Soccer September 15th

17-11-2 on Soccer since World Cup up 14.40 units

Tottenham pk, +.5 for 3 units. Spurs have scored in their last 25 games at Wembley and they will here too. Lucas Moura has been a nice surprise for the Spurs this season. Who needs signings when you have players that hardly played last year that are talented? Liverpool has been scoring at will and they are first in the league for a reason. Spurs have won 8 straight games with Michael Oliver as the ref. Liverpool has only won 14 of the past 33 with Michael Oliver as the referee.

Leicester pk, +.5 at -126 for 3 units. Bournemouth has given up too many goals for them to be favored here. James Maddison has been more than solid for Leicester this season. These two teams usually get a lot of cards when they meet, which is sometimes fun to watch. I expect an ugly close game here.

Barcelona -1, -1.5 for 4 units. Real Sociedad is not an easy place to go get a win, but Dembele, Messi, and Coutinho are all in good form. Willian Jose is injured for Sociedad which hurts their attack. Barcelona have actually conceded more goals at the Anoeta than they have scored in their history.. that won’t continue today.

 

College Football September 15th

6-4 on college football up 3.82 units

Memphis got the win and covered behind 5 touchdowns from QB Brady White and 233 rushing yards from Darrell Henderson.

Clemson -31.5 for 3 units. Georgia Southern has a solid player in Shai Wertz, but he is going to have a hard time finding room against Clemson. Wertz is so good he was actually offered a scholarship by Clemson a few years ago. Kelly Bryant will control the game. Clemson’s backup QB Trevor Lawerence is the real deal. He reminds me of a taller longer haired Aaron Rodgers.. I know that is high praise, but it seems he can put the ball in spots as if he just walked it there and placed it. I think Clemson’s physicality will be too much here and the Tigers won’t let off the pedal because they did last week and almost lost to Texas A&M.

Oklahoma -18 for 3 units. Revenge game and Kyler Murray. David Montgomery is no joke at running back for ISU, but the Sooners win this won by more than 20.

LSU +10 for 4 units. SEC West rivalry game. Both teams are 2-0 with wins against top 15 schools. 10 points is a lot. These teams both give up about 300 yards a game. It is hard for me to see how Auburn is 10 points better. I will bite.

UVA -5 for 4 units. Virginia made some dumb mistakes last game that included some PI penalties and too many turnovers. I think the Hoos learn from their mistakes and win the regular season music city bowl. Ohio has a decent team this year and that is why the line is so low. Bryce Perkins will lead his team to victory.

Texas A&M -27 for 2 units. Kendrick Rodgers worked Clemson’s defensive backs so I expect him to go off on UL Monroe’s secondary too. Trayveon Williams will be able to find some room on the ground unlike the game against Clemson. The Aggies played at a super high level last week and that will carry over nicely.

Washington -5 for 4 units. Huskies should win this one on the road. Utah has the ability to win this game, but Washington will fix their mistakes against Auburn and show up here. If the Huskies had beat Auburn, this would be a “trap” game. The Utah crowd will be wild, should be an entertaining game.

Arizona State -5 for 5 units. CEO Herm Edwards did a good job managing the clock against Michigan State in their win. All jokes aside, Herm is already doing a lot better than I expected him too. Manny Wilkins lead a comeback against Michigan State, so I expect him to find gaps in this San Diego State defense here. ASU “stole” some SDSU coaches (mainly defensive coordinator Danny Gonzales) from last season and I expect that to help ASU more than SDSU here.

College Football September 14th

5-4 on college football up 1.88 units

Memphis -28 for 2 units. Georgia State won’t have the defense to stop Memphis. NC State gave up too many chances to Georgia State and they still won by 34. Memphis has a solid defense and was so close to being 2-0 on the season. Darrell Henderson is a beast and I expect him to run all over this Georgia State defense. I think the game may be close in the first half, but Memphis will wear down the Panthers in the second half.

 

Hockey September 14th

45-46-6 on Hockey last season and went up 10.46 units

I was down a lot on hockey last season, but made in back on the NHL playoffs and overs over in Finland. It isn’t NHL playoff season, but Finland begins their domestic season today.

JYP/IFK Helsinki over 5 at -110 for 4 units.

KooKoo/SaiPa over 5 at -125 for 4 units.

TPS Turku/Hameenlinna over 5 at -110 for 4 units.

I could give you stats like JYP’s past 5 games have gone over this total or KooKoo’s games have gone over in 4 of the past 5 or SaiPa’s last 3 have gone over… but they are Finnish overs.. I think Aladdin said it best “Do you trust me?”

 

NFL September 13th

5-1-1 on NFL up 11.98 units 

Jets/Lions over hit easy and the Rams won easily. I don’t think I am smarter than Vegas, but there are always angles this early in a season. Let’s keep it rolling.

Ravens -1 for 3 units. Ravens lost to the Benglas in week 17. That loss cost them the playoffs and that is why the Bills got to break some more tables last postseason. Baltimore will get revenge tonight. Bengals are a little banged up on defense with Carlos Dunlap and Preston Brown not participating in the walkthrough Tuesday. Joe Mixon is a beast, but I think the Colts helped make him look good. Both these teams had “easy” week 1 matchups. I trust Flacco (I know I know). Justin Tucker can kick, which may be the difference in this game. Vontaze Burfict is still suspended and Cincy’s run defense struggles without him. Alex Collins should be able to find enough room here. I just think the Ravens are better so I am betting them.

MLB September 12th

65-64 on the MLB up 2.57 units

Rays at -109 for 2 units. Snell is 6-0 with a 1.42 ERA in seven starts since coming off the DL. Rays had won 12 in a row at home before the Indians beat them last time out. Tampa Bay knows they can’t lose too many more games if they want to make the playoffs. Donaldson went 0-4 in his debut for the Indians.

Cardinals at -101 for 2 units. Cardinals have won 3 in a row. Jameson Taillon has pitched well against the Cardinals recently. St. Louis is 2.5 games out of the division lead. I think they keep their winning streak going today. Cardinals are 30-23 in day games while Pirates are 26-26.

Diamondbacks at -108 for 2 units. I like Patrick Corbin a lot. Diamondbacks are 2.5 games back of the division lead behind the Rockies. Diamondbacks have the better pitching and I think that shows tonight. Also, Jon Gray did not look at that great his last time out.

MLB September 11th

64-63 on the MLB up 3.77 units

Just can’t seem to get up big on MLB like I do other sports. Season is not over yet, I’ll run it up during the playoffs. Have some solid leans today.

Athletics at -167 for 3 units. The A’s have won 4 in a row and all 3 games this season against the O’s. I love betting against Alex Cobb. Khris Davis and Stephen Piscotty can hit. Fiers is 4-0 with a 2.94 ERA in six Oakland starts. Thought this line would be over 200 so I will bite.

Brewers at +115 for 3 units. Value play. Jose Quintana gives up some homers and I think the Brew Crew can capitalize. Cubs have lost 3 in a row. Brewers have won 4 in a row. If Brewers beat the Cubs tonight they are tied with Cubs. Quintana  gave up five runs and three home runs in five innings against Milwaukee last time they faced. I like this spot.

NFL September 10th

Let’s start with Aaron Rodgers. Jesus Christ. I don’t know how you choose between Rodgers or Brady, they are both so damn good. Rodgers is more talented, but Brady has the better coaching and things of that nature. Everybody thought it was going to be the Khalil Mack game at halftime.. it wasn’t. I had the Packers in all 4 of my survivor pools.. I see why they call it survivor now. Fuller had a ball fall in his hands for the game sealing pick.. but he dropped it and Rodgers threw a 75 yard touchdown to Cobb on the next play. Clay Matthews tried to give the Bears the win with his late roughing the passer penalty, but the Packers secondary looks better than past years and clamped down.

Bengals turned it up in the 4th quarter to beat the Colts in Indy. Clayton Fejedelem, who was a 7th round pick in 2016, showed white boy speed during his 83 yard fumble recovery touchdown that hasn’t been seen since Forrest Gump. Joe Mixon is good. A.J. Green is good too he just needs to practice some ball security.

The Chiefs beat the Chargers. Tyreek Hill is a freak. He is the fastest football player I have ever seen and that is not an exaggeration. I don’t care what his 40 time is (4.24), I know that man is fast. Also, Travis Benjamin can’t catch.

The shocker of the day was Ryan Fitzpatrick and the Bucs just going up the field every time they had the ball. The Saints had no answers. Mike Evans and DeSean Jackson had some huge plays. Drew Brees was like 13-15 with 2 TDS at one point and they were still down. I thought this Saints defense was supposed to be good this year?

Nathan Peterman must be the best practice squad player ever to keep getting starting jobs. I mean he sucks. I don’t care how good his attitude or work ethic is.. he sucks. Ravens beat the Bills 47-3, but it’s cool I bet the Ravens.

Patriots sneaked out a win against the Texans thanks to a Gronk catch that wasn’t a catch. Brady played great, he made one mistake (which was prolly James White’s fault) that lead to an interception but the Texans only got a field goal out of it. Deshaun Watson did not look that great from the start when he fumbled the opening snap. Watson will improve.

Vikings picked off Jimmy G 3 times and Cousins threw no interceptions. That was the difference as the Vikings won by 8. 49ers defense looks solid, but the Vikings D may be the best in the league again if they can get/stay healthy. This way my biggest play of the day and the Vikings came through for me.

Dolphins beat the Titans in what was the longest game in the modern era of the NFL with 2 over 2 hour rain delays. Mariota got hurt, but he was not playing well before that happened. Dion Lewis was one of the few bright spots for the Titans as they lost Delanie Walker for the season to an ankle injury.

Jaguars D did enough to contain OBJ and Barkley. Saquon is going to be a beast. Manning threw a pick and no touchdowns. If Manning can play a little better, this will be a good Giants team. If Bortles can play a little better, this will be a great Jaguars team.

Panthers beat the Cowboys 16-8 and were in control of the whole game till late in the 4th. Luke Kuechly had an injury scare but he came back in the game. Olsen re-injured his surgically repaired foot. This Panthers team has a chance to be really food, but they have to be healthy come playoff time. Cowboys need a wideout and a run defense.

Redskins and Adrian Peterson smacked the Cardinals, but I think that says more about the futility of the Cardinals than it does the ability of the Redskins.

Phillip Lindsay looked really good and he lead the Broncos to a 3 point win over the Seahawks. Keenum and Wilson threw 5 picks combined. Sanders had a 135 yards. The rookie Will Dissly had 105 yards for the Seahawks. Demaryius Thomas made an amazing catch to seal the win. Brandon Marshall is back?

3-1-1 on NFL up 7.79 units 

Jets/Lions over 44.5 for 3 units. I see this game being in the 50s. Robby Anderson and Enunwa have the ability to get the big play whenever against this Lions defense. Stafford should be able to dice the Jets up. Saw a lot of big plays on Sunday and I expect more of the same here while secondaries are still working out their communication.

Rams at -225 for 3 units. Seems a little too easy but I will bite. I don’t believe in the Raiders at all with Gruden and without Mack. Gurley, Goff, Cooks, Donald, and company should be able to do enough here.

 

 

 

NFL September 9th

0-1 on NFL down 3 units 

I am still mad about that Falcons loss. Julio Jones caught that ball. Steve Sarkisian sucks at calling plays. Matt Ryan just kept throwing the ball out of the endzone not giving his wideouts a chance. Pathetic.

Vikings -6 for 6 units. Everyone is hot for the 49ers because they have not lost with Jimmy G. Go look at who they played, the only playoff teams they beat where the Rams in week 17 when the Rams sat their starters. Jimmy G threw a lot of balls that should have been intercepted last season that were simply dropped. The Vikings defense and return of Dalvin Cook will be too much for the 49ers. Vikings win by 14.

Panthers -3 for 3 units. No Dez Bryant and no Jason Witten for the Cowboys. Panthers young corners can get some solid experience in this game. Panthers are at home where Cam always plays better. This is the year of Christian McCaffrey.

Seahawks +3 for 2 units. I think this will be a close game and I don’t believe in the Broncos and their new QB as much as others. The public has pushed this line from -1.5 to -3 and I will fade the public and bite on Seattle. Betting on the team with the better QB here.

Ravens -7 for 2 units. Nathan Peterman fade. That is all. The only reason this is not a higher play is because McCoy can run well in any weather.