91-44-6 on tennis in 2018 up 42.63 units
46-54-2 on tennis in 2019 down 48.22 units
Monfils at -205 for 4 units. Monfils will make Paire work for his points. Paire will get frustrated and Monfils will take advantage. Gael is 11-3 on hard this year, Paire is 7-6. The surface and tournament history favor Monfils. I like the higher ranked Frenchman to place more winners here and move on.
Berrettini -2 at -105 for 2 units. Berrettini has a better serve and forehand. The conditions and recent form favor Berrettini as well. The Italian’s inside-in forehand is fun to watch.
Isner at -245 for 2 units. Isner will want revenge for losing to Christian Garin a couple months ago. Garin lost to strong servers like Isner over his past few tournaments. Isner has looked good all October long.
Thiem -1.5 at -115 for 2 units. Thiem has more from and fitness. The H2H is giving us good value here, but doesn’t scare me away. Raonic has beat Thiem in these conditions before, but I don’t expect him to upset the Swiss-man here.