Category: Tennis

86-43-6 on tennis up 30.60 units

Sorry I did not have plays on the semifinals and finals of The Paris Masters. I just did not have a strong lean in any of those matches so did not want to force it. The Tennis season is coming to an end, but I am going to try and squeeze 10 more units out of it. I am going to end the season somewhere between up 15 units, and up 45 units.

Frances Tiafoe at -180 for 7 units. Full disclosure, I have only watched two Hubert Hurkacz matches in my life and both were loses to Marin Cilic. Tiafoe has not been in his best form at the end of this season, but he did win his maiden tour title this year at Delray Beach. Tiafoe hasn’t lost to a player less talented than him since Baghdatis in July. Hurkacz is less talented than him. Hurkacz also retired in his last match. Tiafoe has more experience, more fitness, and the higher ceiling. Not going to overthink it.

83-42-4 on tennis up 26.56 units

Only had one play yesterday, I like more spots today.

John Isner at -215 for 3 units. Isner was a runner up here in 2016 and lost in the semis here last season. He likes playing in Paris. Mikhail Kukshkin has some solid recent matches getting wins agains Rublev, Herbert, and the in-form Fucsovics. Isner’s serve will be too much for Mikhail, like it was in the first 3 H2Hs.

Roger Federer -2.5 at -118 for 6 units. Raonic is out of form. Bad time to play Roger. Federer looked great in winning in his hometown of Basel last week. He could be a little tired, but he has beat Raonic in straight sets the last two times they have played. Roger won on 86% of his first serve point the last time they met, and thus was not broken in that match.

Richard Gasquet at -320 for 2 units. Jack Sock has sucked this year.

Fabio Fognini at +103 for 1 unit.

Grigor Dimitrov at +116 for 1 unit. Fognini and Dimitrov are in worse form than their opponents, but more talented. Revenge match for Fognini.

82-42-4 on tennis up 25.53 units

Karen Khachanov at -390 for 4 units. Matthew Ebden didnt qualify and is only here because Kyle Edmund withdrew. Khachanov is in a lot better form at the moment. Khachanov is more talented, a better returner, and should get the win in this one. Khachanov won 80% of his first serve points, along with winning over 40% of his return points in the last round vs Filip Krajinovic. The Russian is playing great tennis.

78-42-4 on tennis up 15.89 units

Roberto Bautista-Agut at -260 for 4 units. Steve Johnson is on a 5 match losing streak. Bautista-Agut has won all 5 of the previous H2Hs. Roberto’s return game will be too strong for Johnson’s out of form service.

Philipp Kohlschreiber at -160 for 4 units. Robin Haase was winless in his last 6 matches before Paris. He lost in straight sets to Kohlschreiber the only other time they met on this surface. Philipp is the more consistent player and that will show over the course of this match.

Richard Gasquet at -138 for 4 units. Gasquet has been playing well recently. Denis Shapovalov has lost 4 of the past 5 matches he has played in in straight sets. The young Canadian will be more than talented than Gasquet in the coming years if he keeps progressing, but the Frenchman will win this one.

Gasquet/Bautista-Agut/Kohlschreiber Parlay risking 1 unit to win 2.7 units.

77-41-4 on tennis up 16.89 units

Daniil Medvedev at +235 for 2 units. Federer has not looked his best this week in Basel. Daniil is currently sitting at a career high ranking and will fancy his chances. Medvedev is 18-4 on indoor hardcourts this season. Roger is working himself back into top fitness and will struggle in this one. I like the value here even though Medvedev is 1-7 against the top 10 in his career.

Kevin Anderson at -203 for 2 units. Fernando Verdasco has won the last two meetings between these two, but Anderson has been playing better tennis this year. Anderson should get enough easy points off of his serve to win this one. The South African should be fresher as well. Anderson has a good chance here to get his first title since February.

75-41-4 on tennis up 14.59 units

Fognini rolling his ankle mid-match yesterday hurt, back at it today.

Roger Federer at -480 for 5 units. Jan-Lennard Struff has never won a set against Roger (0-8). Federer’s hometown here. Should be an easy one.

Daniil Medvedev at -238 for 3 units. Medvedev is in fantastic form and is 16-4 on indoor hardcourts this season. Daniil lost to Seppi in the only H2H meeting in a close match, but Daniil is in a lot better form than then. He will get his revenge today.