Wimbledon Quarterfinals – A Day for the Favorites

91-44-6 on tennis in 2018 up 42.63 units

40-45 on tennis in 2019 down 25.25 units

I think all the favorites move on today. Federer, Nadal, Djokovic, and… Bautista-Agut. Federer plays Nishikori. Nishikori comes into this match well-rested for what seems like the first time this deep in a slam. Federer has won 7 of their 10 meetings and the only meetings on grass and in a slam. Nishikori could win a set, but that’s all I see.

Djokovic goes up against an in-form Goffin. This is Goffin’s first time in a quarterfinal here? Djokovic has made like 29 quarterfinals here. Made that number up but who’s fact-checking here. Djokovic leads the H2H 5-1 and the loss was an exhibition. Since the start of this tournament last year, Djokovic has won 30 out of 31 matches in slams.

Sam Querrey has been serving the ball incredibly well. He has only been broken once this tournament. Nadal is just in silly-good-form on grass right now. There is a reason he got Centre Court over Barty. Querrey actually won the last meeting between these two, but I don’t see that happening here in a slam. Sam could win a set, but Nadal is moving on to face Federer.

Bautista-Agut -5½ at -129 for 7 units. Roberto leads the H2H 2-0 over Guido Pella. Pella has played two 5-setters here so far (Seppi and Raonic), while the Spaniard hasn’t dropped a set. Pella had only won 6 matches on grass in his career before this tournament. He beat two former finalists to get here though. I just love the tennis Bautista-Agut is playing. Roberto has won 3 of the 6 sets against Pella 6-1 or 6-0. Bautista-Agut is more rested, prefers this surface more, and has the H2H advantage. I had this line at -8. Send it.

Djokovic/Bautista-Agut/Federer/Nadal Parlay risking 3 units to win 1.86 units.

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