43-45-6 in Hockey up 6.84 units
Caps – Lightning over 5.5 at +110 for 3 units. Four out of the six games in this series have gone over. Andrei Vasilevskiy has been playing well, but the Caps have just been getting so many shots on goal. The Capitals played more physical last game than any other point in the series. I think the Lightning will respond to this physicality with some adjustments tonight that should lead to goals.
Caps at +132 for 3 units. Caps just have too much firepower to lose this series in my opinion. Alex Ovechkin and Tom Wilson were physical in Game 6 and I expect that to carry over. T.J. Oshie was solid. If the Capitals execute their game plan again (like they did in Game 6) they will win. Capitals have played well in Tampa this series so it being an away game for the Capitals does not worry me. I think this game should be a coin flip or the Caps slightly favored; therefore, I am taking the Caps at what I perceive as value.