Writer: Sean Sloan
Sean’s record 1-0 up 0.71 units
This Toronto/Philly series has been wildly unpredictable. There have been two 5-point losses by each team in games 2 and 4, but between those close games were double-digit blowouts. The average margin of victory in this series is 16 points (largely due to the 36-point blowout by the Raptors in Game 5). The total for Game 6 is set at 212. Of the 5 games played the total has gone over 212 on one occurrence, which was Game 5 where the Raptors managed to score 125 points. Using 106 as the number each team would need to score in order to push, I looked at how many times each team scored more than 106. Toronto has scored more than 106 two times (Game 1 and Game 5), and Philly has scored more than 106 one time (Game 3). Every time either of these teams have scored more than 106 they were at home. The average total of the two games played in Philly thus far is 204. Philly, as mentioned earlier, is averaging 98 ppg this series and has cracked 100 points one time.
In Game 5, Philly looked defeated. I know Embiid wasn’t himself, but there was no fight. I think Toronto closes this series out tonight in a close game, but I am more confident in this total going under 212. The Drake curse is a real thing, there is absolutely no denying that. I think Toronto will have to get a little more confidence from the public built up before the Drake curse kicks in. I see Toronto getting heartbroken when all is said and done, but not just yet.
My play: Toronto Raptors/Philadelphia 76ers u212 – 1U