69-58-5 on the NFL last season (2018/19) up 26.36 units
18-26 on the NFL this season down 14.66 units
Panthers at -135 for 8 units. McCaffrey is in the MVP discussion for a reason. He has dominated the past three weeks against the Jaguars, Texans, and Cardinals. Revenge game for the Panthers. CMC was stopped a yard short on the final play in the Panthers loss to the Bucs. He is going to come ready to play. I would not want to play against him in fantasy this week. Carolina’s defensive line is quietly one of the best in the league with Gerald McCoy, Brian Burns, Vernon Butler, Mario Addison, and Dontari Poe. Shaquil Barrett has 9 sacks for Tampa Bay. Impressive at this point in the season.
Tampa Bay’s wideouts could be a problem for the Carolina defense.. but the only reason Tampa won the first matchup was because Cam Newton couldn’t run (or throw that well). A healthy Kyle Allen is better than an injured Cam Newton. The Panthers are putting up over 380 yards and 29 points a game with Kyle Allen. DJ Moore and Christian McCaffrey will have great days in London. Panthers win 31-21.
Ravens/Bengals over 47 at -115 for 2 units. Bengals can’t tackle. I’ve done studies and teams that can’t tackle give up a lot of points. The Cardinals scored 26 points against the Bengals last week. I expect the Ravens to score more than that. Ravens lead the league in scoring offense.
Chargers/Ravens/Cowboys Parlay risking 2 units to win 2.12 units. Fading the Steelers, Bengals, and Jets here. Chargers came out flat against the Broncos last week and lost because of it. That won’t happen again. Cowboys travel to New York. Dallas gave up 4 touchdowns to Aaron Jones last week. Stopping Bell will be their focus I’d imagine. There is a world where the Jets win, but I like Cooper and Elliott to get the job done. Mosley and Anderson are likely to be out for the Jets on defense. The Ravens play a Bengals team that can’t tackle.