Jukurit has lost every game at home this season, I think that changes today against JYP. JYP has lost two in a row.

Vaasan Sport pk at +133 for 2 units. Tappara has less points on more games than Vaasan early in this season. Vaasan has not lost a game in regular time at home all season. Just a hunch on this one.

Hockey September 28th

9-7-2 on Hockey this season up 5.36 units

45-46-6 on Hockey last season and went up 10.46 units

Waiting to bet on NHL till the regular season starts. Been watching a little pre-season and I have noticed defense does not seem as important this time of year. Finnish hockey’s regular season is important this time of year though!

HIFK/Pelicans over 5 at -129 for 5 units. HIFK Helsinki have the most goals in the league and they have played a game less than some teams. Erik Thorell has 8 points in 5 games for Helsinki. 3 other players have more than 6 points each in 5 games. This offense is clicking early in the season. Helsinki finished last season strong and they have seemed to pick up right where they left off. 6 of the last 7 domestic games between these two have gone over. Every Helsinki game has gone over this season.

KalPa pk -115 for 2 units. KalPa has lost two in a row, but against better competition than Tappara. KalPa get back on track here.

HIFK pk -120 for 2 units. See above.

TPS pk +116 for 2 units. TPS has 4 players in the top 10 of points in this league. JYP has Eric Perrin. Turku are the better team so this line confuses me a little, but I will bite.

Jukurit pk -121 for 2 units. HPK has lost their last two games by a combined score of 10-2. Jukurit will take advantage of this today.

Hockey September 26th

7-5-2 on Hockey this season up 6.39 units

45-46-6 on Hockey last season and went up 10.46 units

The well seems to be running dry on these Finnish overs, but I am going to give it one more go since I am still up 6 units. Both games were one goal away from the over hitting yesterday.

Pelicans/Jukurit over 5 at -115 for 4 units.

Tappara/Lukko over 5 at +107 for 3 units.

KooKoo/HIFK over 5.5 at -115 for 3 units.

Assat/SaiPa over 5.5 at -103 for 3 units.

Hockey September 25th

7-3-2 on Hockey this season up 14.39 units

45-46-6 on Hockey last season and went up 10.46 units

You know what it is. NHL hasn’t started their regular season, but I still have some Finnish overs for you. If you haven’t bet these before, start today. I am up 14 units already in this young season and I expect that to continue today. My book has the overs set at 4.5. That is a whole goal lower than what I think they should be set at.

Jukurit/TPS over 4.5 at -134 for 5 units. Every Jukurit game this season has pushed or gone over. The last 4 TPS Turku games have gone over. 3 of the past 4 meetings between these two teams have gone over. Both teams are averaging well over 3 goals a game. Juhana Aho did not look all that great as goalie last time out for Jukurit. Run it.

HPK/Karpat over 4.5 at -126 for 3 units. HPK’s defense looked awful last time out giving up 6 goals. Karpat did not get a goal last time out, but Hameenlinna may be just the anecdote they need to get some goals. Don’t feel as confident with this one as Jukurit, but they are Finnish overs so I am always confident.

Last time I didn’t put this quote at the bottom and I had my first losing day of the season in hockey, so call it superstition, but Aladdin said it best, “Do you trust me?”

Hockey September 21st

7-2-1 on Hockey this season up 18.39 units

Overs this week in Finland are 6-1-2. The over lines will eventually go up to 5.5 or 6. Going to keep riding them. Here are the two I like today.

SaiPa/Pelicans over 5 at -127 for 4 units. SaiPa have former Penn State player David Goodwin on their team. Goodwin has two goals and three assists in three games. SaiPa has one of the better offenses in the league in this young season. Every game this season has gone over for the Pelicans (only 2). Seems like an easy one here.

Karpat/Jukurit over 5 at -103 for 3 units. Karpat have struggled to get much offense going this season, but that could easily change today. Jukurit have scored four goals in each of their last two games. Just have a hunch about this one.

Hockey September 19th

6-2 on Hockey this season up 14.79 units

45-46-6 on Hockey last season and went up 10.46 units

2-0 yesterday. Not going to quit betting Finnish overs now. It is too easy. I’ve said it twice now, but I will say it again, I am not going to stop till they raise these overs to 5.5 or 6. Some books are not offering the JYP/Jukurit over which is fishy. I would stay away from the Hameenlinna/Assat over because neither team there is averaging over two goals a game.

Tappara/KooKoo over 5 at -110 for 4 units. KooKoo has given up 13 goals in two games. 13! Tappara has struggled to score this season, but KooKoo is just the cure they need.

Ilves/SaiPa over 5 at -130 for 5 units. SaiPa has played 2 games this season and those 2 games have seen 22 goals. 22! Ilves has played 2 games this season and those 2 games have seen 10 goals. SaiPa plays up and down high scoring hockey. This line should be 6 goals. Let it ride.

I’ve quoted Aladdin thrice now but he said it best, “Do you trust me?”

Hockey September 18th

4-2 on Hockey this season up 8.01 units

45-46-6 on Hockey last season and went up 10.46 units

If you follow me you already know what it is. Finnish overs. Not gonna quit till I have a losing day on them. Going to stay away from Lukko though because they have looked pretty bad at the start of this season.

HIFK/Vaasan Sport over 5 at -130 for 4 units. Every Helsinki game has gone over this domestic season and they last time these two teams met it went over.

Karpat/TPS over 5 at -108 for 4 units.

Aladdin said it best, “Do you trust me?”

 

Hockey September 15th

2-1 on Hockey this season up 3.11 units

45-46-6 on Hockey last season and went up 10.46 units

The Finnish overs were good to me again. Not gonna quit a good thing.

KooKoo/SaiPa over 5 at -140 for 5 units.

TPS/Assat over 5 at -132 for 3 units.

Lukko/Pelicans over 5 at -102 for 3 units.

Until these overs start getting up to 5.5 and 6, I am going to keep hammering them. NHL pre-season starts today, but who cares when you have Finland regular season hockey. I don’t mean to sound redundant, but Aladdin said it best “Do you trust me?”

Hockey September 14th

45-46-6 on Hockey last season and went up 10.46 units

I was down a lot on hockey last season, but made in back on the NHL playoffs and overs over in Finland. It isn’t NHL playoff season, but Finland begins their domestic season today.

JYP/IFK Helsinki over 5 at -110 for 4 units.

KooKoo/SaiPa over 5 at -125 for 4 units.

TPS Turku/Hameenlinna over 5 at -110 for 4 units.

I could give you stats like JYP’s past 5 games have gone over this total or KooKoo’s games have gone over in 4 of the past 5 or SaiPa’s last 3 have gone over… but they are Finnish overs.. I think Aladdin said it best “Do you trust me?”

 

NHL Playoffs May 23rd

43-45-6 in Hockey up 6.84 units

Caps – Lightning over 5.5 at +110 for 3 units. Four out of the six games in this series have gone over. Andrei Vasilevskiy has been playing well, but the Caps have just been getting so many shots on goal. The Capitals played more physical last game than any other point in the series. I think the Lightning will respond to this physicality with some adjustments tonight that should lead to goals.

Caps at +132 for 3 units. Caps just have too much firepower to lose this series in my opinion. Alex Ovechkin and Tom Wilson were physical in Game 6 and I expect that to carry over. T.J. Oshie was solid. If the Capitals execute their game plan again (like they did in Game 6) they will win. Capitals have played well in Tampa this series so it being an away game for the Capitals does not worry me. I think this game should be a coin flip or the Caps slightly favored; therefore, I am taking the Caps at what I perceive as value.