Sportsologists

Wimbledon Quarterfinals – A Day for the Favorites

July 10, 2019July 10, 2019 John AndersLeave a comment

91-44-6 on tennis in 2018 up 42.63 units

40-45 on tennis in 2019 down 25.25 units

I think all the favorites move on today. Federer, Nadal, Djokovic, and… Bautista-Agut. Federer plays Nishikori. Nishikori comes into this match well-rested for what seems like the first time this deep in a slam. Federer has won 7 of their 10 meetings and the only meetings on grass and in a slam. Nishikori could win a set, but that’s all I see.

Djokovic goes up against an in-form Goffin. This is Goffin’s first time in a quarterfinal here? Djokovic has made like 29 quarterfinals here. Made that number up but who’s fact-checking here. Djokovic leads the H2H 5-1 and the loss was an exhibition. Since the start of this tournament last year, Djokovic has won 30 out of 31 matches in slams.

Sam Querrey has been serving the ball incredibly well. He has only been broken once this tournament. Nadal is just in silly-good-form on grass right now. There is a reason he got Centre Court over Barty. Querrey actually won the last meeting between these two, but I don’t see that happening here in a slam. Sam could win a set, but Nadal is moving on to face Federer.

Bautista-Agut -5½ at -129 for 7 units. Roberto leads the H2H 2-0 over Guido Pella. Pella has played two 5-setters here so far (Seppi and Raonic), while the Spaniard hasn’t dropped a set. Pella had only won 6 matches on grass in his career before this tournament. He beat two former finalists to get here though. I just love the tennis Bautista-Agut is playing. Roberto has won 3 of the 6 sets against Pella 6-1 or 6-0. Bautista-Agut is more rested, prefers this surface more, and has the H2H advantage. I had this line at -8. Send it.

Djokovic/Bautista-Agut/Federer/Nadal Parlay risking 3 units to win 1.86 units.

Baseball

MLB Home Run Derby

July 8, 2019 John AndersLeave a comment

92-83 on MLB last season and went up 34.31 units

26-29 on MLB this season down 20.19 units

Home Run Derby H2H Pete Alonso over Carlos Santana at -175 for 12 units. Every time I bet against Josh Bell and the Pirates, Josh Bell hits a home run. So I am not betting against him today. I think Alonso wins the derby, but this is a “safer” play than him against everyone else at +350. Alonso said the key was to hit more homers than anyone else. I like where his head is at. 20 of Alonso’s homers this season have traveled over 400 feet. That’s power. Plus, Alonso is a rookie, so he could prolly use the million dollars.

Baseball

MLB July 3rd

July 3, 2019July 3, 2019 John AndersLeave a comment

Rest in Peace Tyler Skaggs. The Angels pitcher passed away in Texas on July 1st. Skaggs was married just last year. He was on pace to post a personal best in strikeouts, innings pitched, and numerous other categories. It seems he was just hitting his prime in baseball and life. Sad to see. RIP.

92-83 on MLB last season and went up 34.31 units

25-26 on MLB this season down 12.12 units

Tigers Game 1 at +130 for 3 units. Daniel Norris, the starter for Detroit today, is 1-0 with a 3.60 ERA in two starts against the White Sox this season. Dylan Cease is getting his first start for Chicago today. Cease was acquired from the Cubs two years ago and is one of the best pitching prospects around. Cease has been pitching well in the minors for two years.. he should be ready, but I am going against him in his first MLB start.

Brewers at +124 for 3 units. Jhoulys Chacin pitched well in his last start, a 3-2 loss to Pittsburgh. Milwaukee lost on an error that Cincinnati and Puig capitalized on in extra innings last time out. The Brew Crew won’t let that happen again.

Dodgers -1.5 at -122 for 3 units. Buehler will pitch better than he did in his most recent start against the Rockies. Merrill Kelly is starting for the first time against the Dodgers.

Astros -1.5 at +112 for 5 units. Peter Lambert gives up a lot of hits. That is not good against this Houston lineup. Wade Miley gave up only 1 run in his most recent start for Houston. Miley is 7-2 with a 3.89 ERA in 14 career appearances against the Rockies. The over/under is at 14 for this game! Colorado’s bullpen has been booty lately. Taking the runline with an over/under this high is fun. Winning money is fun. Let’s have some fun.

Baseball

MLB June 28th

June 28, 2019 John AndersLeave a comment

92-83 on MLB last season and went up 34.31 units

24-24 on MLB this season down 6.19 units

Braves at +131 for 3 units. Mike Soroka hasn’t received a loss in his last 10 starts. He should get NL rookie of the year at this rate. DeGrom doesn’t scare me. That is all.

Angels at -134 for 3 units. Noe Ramirez and Mike Trout have been great this season. Noe gets the start for the Angels today. Angels have won 4 in a row. Ohtani is seeing the ball well. Felix Pena will come in for Noe pretty early I’d imagine, but the Angels bats and bullpen have been too hot to bet against (Pena has struggled against the A’s recently).

Brewers at -144 for 7 units. Brewers are 6-1 against the Pirates this year. Pittsburgh’s bats and pitching were hot against Houston, but I expect them to cool off a little here. Chacin has looked a little better for Milwaukee over his past 2 starts. Cain back in the lineup helps. Milwaukee has 32 more homers this season against righties than Pittsburgh. Both starters today are righties. The Brew Crew bats better at home. Chris Archer gives up a homer about every 3 and half innings this season. This game is going to come down to getting hits with RISP.. I like the Brew Crew to come through..

Baseball

MLB June 26th – Matthew Boyd and the Tigers Get a Win?

June 26, 2019June 28, 2019 John AndersLeave a comment

92-83 on MLB last season and went up 34.31 units

23-23 on MLB this season down 7.12 units

Tigers/Rangers under 8.5 at -104 for 5 units. Matthew Boyd has not looked like the Ace Detroit thought he would be, but he hasn’t been awful either. Boyd continues to rack up strikeouts. He’s recorded at least six in each of his past seven starts, but the Tigers have lost seven of his past eight starts. Detroit’s bats have been average lately, but Castellanos, Goodrum, and Cabrera hit Mike Minor well. I just see a 4-1 win for Detroit today. Gut call of sorts. Neither pitcher has done well against the other team historically.

Astros/Astros – Pirates over 9.5/Phillies Parlay risking 4 units to win 14.01 units. Astros are gonna ball out on Pittsburgh today. The Phillies should win against Jason Vargas and the Mets.

Baseball

MLB June 23rd

June 23, 2019 John AndersLeave a comment

92-83 on MLB last season and went up 34.31 units

21-22 on MLB this season down 11.31 units

Marlins at +161 for 3 units. Marlins are 2-0 with Jordan Yamamoto starting (the pitcher they received for Christian Yelich). Yamamoto has pitched 14 innings this season without giving up a run. The rookie Enyel De Los Santos starts for Philly. The Phillies have lost 6 in a row. “There’s not a single part of our game that is where it needs to be.” – Gabe Kapler, manager of the Phillies, said after his first ejection the other night..

Braves at -147 for 3 units. Mike Soroka is going for his 9th win in a row tonight. Atlanta overcame Folty’s poor start last night. Folty has been optioned to triple-A ball. Austin Voth is making his debut for the Nats against a hot Atlanta lineup.

Yankees/Mariners Parlay risking 2 units to win 4.91 units. Orioles suck. Good Value on the Yankees today against Verlander.

Baseball

MLB June 21st

June 21, 2019June 21, 2019 John AndersLeave a comment

92-83 on MLB last season and went up 34.31 units

21-20 on MLB this season down 5.31 units

Braves at +130 for 3 units. The Nats have won 4 games in a row and are 2-0 against the Braves this year. Dallas Keuchel is debuting tonight. Stephen Strasburg did not look good in his last start. There is value here.

Tigers at +173 for 3 units. Matthew Boyd has lost his last 3 starts. He is too good to keep losing. That’s all I got.

Baseball

MLB June 19th

June 19, 2019 John AndersLeave a comment

92-83 on MLB last season and went up 34.31 units

19-19 on MLB this season down 8.11 units

Milwaukee Brewers -1½/Los Angeles Angels -1½ Parlay risking 2 units to win 6.80 units. Brewers won’t get swept by the Padres with Zach Davies on the mound. Milwaukee is second in the league in homers off of lefties. They face a lefty in Matt Strahm today. Angels have beat the Blue Jays all 5 times this season. Ohtani, Trout, Calhoun, Upton, Fletcher, and La Stella have all been hitting well of late.

Cleveland Indians -1½ at +126 for 2 units. Cleveland has been one of the best hitting teams over the past 7 days, while Texas has been one of the worst. Joe Palumbo, the starter for the Rangers, doesn’t scare me.

Los Angeles Dodgers/Pittsburgh Pirates Parlay risking 2 units to win 2.28 units. Pirates have been alternating wins and losses and they lost last night. Trevor Williams was pitching well, but this is his first game back from injury. Williams is 2-0 with a 0.95 ERA against the Tigers. In Rich Hill I trust.

Basketball

NBA Finals Game 6 Predictions

June 13, 2019June 13, 2019 John AndersLeave a comment

9-5 on the NBA playoffs up 13.51 units

Can’t help but feel for KD. His surgery on his Kobe Bone/Achilles went well according to his own instagram. Steph and Klay balled out to get the Warriors the Game 5 win. Nick Nurse called what may have been the worse timeout I have ever seen (and people get mad at Roy Williams for never calling timeouts /s). The Raptors were up 6 and the crowd was going wild… but let’s kill the momentum with a couple minutes left. After that timeout it went Klay 3, Steph 3, Klay 3, and the Raptors were down 3.

Raptors +3 at -111 for 3 units. Kawhi didn’t play his best basketball in Game 5, except for a few minutes in the 4th. I think Leonard turns it up tonight. If Steph and Klay shoot even marginally worse than they did in Game 5 (12/25 from deep), I could see them losing a close one. Looney is still hurt, KD won’t be going 3-3 from deep in this game. I’ll take the points. Cousins was dominant after the KD injury, but then slipped back to Sacramento Kings Cousins in the 4th Quarter. It will be interesting to see which Cousins shows up in this one.

Baseball

MLB June 13th

June 13, 2019 John AndersLeave a comment

92-83 on MLB last season and went up 34.31 units

19-18 on MLB this season down 5.11 units

Tigers -1.5 at +123 for 4 units. Matthew Boyd has lost his last two starts, but has only allowed 6 runs combined over his last 4 starts. Homer Bailey has given up 7 runs over his past two starts for the Royals. Last time Boyd pitched here in Omaha, he pitched a complete-game, four-hit shutout, helping Oregon State beat Indiana 1-0 in an elimination game. Detroit gets back 2 back wins for the first time since May today.