21-21-4 on golf in 2018 up 3.41 units
3-2 in 2019 up 1.92 units
7 Plays still pending. No Hole in one and no first time winner please. Also, Tiger don’t shoot a 68 or lower. Stay at 69 if anything. My Brooks Koepka as the top American is looking good right now as well.
Sergio Garcia avoided the +13 on the 15th-hole on Thursday this year, unlike last year. That is a Masters record for any hole. He hit the water 5 times. Just reminds me of me on much easier golf courses.
3 Balls – Group 28 – Jon Rahm at +130 for 2 units. Rahm had two bogeys in 4 holes on the front 9 that included a toss of the driver after a poor shot. He rallied nicely. He was even on par 5s on Thursday and finished -3 for the day. He shoots -2 or -3 on par 5s on Friday and wins the group as a result. Tiger’s ball striking was not perfect, which meant he had to make putts. He did not make the necessary putts and is 4 strokes back from the lead and 1 stroke behind Rahm. Woods wants those 7 foot misses on holes 5 and 6 back. Rahm seems to have figured out Augusta scoring under 70 in 4 straight rounds. I like him here again.
3 Balls – Group 24 – Adam Scott at +125 for 2 units. Hideki Matsuyama did not get the start he wanted. Adam Scott gained some confidence on the back 9 and that will carry into Friday. Hideki has to play aggressive to make the cut and that is always dangerous here. Scott’s GIR and ability to hit fairways wins this bet.
Brooks Koepka vs Paul Casey second round only at -177 for 7 units. Koepka shot a -6 on Thursday. Casey shot a +9. Paul Casey has never won a major. Koepka has won 3 in the past 2 years. Casey is 13 years older. Koepka had to sit out the 2018 Masters due to wrist surgery (from lifting too many weights prolly, wrist curls will get ya). Watching on tv put the proverbial fire in the belly of Koepka. Paul Casey double bogeyed the par 4 5th-hole that I talked about in my Masters preview yesterday. Koepka was -5 on the par 4s and 5s combined, while Casey went +7 on those holes. Koepka accurately drove the ball about 15 yards further than Casey on average. That may not continue, but if Koepka can keep putting (no pun intended) himself in better positions, this will win easy.
Bubba Watson vs Patrick Cantlay at -119 for 1 unit. Bubba is the man. He has the experience and the left-handedness.